Welcome back everyone. After a week off, I am back with my DraftKings PGA Sleeper Picks for The Wells Fargo Championship. This event is usually held at the well-known Quail Hollow, but with Quail Hollow being the venue for the upcoming PGA Championship, The Tour has decided to have this year’s Wells Fargo be played at Eagle Point Golf Club in Wilmington, North Carolina. (par 72, 7,409 yards) This is the first time a PGA event will be held at this course, so we have zero statistics or course history to base our selections on this week. Outside of some players’ positive opinions, the course scorecard will be main source of information this week. After looking through the card, the course is short enough that I think both longer and shorter hitters can do well here at Eagle Point.
But as usual, with most courses, it seems like distance can be an advantage if you can hit the right spots to set yourself up with a good shot at the green. Players will need to take advantage of scoring on the par fives, but also on these short par fours, with two of them under 400 yards, and nine of the total ten under 450 yards, putting an emphasis on par four scoring for the week. But in all reality, with us having no history to fall back on, it makes sense to target players with good form, who rank well in the most important stats for DFS golf, strokes gained tee to green, greens in regulation percentage, strokes gained putting, and birdie or better percentage.
Most PGA players are preparing for next week’s Players Championship, but we still have a decent field for The Wells Fargo, that is headlined by the return of #1 player in the world, Dustin Johnson. DraftKings’ pricing for the week has made it easy to make some very intriguing lineups, but with no course data to help us, it seems like a better week to play a smaller amount of your bankroll, with a stacked field in The Players just right around the corner. Also if you need more picks for The Wells Fargo, be sure to check out Geoff’s DraftKings picks and Keegan’s betting picks. So as always, good luck, and if any of these picks help you or if you need any advice, let me know in the comments section below or on Twitter @Hunta512.
If you want help with PGA research for DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com
Harold Varner III: (6,300) Varner was a disaster to start the season, but he is really starting to round back into form, making six of his last seven cuts, including two top 25s. His stats have been solid for the year, ranking 76th in strokes gained tee to green, 28th in driving distance (299.9 yards), 65th in greens in regulation percentage (68.13%), 92nd in birdie or better percentage, and 89th in par four scoring. His main weakness has been his putting, but he has been much better over his last four events, with a 28.7 average putts per round, compared to his 29.6 average for the season.
We obviously don’t know much about this course, but if Varner he can keep up with this improved putting, he should be able to compete this week, even on this new course. His $6,300 price tag is crazy for a player who has made five straight cuts and we are getting him at a serious discount, when considering that he cost $1,500 more in his last standard stroke PGA event, just two weeks ago at The Valero Texas Open. His upside is limited because he always seems to struggle on the weekend, but at this price Varner only needs to make the cut, which is definitely a possibility for a player in his form.
Stewart Cink: (6,400) Cink is very underpriced for how consistent of a player he has been this season. For the year he is 12/15 in made cuts, with him making eight of last nine, and not finishing outside the top 30 in the last six events he has made it to the weekend. He isn’t the most exciting player, but he is a course manager, who should be able to handle the task of playing on a course that he is unfamiliar with. For this season, he ranks 30th in strokes gained tee to green, 83rd in driving distance (292.1 yards), 30th in greens in regulation percentage (70%), 43rd in strokes gained putting, and 39th in birdie or better percentage.
Also if the par fours end up being the difference this week, Cink should be right in the mix, with him ranking 12th in par four scoring. Just like with Varner, Cink stands out as a nice bargain at his respective salary of only $6,400, which is the first time he has priced under $7,000 in over two months. At this price I think he is a very strong play who will hopefully come with a low ownership.
Nick Taylor: (7,000) The Canadian player is coming off back to back T22s at The RBC Heritage and The Valero Texas Open. He is a very inconsistent putter, but the rest of his game has helped him over the last few months, with him making 8/11 cuts in the new year. As I just said his putting isn’t great, ranking 140th in strokes gained putting, but the rest of his stats are decent, ranking 83rd in strokes gained tee to green, 113th in greens in regulation percentage (66.46%), 84th in driving distance (292 yards), and 112th in birdie or better percentage.
I do think the par fours will be the key, but shooting low numbers on the par fives will also be important, which is a strong suit for Taylor, with him ranking 14th on The Tour in par five scoring, and 15th in eagles. I don’t know if I trust him in cash games, but in GPPs I think Taylor is a great option that has top 25 upside this week.
Also Consider: Emillano Grillo, Cameron Percy, Kevin Tway, Shane Lowry, Alexander Noren, Brian Harman, and Matt Jones.