With all four of the Majors done and in the past, we now turn our focus to the last event before the start of The FedEx Cup Playoffs, The Wyndham Championship. Before we start discussing this week, let’s quickly go over my sleepers from last week’s PGA Championship. Things turned out as I got 2/3 of my main golfers successfully making the cut with some nice value plays coming out of my honorable mentions. Tony Finau didn’t have a high finish with a T44th but he put a solid 64 DK points and Ian Poulter did his job putting up a T22 at a low ownership in most GPPs. (8.5% in The Millionaire Maker) Now on to The Wyndham. This week The Tour stays in North Carolina and heads to Sedgefield Country Club, which is a 7,129 yard par 70 located in Greensboro. First off, as usual we need to put a heavy emphasis on par four scoring as we always do with par 70 tracks.
Being long off the tee isn’t essential at all and hitting the fairways is much more important than hitting a long drive here. The numbers don’t lie and over the last eight seasons we have seen the winner hit a high 73% of fairways. (via Fantasy Golf Metrics) Also, striking the ball well and finding greens will play a large role, as these last eight winners have averaged a 79% GIR rate. Si Woo Kim took home the big check last year at -21 and every winner since this event has been played at Sedgefield has finished at -14 or better. So it’s safe to say we can expect another low winning number on this easier course and we should definitely target players who drain birdies often. To no surprise, this is a very ugly field of players with the first stop of The Playoffs next Thursday. With this type of field, I highly recommended limiting how much cash you use with some great tournaments looming in the next coming weeks. Also, be sure to check out Geoff’s DraftKings write up and if you have any questions or if any of my sleepers help your lineups, make sure to let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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Soren Kjeldsen: (7,500) His missed cut last week at The PGA Championship wasn’t pretty, but Kjeldsen is definitely underpriced when considering this field. The 82nd ranked player’s game didn’t set well for the longer Quail Hollow, and before this missed cut he was playing some solid golf, making five of his previous six cuts, with a T37th at The Open Championship mixed in there.
This will be his first time playing in a Wyndham, but his accuracy off the tee is ideal for this track. For the season he ranks 12th in driving accuracy percentage (69.01%) and is 8th in fairways gained over his last 12 rounds of play compared to the rest of this field. (via Fantasy National) Also before last week, Kjeldsen had been hitting a great 72.6% of greens in his prior three starts versus his 60.8% average for the season. At only $7,500, I think Kjeldsen is a sneaky GPP play that could surprise in his debut at Sedgefield Country Club.
Graeme McDowell: (7,300) Another player who in my opinion stands out as too cheap in this soft field is Graeme McDowell. His recent game log is atrocious missing five of his last six cuts, but the one thing that stands out is all of these missed cuts took place on par 71s or par 72s, not shorter par 70s. Now that may not seem like a big deal at first, but Gmac this season is 3/3 on par 70s, finishing no worse than T29th in those three starts. Furthermore, in these three starts on par 70s courses this season, his stats have been very compelling when ranking all of these golfers last 12 rounds on par 70s. According to Fantasy National, he ranks 1st in DraftKings points, 1st in birdies gained, 8th in strokes gained total, 4th in fairways hit, and 20th in strokes gained on par fours.
He has only competed here once, last season, but he played extremely well, racking up 20 birdies, shooting -8 total on the par fours, resulting in a T5 finish. His game suits this course (8th in DA%) and I think we see him snap out of this funk and make the cut this weekend, especially with the extra motivation he should have to make it to The FedEx Cup Playoffs. Right now he ranks 131st in The FedEx Cup standings and only the top 125 players after The Wyndham will be invited to next week’s Northern Trust. McDowell knows he must have a quality finish to keep his season going and I think the veteran is a very nice GPP option that should get overlooked because of his recent form. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
Daniel Summerhays: (7,100) Summerhays has quietly been a very consistent cut maker lately, making the cut in his last six PGA events, with two top 20s, and a made cut at The PGA Championship last week. His stats have improved during this cut streak to a solid GIR rate of 68.3% and to a decent driving accuracy percentage of 65.6%.
Just like McDowell, Summerhays needs to make the cut and have a respectable finish, with him currently sitting at 124th in the points standings. He is 2/4 here at Sedgefield, with his best performance coming back in 2011 when he finished T17th. He isn’t the most exciting play in the world, but Summerhays is a solid value that has a good chance of making it to the weekend when considering his current FedEx Cup situation.
Also Consider: Smylie Kaufman, Kevin Na, Hao-Tong Li, Ollie Schniderjans, Brandon Hagy, Harold Varner III, Nick Watney, Rory Sabbatini, Trey Mullinax, and J.J. Henry.