Well, last week was a rather unpredictable one!
That’s not something bettors don’t want to hear.
My sleepers never woke up but I thought Chez Reavie and Bubba Watson would still deliver the goods but they got robbed on the way home worse than Lloyd Christmas when that old lady got him.
I think Chez shot a first round 67 then must’ve got in touch with his inner John Daly that night because, after a 78 on Friday, he was done.
So, we had a bad week.
It wasn’t so easy to pick with it being the first time we have even seen pros play at the Detroit Golf Club.
I don’t think many bettors got their tickets in for Nate Lashley as he was a late Wednesday replacement.
This week, we climb up in elevation about 1000 feet north of Minneapolis to the TPC Twin Cities for the 3M Open.
This is another new tournament although some of you may have seen The Champions Tour make a regular stop here for the past 15 years.
It was originally an Arney Palmer designed course but they went through some recent renovations with former pro, Tom Lehman, adding his touch.
This was mainly length as it already played with a low level of difficulty.
I wouldn’t expect TPC Twin Cities to befuddle many golfers this week.
It’s long but rather straight with bentgrass greens.
We should look for winning scores to be in the -20 to -25 range.
BetOnline has the odds this week.
Let’s dive in, work our way up from the bottom, and get some wins back.
Cameron Champ to Finish Inside the Top Twenty: +325
The Champ is here!
I too jumped on the bandwagon for a bit earlier in the year.
He can drive it just about as far as anyone else on Tour. I think the 3M Open is happening just in time for Cameron where a course like the TPC Twin Cities can bring his strengths to the forefront.
Let’s not get too crazy and pick him to win but a little top twenty action is just right.
Patrick Reed to Finish Inside the Top Ten: +210
The baby-faced assassin got me last week.
I foolishly picked against him the former Masters winner and he shot a beautiful 17 under par which was good enough for a 5th place finish.
Prior to that, we have to go all the way back to February in Mexico to find a top twenty for Reed.
His accurate yet powerful driving is some of the best in the field this week and the greens are Bentgrass which, surprisingly, have only been played this year at The Colonial and The Masters.
He skipped Colonial but we already know he plays Augusta well.
Tony Finau to Finish Inside the Top Twenty: +130
Not unlike Champ, Finau is not playing great golf lately but hey, that narrative has got us into the hole lately.
Okay, “into the hole” is not the best metaphor for golf but you understand.
This man smashes the ball and should be able to set himself up nicely on the greens.
If he can bond with that flat stick of his, I like him to break out of a slump this week in Minn”e”sota.
Bryson Dechambeau to Win: +1400
I don’t normally do that but the Hogan Hat is calling me.
14 to 1 isn’t the biggest number we’ve seen next to the man from Modesto but I think he can get it done.
He is one of the only golfers on Tour who have as strong of a putting game as he does but can still drive the ball fairly long with laser accuracy.
Let’s throw this dog a bone and see if he doesn’t come back on Sunday with a smile on his face.
Jason Day to Finish Top 5: +225
Not a winner here too?
Well, he’s just 10-1 for a winning payout and we need to get some victories back.
The Bryson thing was just a gut feeling.
Maybe that’s just my third day of food poisoning but I’m staying with it.
Thai food is all fun and games until you get sick.
Try to find bland food in the Land Of Smiles.
Outside of bananas and rice, I dare ya.
Yes, Jason Day.
He has more wins on courses with pure Bentgrass greens with 4 than anyone else on Tour in the last decade.
Koepka and Dechambeau have 3.
Along with Bryson, Jason tied for 8th as well last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and he also placed 5th at this year’s Masters.
Let’s go with the Aussie this week. He is another guy with accuracy, very high greens in regulation, and can, of course, tap that flat stick with the best of them.
Ah, the Midwest Swing.
The Rocket Mortgage Classic, the 3M Open, and next week the John Deere Classic.
These tournaments are the crown jewels of not only the PGA Tour but the entire world of golf.
Nothing says a challenge like -28 for the tournament, right?
These aren’t the most beautiful or challenging courses in golf, but we have an opportunity to make some money so why not tune in?
It should be a birdie fest and there are a few of the world’s best in attendance.
#1 Brooks Koepka is in the field at TPC Twin Cities as well as Australia’s best Jason Day and the youngest man in America wearing a Kangol style hat, Bryson Dechambeau.
Viktor Hovland is the next best thing right now, but I like “ol” Cameron Champ to return to a solid early season form and knock the paint off of some balls this week.
Let’s hope last week’s heartbreaker, Patrick Reed, continues his sharp play on a tree-lined Bentgrass-greened course as he adores.