Golf’s four major tournaments have now concluded.
Last week was going alright for us until Sunday’s weather put a damper, if you will, onto many different golfers’ scores.
Xander Schauffele was hanging around the top twenty mark but a 7 over par fourth round did him in.
Webb Simpson didn’t falter quite as bad but (+3) knocked him one stroke outside of the top twenty. He finished even for the tourney. That one hurt because we had the over 29.5 golfers finishing under par and darn if the number didn’t end up at 29.
Shane Lowry made no doubt about the winning score of 274.5 or lower, though, when he took his sweet Irish time on the final 18 to win the first major of his career.
Although, Brooks didn’t secure what would have been the first Open Championship win of his short career, he still managed a top 5 finish which was good enough for (+225).
Jon Rahm wrapped things up in 11th place, so it’s apparent that our top twenty call on him was a good one.
Alas, onto this week.
This is actually a WGC event in Memphis, Tennessee entitled the St Jude Invitational.
Surprising to most, many of the country’s best golfers will be in the small field of 65.
Last week was undoubtedly a rough one across the pond in Northern Ireland at Royal Portrush. The “forecast” was fairly mild but it’s a different kind of coastal weather than Santa Monica.
I would think this week’s sponsor, St Jude Children’s Hospital, is a good reason why the field of golfers is this thick with talent. Cheers to them for showing up for a great cause.
As for which golfers to pick this week for your potential winning spread, I’m initially leaning towards guys who have played the links at TPC Southwind at a high level in the past.
Along with course history, I like golfers this week that weren’t in contention on Sunday or maybe more so players who didn’t even make the cut.
There are a few that come to mind.
BetOnline has a variety of lines for us this week.
Let’s make some picks!
Shane Lowry to Finish Inside the Top Five: +1000
I’m just kidding!
Forgive me but I’m truly shocked the Irishman is playing this week.
The word is he’s been celebrating rather hard as he should.
Hey, he might be just relaxed enough to sneak into the top ten, though.
He won’t be alone with a hangover.
Last week was a stressful one on him, no doubt, but at least he finished on a high note.
I imagine maybe he didn’t have time to come down from it either.
Let’s throw a few bucks on him to grab a top ten spot. It’s going to be interesting either way.
Chez Reavie to Finish Inside the Top Ten: +450
Going back to the Zurich Classic in late April and the following week at Quail Hollow, Chez has been a very solid mid-season run.
18th at those two tournaments followed by 14th at the PGA Championship and 3rd at Fort Worth has him primed for the US Open at Pebble Beach where he finished T-3.
After following that up with a win at the Travelers, he was set to right some past wrongs at The Open.
Well, that didn’t happen and he missed the cut.
No worries, though.
He has shined in talent-rich fields all year and I believe he will do the same this week with some warmer weather, albeit downright sticky in the BBQ capital of the world.
Yea, I said it.
Visit The Pig on Beale Street and call me in the morning.
While Chez isn’t the strongest putter on the Tour, he does perform best on Bermuda Grass which will be the surface on the greens this week at TPC Southwind.
The Wichita-native was 4th and 6th the past two years at TPC Southwind in Tennessee and while I’m not chasing a 5th place finish for the well-rested Reavie, a top ten at nearly 5 to 1 holds considerable value.
Brandt Snedeker to Finish Inside the Top Ten: +500
I’m tempted to pick the Tennessee-native to win here, actually.
He is from Nashville, which is just a couple hundred miles east of Memphis and the Mighty Mississip’.
Brandt finished 6th here a couple of years ago and would love to get a win in his home state.
He is in solid form despite missing the cut last week at Portrush. As I said earlier, though, I am looking at that as a positive.
I’ll take the mentally and physically well-rested guys over the ones who had to deal with all that stress in the wind and cold.
There’s also the flight home, and jet lag is no joke.
Brandt has a good history on comparable courses as well as similar fairway and green surfaces.
Add those facts to him having a good summer finishing 4th at the Canadian Open and 5th at the Rocket Mortgage and we’ve got a deal.
Nate Lashley to Finish Inside the Top Twenty: +400
How can we forget about this guy so soon?
In case you did, he dominated the Rocket Mortgage Classic less than a month ago, put in on cruise control with a round four 70 and still finished 25 under par.
Yea, he missed the cut the following week at the 3M but that’s to be expected. Let the man celebrate.
He came back with a decent showing at the John Deere finishing T-26.
Then at last week’s Open, he missed the cut.
The veteran from Nebraska likely needed the break as he had played every week since his win.
What is also a good sign is he shot a first-round 75 last week and rebounded on Friday with a 69. It wasn’t good enough to make the cut but it showed his stroke is still there.
He rates out well on this course too. A top ten finish might be a bit much to ask with such a talent-rich field but (+400) to sneak into the 20 best is just what the pitmaster ordered.
A lot of people are on Rory this week seeing as he missed the cut at The Open but it isn’t the best look for him or any of the world’s best who may have underperformed at Royal Portrush.
It would appear that they just couldn’t get it done when it counted the most.
Dustin Johnson made the cut and has a great course history here at TPC Southwind but at even odds for a top ten and a weak summer overall, I’m staying away.
Golfers like Chez Reavie and the semi-local Brandt Snedeker have both had very good years to this point as well as playing these links well in the past.
The Shane Lowry pick may be a bit of a stretch but hey, stretching can be fun sometimes.
Haven’t you ever been to a hot yoga class?
As a lifelong martial artist and fan of the sauna, I thought that might be a fun endeavor but when I was met at the door by an Asian man wearing a diaper, I pretended I was just picking up a schedule and left to never return.
And it was a free class too.
Anyways, guys, last week wasn’t a disaster. We were about 40% correct on our picks overall. This week, the value is there for the golfers we have in the spread. I’m thinking that the worlds best may be there more so to make an appearance than to grind out a win after a cold, wet, stressful weekend across the Atlantic.