PGA Tour Betting Picks for the Farmers Insurance Open

Farmers Insurance Open - Jason Day, Tony Finau and Marc Leishman

More and more of the world’s best golfers are making their first PGA Tour appearances of 2019. While many participated and played well in the Fall Series, Tiger Woods only played the Hero World Challenge at the end of 2018.

Before that tournament was Tiger’s massive major win at the Tour Championship in mid-September.

It can be argued that Woods is not in a rhythm, certainly not in the same rhythm as someone like Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, or Marc Leishman who have each been incredible in early 2019 as well as putting together a strong finish at the tail end of ’18.

If you didn’t know, Tiger Woods is an 8-time winner at Torrey Pines. There are a couple other multiple-time winners at Torrey Pines.

One of those guys is Jason Day.

The 31-year-old Aussie, Day skipped the last two tournaments after the TOC where he recovered well finishing up strong with a final round 7 under par, good enough for a 13th overall finish.

Betting on a winner is obviously very difficult.

Last week, Adam Hadwin came through big for me as he outplayed Charles Howell III in a matchup bet and nearly won the whole thing. My other two matchups bets, unfortunately, didn’t come through.

The previous week at the Sony Open, I took Bryson Dechambeau and Justin Rose who finished 10th and 16th, respectively.

At the Tournament of Champions, I gave you Cameron Champ, Dustin Johnson, and Rory McIlroy as my picks. Champ faltered in the third round only to surge for a 6-under Sunday to finish minus 12.

Dustin Johnson had a great final round as well to finish alongside the Sunday-struggler Rory McIlroy as they tied for 4th.

Rory was on pace to win until he faltered and Xander Schauffele shot a final round 11 under par.

So, that’s almost 2 winners in 3 weeks.

Let’s take a step back for Torrey Pines this week as the level of competition is thickening faster than a Sunday morning bowl of gravy in the South.

Almost picking two winners in just three weeks feels good, but the feels aren’t going to pay for my heat bill this month.

Let’s pick a couple top twenty golfers and one top ten guy.

Best Pick

Marc Leishman

In 4 out of his previous 5 tournaments played, Marc has finished 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th. He’s also coming off of a rest week as he didn’t participate in the Desert Classic.

It looks like this should be a top ten or even top 5 bet. You can do that if you like, but a 100% profit isn’t bad when you consider it’s pretty likely.

How has the Aussie fared at Torrey Pines in the recent past?

The past two years here, though, he has 8th and 20th place finishes so let’s stay safe with the top twenty bet.

My Pick
LEISHMAN TO FINISH TOP 20

Second Best Pick

Tony Finau

Tony is rolling! He crushes the ball off the tee which will be needed at the longest course on the PGA Tour, the Torrey Pines South Course.

Finau had a Fall Series as good as anyone and has 4th and 6th place finishes at Torrey Pines the past two years.

He’s (+220) to finish top ten which is tempting, but there’s just too much talent remaining in the field to make that a sure call.

My Pick
FINAU TO FINISH TOP 20

Third Best Pick

Jason Day

Aussie Aussie Aussie, Oy Oy Oy!!!

With my second Australian pick of the week, I choose Jason Day.

He is now 31 which means he is now in both his mental and physical prime for the game of golf with his mental prime being 30-40 and physical 25-35.

Jason had an alright Fall Series. It was nothing special and he has only played in the TOC in 2019 where he shot a final round 66 to finish 13th.

Let’s see how he has performed in La Jolla in the past.

He won here last year and in 2015 as well. Jason was the runner-up in 2014.

Day missed the cut in ‘16 and ‘17. That’s the only thing that worries me here but after a strong final round at the Sony and two weeks rest, Jason shouldn’t have much of a problem staying inside the top twenty golfers.

My Pick
DAY TO FINISH TOP 20

In Conclusion

There are several guys I really like this week. San Diego State alum Xander Schauffele will be looking to continue his dominant play in 2019.

Jon Rahm is on pace for a career-defining year. The 24-year-old Spaniard is off to a great start and is a returning champion at Torrey Pines.

These two, I really like.

The three picks I made, though, I love.

Leishman is as consistent as they come and I will throw him on a top twenty or top ten bet any chance I get.

Day missing the cut 2 years in a row following a victory bugs me, especially because he is following a victory here in 2018 as well.

I don’t see him missing the cut for the 3rd time in 4 years and hopefully, he’s been in San Diego for at least a week on the La Jolla cliffs chipping and putting away in preparation for this weekend.

Tony Finau has been an absolute stud. He’s playing great, plays this tournament very well, and the course suits his style of play.

Get your bets in and try to catch a few holes live on your first weekend without football in months. Golf is much more relaxing to watch than to play.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.