The best week of the year is upon us as the best players in the world travel to Augusta, Georgia to possibly take home a green jacket at the Masters. It’s the first major of the year and probably my favorite. Last year, Danny Willett was able to take home the trophy in his second Master’s appearance, thanks to a Jordan Spieth blow up on the famous 12th hole. The course is a regular par 72, measuring around 7500 yards. The fairways are rolling and sloped without much rough to be concerned with. It’s all about the greens here at Augusta as three putts will be plenty and being on the correct side of the hole is of the utmost importance. Players who can hit their 175 yard approaches to the correct area of the greens will be who you want to target this week. Having experience playing here is another important factor in order to take advantage of the pins you can attack and straying to the safe side on others to avoid the big numbers that always loom at Augusta. I’m really excited for the week to unfold and hopefully we can make some money along the way. Let’s get to the Masters betting picks.
Betting Odds for the Masters Tournament
- Dustin Johnson: 6-1
- Rory McIlroy: 7.5-1
- Jordan Spieth: 8-1
- Hideki Matsuyama, Rickie Fowler: 18-1
- Jason Day: 20-1
- Jon Rahm: 22-1
- Justin Rose, Phil Mickelson: 25-1
- Henrik Stenson: 30-1
- Justin Thomas, Adam Scott: 35-1
- Paul Casey, Sergio Garcia: 40-1
- Bubba Watson: 45-1
- Brandt Snedeker, Louis Oosthuizen, Marc Leishman: 50-1
- Tyrrell Hatton: 60-1
- Brooks Koepka, Russell Henley: 66-1
- Daniel Berger: 75-1
- Matthew Fitzpatrick, Thomas Pieters, Charl Schwartzel, Patrick Reed, Adam Hadwin, Lee Westwood, Matt Kuchar, Tommy Fleetwood, Alex Noren: 80-1
- Branden Grace, J.B. Holmes, Bill Haas, Jimmy Walker: 100-1
- Danny Willett, Gary Woodland, Kevin Kisner, Zach Johnson, Charley Hoffman, Emiliano Grillo: 125-1
- Martin Kaymer, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Ross Fisher, Shane Lowry, Bernd Wiesberger, Jason Dufner, Ryan Moore, Soren Kjeldsen: 150-1
- Brendan Steele, Byeong-Hun An, Francesco Molinari, Jim Furyk, Kevin Na, Pat Perez, Andy Sullivan, Russell Knox, Angel Cabrera, Hudson Swafford: 200-1
Rickie Fowler (18-1): Outside of Dustin Johnson, Rickie has been one of the best players on tour the last few months. He just missed out on his second win of the season last week, but he still showed once again that he is in top form with the third place finish. His last five finishes on tour have been 3-12-16-1-4 so his current form is fantastic. His Masters course history has been okay (MC-12-5-38-27-38), but it does show he has upside with a top 5 finish and consistency with 4/5 cuts made. His stats this season show just how well he’s playing as well. Rickie ranks 3rd in SG: Approach, 9th in SG: Putting, 4th in SG: T2G, 2nd in Total Driving and 3rd in Scrambling. He’s playing some of the best golf in his career and I think it’s his turn to take home his first major.
Justin Rose (25-1): Rose is one of my favorites this week for the Masters. First off, his course history is pretty remarkable considering he hasn’t won this thing. He’s played here 11 times and made the cut in all 11 tries, including four top-10’s. He’s been inside the top 15 the past three seasons here including a runner up finish two years ago so the upside is definitely there. He also comes in playing extremely well right now, making his last 14 cuts on tour with five top-15’s in his last seven starts. Rose has been solid all year and ranks inside the top 20 in SG: Off the tee, Around the Green and T2G. He’s an all around player that should have won here by now and it won’t surprise me if he does it this week.
Mid Tier Picks
Paul Casey (40-1): Casey is my favorite play in terms of value this week. At 40-1, there’s potential for a sizeable payout if he can pull this off. Casey is making his 11th appearance here, which is obviously important for success. During those 11 starts he has six top 20’s, including a 4th and 6th the past two seasons. Gotta love that course history. His current form is solid as well only having missed one cut in last 14 events. Casey will be looking for first PGA Tour win since 2009 which does scare me, but he has the winning upside with three wins on the European Tour since then. His stats also line up well as he ranks 5th in SG: Around the Green, 18th in SG:T2G and 7th in Scrambling. He also ranks 8th in Proximity from 150-175 and 9th in 175-200, both key yardages for this course. If Casey can putt whatsoever he’ll have a solid chance to win this week.
Daniel Berger (75-1): Berger is one of the few guys who have played the Masters as a first timer and done extremely well. He placed 10th last year in his Masters debut and will look to build on that this year. He comes in finally looking healthy after a fifth place finish last week at the Shell Houston Open. He hit 80% of his greens that week and over 70% of the fairways, which tells me he’s got his swing figured out and he is healthy once again. Berger has been solid around the greens this season ranking 19th in SG: Putting and 16th in Scrambling. He’s also inside the top 20 in Par 3 and Par 4 scoring average. At 75-1, he possesses the upside to go out and win this week.
Long Shot Value Picks
Emiliano Grillo (125-1): Grillo is another guy who made his Masters debut last season and did extremely well, placing 17th. He has played solid golf of late with a 7th place finish at the Arnold Palmer a few weeks ago. He’s only missed one cut in his last 14 tournaments and has six top 10’s during that span. Grillo ranks 27th in SG: T2G and 30th in Proximity from 175-200. He’s a guy that already has a PGA Tour win and two runner-up finishes so the upside is definitely there.
Brendan Steele (200-1): Steele is playing the best golf of his career right now after winning his second career PGA Tour event in October of last year at the Safeway Open. He hasn’t missed a cut all year in 11 starts and has six top-25 finishes in that span. Steele is making his second appearance at the Masters after missing the cut in 2012. That experience should do nothing but help him in his second go round and it certainly helps he’s playing really well right now. His stats are absolutely phenomenal for a guy with 200-1 odds. He ranks 20th in SG: Approach, 31st in SG: Around the Green and 13th in SG: T2G. He also is 7th in Proximity from 175-200, 5th in scrambling and 6th in Bogey Avoidance. Another guy that can get it done if the flat stick cooperates this week, which is much easier said than done at Augusta.
Good luck this week and make sure to follow me on Twitter!