After a week off from DFS Golf, we now get right back into the swing of things, with The 2018 Wells Fargo Championship. This event will be held at the famous Quail Hollow Golf Club, which is a par 71 located in Charlotte, North Carolina. (7,554 yards) Before last season, Quail Hollow had been the home of The Wells Fargo since its start, for 14 straight years. In order to have The 2017 PGA Championship to take place at this venue, The PGA opted to have Eagle Point Golf Club host The Wells Fargo last season for one time only. Justin Thomas won The PGA Championship at -8 and James Hahn won The 2017 Wells Fargo Championship at -9. They did some renovations to the course, to make it tougher and longer, resulting in it changing from a Par 72 to a Par 71. Still, for course history references, we should obviously look back at last year’s PGA Championship and all of the prior Wells Fargo Championship’s before last season. The course has always been a difficult test, that has favored longer hitters.
Eight of the 11 par fours play over 450 yards and three of the four par threes are over 200 yards, so we must prioritize bombers and strong ball strikers this week. The par fives are also on the longer side, but these holes will be these golfers best opportunities to score, putting some emphasis on par five scoring. Now, even though the par fours are much more difficult, we must find strong par four scorers as well, with all of the last five champs at Quail Hollow ranking in the top five in par four scoring during their wins and three of those golfers leading the whole field in this category.
Lastly, as I always like to do when the course is tougher than usual, I will be factoring in bogey avoidance when choosing my players. The Players Championship is on everyone’s minds with it only a little over a week away, but this week’s field is also one of the strongest non major fields we will see all year. This is a standard sized event with a normal top 70 cut line and ties in effect, making this a great week to use your normal amount of bank roll for all formats. @Hunta512.
Trey Mullinax: (6,800)
With this being only his second full time season on The Tour, Mullinax has no history at Quail Hollow, but his game is just too perfect for this course for me to overlook the 25 year old this week. He has made 6/7 cuts this season and is coming off his highest finish of the year, with a T2 two weeks ago at The Texas Open. As he always does, he was a force driving the ball, leading this field in driving distance, at an average drive of 321.8 yards. He also ranked in the top ten in putts per round, par four scoring, and par five scoring. Now, over his last 12 rounds of competitive golf, Mullinax ranks 33rd in SGT2G, 100th in SG APP, 9th in GIR, 2nd in driving distance, 48th in ball striking, 7th in par four scoring, 1st in par five scoring, 3rd in BOB%, 6th in bogeys avoided, and 29th in SGP. (via Fantasy National)
If these rankings weren’t enough to sell you on Mullinax and his current form, maybe his Vegas odds will. He currently is sitting at 80/1 to win (via Bovada), which are the same odds as a player like Gary Woodland, who costs $600 dollars more than Mullinax on DraftKings and has never missed a cut here at Quail Hollow in six career tries. His lack of course history keeps him out of cash game consideration, but for GPPs, Mullinax is absolutely worth a look at this price.
Bryson DeChambeau: (8,000)
After a few years of some very up and down play, I truly believe that Dechambeau has finally figured It out. We all knew he was a special talent and a smart young man, it was just always a question of whether or not he would ever put it all together to become a consistent professional. Over the last three months, he has played arguably the best golf of his whole career, being in contention on multiple occasions, with three top fives in his last six made cuts. He hasn’t played in a few weeks, but his last showing was one of his best, with a T3 at The RBC Heritage, where he finished 8th in driving distance and T3 in average putts per round. The stats he has posted in his last 24 rounds are just as impressive as the high finishes we have seen from DeChambeau.
During this time, he ranks 3rd in SGT2G, 14th in SG APP, 22nd in GIR, 15th in driving distance, 5th in ball striking, 7th in par four scoring, 4th in par five scoring, 5th in BOB%, 23rd in bogey avoidance, and 62nd in SGP. (via Fantasy National) Additonally, he is 1/2 at Quail Hollow in made cuts, with a T33 last season in The PGA Championship. At the moment, he has the 12th best odds to win (50/1, via Bovada), but is the 19th highest priced player on DraftKings this week. DeChambeau is an excellent value play at this price and is someone who I will be using in all formats with confidence.
Jamie Lovemark: (7,100)
Since missing four straight cuts earlier this season, Lovemark has now made seven consecutive cuts over the last two and half months. Mixed in there, he has five top 30s, including a T7 at The Honda Classic. He has always been know has a bomber (39th in driving distance this season), but the rest of his game has been coming together during this stretch of made cuts. When comparing all of these golfers last 24 rounds of golf, Lovemark ranks 6th in SGT2G, 13th in SG APP, 51st in GIR, 18th in ball striking, 50th in par four scoring, 5th in par five scoring, 50th in BOB%, 5th in bogey avoidance, and 71st in SGP. (via Fantasy National)
He missed the cut in his first two attempts at Quail Hollow, but the past two years he has made it to the weekend, including a T53 in 2016 and a then a T33 last season. I understand this field is stronger than the one he faced at The Texas Open two weeks ago, but the $600 dollar price cut he has seen is rather dramatic. $7,100 is just too cheap for Lovemark in this form and I think he is one of the better values to target.
Daniel Berger: 10/11 cuts this season and 2/3 at Quail Hollow, with two top 30s.
Luke List: Before the MC at The Texas Open, he made eight straight cuts and finished in the top 30 in each event. He has missed the cut here the last two years, so he is no lock, but his type of game is what we want at Quail Hollow. In his last 12 rounds of golf, he ranks 4th in driving distance and second in par five scoring. (via Fantasy National)
Beyong-Hun An: Seven for his last eight and has a T28 here last year under his belt.
Xander Schauffele: Coming off a MC and failed to make the cut in his first try at Quail last season, but the low price together with low expected ownership, of 5-8% (via Fantasy Labs), make him a great GPP target.
Grayson Murray: 22nd in last year’s PGA Championship and has three top 20s in his last four starts.
Adam Hadwin: He doesn’t fit the mold of a bomber, but this man hasn’t missed a cut since last August. He finished T24th at The Masters and before that he posted a T6, T9, and then T12. His course history will scare most off, only making one cut in three starts at Quail Hollow, but it’s rather hard to ignore Hadwin in this form.
PLAY THIS LINEUP