What’s up guys. Alex here, and I return with my weekly DraftKings PGA Sleeper Picks for The RBC Canadian Open. Last week at The Open Championship was an okay for the sleepers. Brandt Snedeker withdrew a day before the event which was unfortunate and Brian Harman collapsed in the tough conditions on Friday, but Andy Sullivan met value putting up 55.5 DK points at a decently low ownership, with a few very strong plays turning out from my honorable mentions. With the year’s third major now in the past, The Tour makes it way Ontario, Canada for The RBC Canadian Open which takes place at Glenn Abbey Golf Club, which is a par 72 course, measuring in at 7,252 yards in length. A range of different type of players can succeed here, but the key stats that have mainly stood out to me at Glenn Abbey, are driving distance and par five scoring. Bombers can dominate here, and this has been proven over the last two seasons.
The defending champion, Jhonattan Vegas averaged a long drive of 323.5 yards last season in his win and Jason Day, during his victory in 2015, averaged an even higher 330.6 yards off the tee. Finding the fairway isnt a must at all and a ton of players have had success approaching the green from the rough here in the past. According to Fantasy Golf Metrics, the last five winners at this venue have only averaged a low 56.8% driving accuracy percentage in the week they won. With this being a par 72, there are four par fives on this course. These are the holes that most of scoring will be done on and the golfers will need to take advantage of every birdie and eagle chance they get on these par fives if they want to contend at The RBC Canadian Open. Being a strong iron player as always is also very important to give yourself the best chance to shoot low numbers. To no surprise after a major, this week’s field gives us a weaker set of players to choose from. There is still plenty of reason to play DFS this week, but just like the handful of tournaments before The Open, it may be a smarter week to not get ahead of ourselves and to limit how much bankroll we use. So good luck to everyone and if any of my picks help your lineups or if you have any questions, feel free to let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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Patrick Rodgers: (7,000) After a very poor first half of the season, Rodgers has really turned his game around these last few weeks. He was going through a bad stretch where he only made 2/10 cuts, but he has now successfully made four straight cuts, including his best performance of the season, a runner up finish two weeks ago at The John Deere Classic. During this streak, he has put up some very intriguing numbers, with a 68.8% GIR percentage, an average drive of 319 yards, and a low 28.7 average putts per round.
Along with these nice stats, he has also been scoring well on par fives, averaging -3.8 on par fives per tournament over his last four events, which is the 3rd best average of all the players in this field that have teed it up over the last month and half. Assuming he can keep riding this form, I think we see Rodgers playing on the weekend for the second consecutive year at Glenn Abbey, with the potential for a higher finish than his T32 last season.
Trey Mullinax: (6,900) If you have been following my posts over the last year or so, you know I am a big fan of Mullinax, and even though he has never competed at this course, his skill set is just too perfect for Glenn Abbey to be ignored. He has now made the cut in six of his last seven starts, and in his last four made cuts, he has posted a very nice 71.2% GIR percentage and has averaged a long 319.3 yard average drive. Not only is he long enough and a good approach player, but he also is a solid scorer and par five player, ranking 95th in par five scoring, 45th in par five birdie or better percentage, and 26th in overall birdie or better percentage this year.
To no one’s surprise, the young player is also a very strong DraftKings point producer when he makes the cut. In his last six made cuts, when including last week’s Barbasol Championship, Mullinax is averaging a terrific 73.4 DK points per tournament, which is a great average for a player who is coming at this cheap of a salary. I know this number is a smaller sample of only six events, but to put this in perspective, Dustin Johnson the number one ranked player in the world and the highest priced player in this field, is averaging 73.3 DK points an event this season. Hopefully people stay away from him due to his lack of course history (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), because Mullinax is easily one of my favorite values on the board this week.
Rory Sabbatini: (6,600) Out of nowhere, Sabbatini has played much better golf in month of July. He couldn’t buy a cut in May or June, missing the cut in six straight starts, but has now made three cuts in a row if you include The Barbasol, with two very solid finishes at The John Deere Classic (T19) and Greenbrier Classic (T14). During this span, his game has looked awesome statistically for Glenn Abbey. He has been hitting it well with his driver, averaging a 297.9 yard long drive, has been strong with his approach game, hitting 73.2% of greens, and is tied for the best par five scoring average per tournament in this field over the last six weeks.
It isn’t shocking to see him shoot low numbers on par fives, as he ranks 16th on The Tour in par five scoring for the season season, but the improvement in his distance and iron play are a great sign that his game may be trending upwards. Hopefully he can keep it going with this form, because this is a course Sabbatini has proven he can play well on. He missed the cut last year, but in 2015 he finished T11th and in 2013 he finished T12th. For sure, there is still plenty of risk involved in rostering Sabbantini, but at only $6,600, I think he is definitely a player worth taking a gamble on in GPPs.
Also Consider: Ollie Schniederjans, Chez Reavie, Chris Kirk, Chad Campbell, Adam Hadwin, Smylie Kaufman, Seamus Power, William McGirt, Jason Kokrak, and Michael Kim