PGA Tour Betting Picks for Waste Management Phoenix Open

PGA Tour Phoenix Open - Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finau and Justin Thomas1

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us. I’m sure most of you can’t wait to watch the game hopeful of our wagers on prop bets as well as the outcome.

I’m with you, but the Super Bowl preview shows on television are starting to become a bit monotonous. How many times is Shannon Sharpe going to say that Todd Gurley is a beast?

I like the approach the attendees of the Waste Management Phoenix Open take each year.

Anticipation is for the kids on Christmas Eve!

Screw that!

These golf fans want to show that they aren’t a bunch of oddly-clapping, polo collar-popping, uptight gentlemen and women as the stereotype goes.

I’ve seen pictures from the stands and the crowd looks more like the ISM NASCAR race track in Phoenix than you would expect from a PGA Tour golf tournament in one of the richest cities in America.

There’s a concert every night and the drinking doesn’t stop until after the tournament ends.

Well, they probably keep it going for the rest of the Super Bowl and on into the night at the afterparties.

Start drinking and yelling at your favorite golfers on Thursday, blink a few times and they’ll be set for kickoff on Sunday!

Sounds like a plan. Maybe next year.

Last week, though, I gave you three golfers to finish in the top twenty. Picking winners is really exciting, but I wanted you guys to get at least a couple bets won for this tournament.

Fortunately for us, 2 of those three guys played great. Jason Day finished tied for 5th and Tony Finau tied for 13th. Marc Leishman wasn’t quite his consistent self as he wrapped up the Farmers Insurance Open 5 under for 43rd in the field.

I really like one of those golfers again this week. Let’s get right to the betting action.

#1 Pick: Hideki Matsuyama

TO WIN
+1200
TO FINISH TOP 10
+150
TO FINISH TOP 20
-130

The man absolutely dominates this tournament. He is experienced and stoic. These two qualities should keep his mind focused on his game and not on the many distractions the Phoenix Open has to offer.

Not only does Hideki smoke this tournament virtually every year, but he’s also coming off of a very solid performance last week at the Farmers Insurance Open where he finished tied for 3rd.

There are plenty of other golfers whose game is designed for this course also so picking him to win is a bit of a longshot, even though he was a victor here in 2016 and ‘17.

If you’re feeling lucky, go with the Top 10 bet.

If you want to win, albeit for a little less dough, take him to finish top 20.

My Pick
MATSUYAMA TO FINISH TOP 20

#2 Pick: Tony Finau

TO WIN
+1800
TO FINISH TOP 10
+170
TO FINISH TOP 20
-120

Ha, you guys remember this from The Masters Par 3 Championship?

As a lifetime ankle-roller myself, I have never had it pop out on me like that but the 6’4” savage got her right back into place without hesitation.

Last week, he came through for me and I’m sticking with Milton again for the Phoenix Open.

My bad, Milton. I would go by Tony as well.

There are only a handful of golfers on the PGA Tour that can bomb the ball off-the-tee as far and as accurate as the man from Salt Lake City.

He isn’t the best putter as some of you may know, but bad putters have excelled here in recent history.

The aforementioned Matsuyama is currently 120th on the Tour in shots gained-putting.

Gary Woodland, who won here last year, struggles with the putter in his hand as well.

Tony Finau, while 6th in shots gained from the tee-to-green, stinks up the green ranking 182nd in shots gained putting on the Tour.

Tony’s only tournament played in 2019 was last week’s Farmers Insurance Open where he finished tied for 13th.

I think there will be a few guys that gain enough shots putting to push Finau outside of the top ten by Sunday. I love him in the top twenty, though, especially at only (-120).

My Pick
FINAU TO FINISH TOP 20

#3 Pick: Justin Thomas

TO WIN
+900
TO FINISH TOP 10
+250
TO FINISH TOP 20
-110

Yes, Jon Rahm is definitely more due for a win than Thomas. The Spaniard played the West Coast Swing as well as anyone and has five straight top ten finishes overall.

He’s playing his third straight week, though, and I like Justin Thomas just as much plus he has slightly better odds.

The Tournament of Champions from Maui is a bombers course. The fairways of TPC Scottsdale aren’t as wide, but there’s virtually no rough or deadly sand traps to deal with.

I think the golfers who played the TOC well will also play the TPC Scottsdale with precision.

It took a lights-out Xander Schauffele to beat out Gary Woodland at the TOC as he set a course record on Sunday to finish first in Maui.

Both of these men I think will play very well this week.

I’m sticking with Justin as in my top three simply due to the fact that he’s former world #1, FedEx Cup Champ, and likely the best all-around golfer in this week’s field.

My Pick
THOMAS TO FINISH TOP 20

In Conclusion

This tourney is the most attended event on the entire PGA Tour. Fans and bettors alike are in for a field day with the Waste Management Phoenix Open. You can get several of the world’s best golfers to finish top 20 for nearly even money.

If you attend the event, you can relive your college spring break days throughout the 4-day weekend. Okay, maybe it’s not spring break level but these guys are going hard.

Just look at the golf bros who may or may not be named Brad or Chad follow Jason Day’s golf ball off the fairway as the warming beer sloshes dangerously around in their big gulps.

It is Super Bowl weekend and if you are a couple big gulps deep yourself before you make your bets, maybe throw these three guys on top ten bets but stay away from trying to pick a winner.

You could get paid out handsomely, but the talent field is thick this week.

Get your golf bets in, enjoy the tourney, and it’ll be time for kickoff before you know it.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.