The Tour will stay in Hawaii for one more week for The 2018 Sony Open. This event is held at Waialae Country Club in Honolou. This track is a par 70 that comes in at 7,044 yards in length. Justin Thomas dominated this course last season, finishing the week at -27, winning by a total of seven strokes. This is another easy venue and it is safe to say the winning score should be very low again, with four of the last five winners shooting -20 or better. You don’t need to be overly long at this track and finding the putting surface is far more crucial than your work off the box, as all five of the past winners have ranked inside the top 12 in greens hit. But the two main stats that stand out more than anything here at Waialae are par four scoring and birdies made. Par four scoring will always be a primary key to success at any par 70 and this is exactly the case here, with four of the last five champs leading the field in par four scoring during their wins, with Fabian Gomez in 2016 being the lone outsider, who wasn’t far off in anyway, shooting -12 on these par fours in his victory, good enough to rank him as the second best par four player of that week.
On top of taking advantage of all these par fours, you must convert as many birdie and eagle chances as possible, with every single winner over the past five seasons leading the tournament in total birdies. Lastly, to consistently shoot in the red numbers each day, you must be a strong putter. So, I will be paying attention to putting stats along with putting splits on Bermuda type greens, which is the type of surface here at Waialae. Finally, after a long wait, we are back to normal sized field of golfers, with a standard top 70 and ties cut line in effect. As you know, this makes DFS Golf much more enjoyable and this week I think it is fine to use your normal amount of bankroll for both cash games and GPPs. @Hunta512.
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Chez Reavie: (8,000) If you are looking for a steady option that should make the cut, but also has solid upside, look no further than Reavie at $8,000. He has made the cut in his last 13 events that include a normal cut line and has posted six top 20s in his last eight starts. He missed back to back cuts here in the years 2010 and 2013, but overall, he has been very solid at Waialae, making 5/7 cuts, with his best finish coming last year with a T8. The stats for his three fall starts weren’t out of this world, but he stood out in most of the stats I am looking for this week.
In his last 12 rounds he ranks 3rd in strokes gained total, 4th in strokes gained putting, 26th in BOB%, 27th in greens hit, 7th in par four efficiency, and 5th in par four efficiency on par fours between 400-450 yards, which is the range five of these par fours fall in at Waialae. (via Fantasy National) This is going to be his first start in over two months, but I wouldn’t let this stop you from playing Reavie. He should make the cut with top 20 upside on this course that he showed us he can compete at last season. The $8,000 price tag is fair, which is almost good news, because it may actually keep his ownership lower than it should be in GPPs this week, with a handful of bigger names priced around him. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
Patton Kizzire: (7,600) In the fall, Kizzire looked a completely different player from last season. Making 4/5 cuts with three top tens and a -19 win a The OHL Classic. He followed this great stretch up with a solid T15 last week in his first ever tournament at Kapalua. He did play in this event two years ago and missed the cut, but as I said, he has looked a new and improved player in this recent form. His stats across the board have been strong in his last three events, ranking 2nd in strokes gained total, 18th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in ball striking, 16th in strokes gained on approach, 11th in strokes gained putting, 6th in BOB%, 19th in greens hit, and 15th in par four efficiency. (via Fantasy National)
Also, he has been very consistent with his irons, nailing 77.1% of greens in his last four starts. Finally, its worth noting, he has decent history on Bermuda greens, ranking 16th in strokes gained putting on this type of greens, when comparing all of these golfers last 24 rounds. (via Fantasy National) I like him at this price and I am going to keep riding Kizzire in this form until he disappoints.
Stewart Cink: (6,800) Cink looks like a rather safe option this week that could go under the radar. As of right now, Fantasy Labs only has him projected for an ownership level of 2-4% in GPPs. This is surprising, considering how cheap he is, because Cink has the made it to the weekend in four of his last five cut events and has a pretty strong history here at Waialae, making nine of 14 cuts overall for his career, which includes two top tens.
His rankings have been solid in his last four starts, ranking 20th in strokes gained total, 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 18th in strokes gained when approaching the green, 15th in par four efficiency, and 12th in BOB%. It’s no surprise he has done well here in the past, because he is great on Bermuda greens, ranking 9th in strokes gained putting on this type of green over his last 12 rounds that have involved this kind of greens. (via Fantasy National) I think it he is a nice bet to make the cut and is viable for both cash games and GPPs this weekend.
Also Consider: Peter Uihlein (four straight top 15s if you don’t include his recent WD overseas), Scott Piercy, Luke List, Kyle Stanley, Chris Stroud, Jimmy Walker (two wins here), Ryan Armour, and Russell Knox.