For this week’s tournament, the PGA Tour heads to lovely La Jolla just north of my favorite California city, San Diego. The US Open will be played here in June for the first time since 2008.
There are some heavy hitters in the field this week and although the fairways are some of the most difficult to hit in regulation consistently on the PGA Tour, driving distance remains all important.
I don’t think anyone who doesn’t average at least 295 or 300 yards off the tee will be able to contend, at least for the win but a great golfer whose skill set doesn’t exactly match up very well with the course could still place in the top twenty for us.
The field is stacked @FarmersInsOpen. 💪
Who comes out on top?
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) January 27, 2021
Speaking of wagers on golfers to place, we are on a roll lately. I stayed away from the American Express last week as it is known to be the most volatile tournament on Tour and Si Woo Kim who I have backed on multiple occasions and flopped was able to hold off a surging Patrick Cantlay for the win.
Kim shot 8 under for the final round in which he was going into with the lead so you would think he didn’t have too much to worry about but Cantlay shot an 11 under par 61 and came up a shot short of forcing a playoff.
Pat didn’t even come close to the course record held by Si Woo Kim who shot an unbelievable 15 under in the first round of the American Express last year and did so with 3 triple bogeys and a quadruple.
Our golf predictions since the Masters have been on point, though. We have profited nearly 12 units over the course of three tournaments. This was heavily aided by picking Dustin Johnson to win the Masters.
We came up short with Xander and D-Bol DeChambeau but that’s alright because we still profited 7 units on Johnson at the biggest golf tournament of the year.
At the Tournament of Champions in Maui at the beginning of the year, we hit on two out of our three bets and profited 1.5 units on top ten plays for Collin Morikawa and DeChambeau who each finished tied for 7th for the weekend.
The following week in Honolulu, we went 3 for 4 on our top ten picks, each for plus money. Daniel Berger, Webb Simpson, and Collin Morikawa all placed and paid for a profit of over 3 units.
Let’s keep it rolling this week at Torrey Pines.
🏆 @FarmersInsOpen has been owned by International players as of late.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) January 27, 2021
Xander Schauffele seemed like a good choice last year to break out of his home course slump but the SD native burned us. Some people are saying well since there’s no crowd at the course, maybe he will thrive.
Maybe. After getting burned a year ago at the same place and time, it’s going to be difficult to get behind him to win but a possible top 20 bet could be worth it for the right price.
Let’s take a look at the betting odds for the Farmers Insurance Open from Torrey Pines and make some more money to add to our 2021 bankrolls.
Gary Woodland Top 20: +250
G has that swag, y’all. I bet you didn’t think you would have to read that cringe-worthy word in a golf article today but you did. I promise this is the first time I have used it in 2021 but when you’re talking about former basketball player Gary Woodland, I think it’s appropriate.
Now that he has come out and said he is playing without any pain for the first time since he can remember, you could say that he has that swagger back. Golf is such a proper, gentleman’s game that you don’t see a lot of rhythm in a golfer’s step or any swaying of the shoulders but Gary Woodland is himself and the one-time US Open winner looks to return to form in style this weekend at Torrey Pines.
One step forward and 3 steps back seemed to be my method of rehabilitation and the same seemed to be the case for Gary but it appears that he has taken the right amount of time to recover and recuperate.
Woodland has the game it takes to play well here. He is strong off the tee and also putts the golf ball very well on this Bentgrass/POA mix.
We are getting the best price possible on Gary Woodland here. I know it might be a little rainy and slightly chilly but not enough to really screw with his shoulder.
I will take Gary here to get his 6th top 20 finish in his last 8 attempts at an incredible price tag of (+250)!
Marc Leishman Top 20: +150
I heard there is going to be a bit of wind this weekend and you know what that means. Aussie Marc Leishman is arguably the best wind player on the PGA Tour and has a tremendous history of playing great golf on classical coastal courses.
Torrey Pines is no exception. Marc is the defending champion, first of all. That’s a good start and prior to 2020, he had a few runner up finishes along with some top tens sprinkled in there.
I think Marc is about a 60/40 to secure a top twenty finish this week. He is in good form and coming off of a week’s break where I’m sure he spent his time down in San Diego tuning up for this week’s Farmers as well as June’s upcoming PGA Championship.
He finished 4th at the Sony Open prior to last week’s tourney and shot a 14 under at the Tournament of Champions to kick off the year. He did miss the cut at the OHL in December but was 13th at the Masters in November.
13th, 4th, 24th, and 8th at a QBE Shootout are his best 4 finishes in his previous 5 tourneys.
Leishman seems to be in good nick at the moment and remains one of the more underrated golfers on the PGA Tour and one of the very best playing in the elements.
Rory McIlroy Top 10: +100
There isn’t much to say about Rory McIlroy other than the fact that he is one of the very best golfers on the PGA Tour and may be the best in the world. He can be a little inconsistent at times at the smaller events.
That’s alright, though, for our interests this week. I think he will be locked and loaded for a phenomenal performance at this week’s Farmers Insurance Open from Torrey Pines outside of sunny San Diego, California.
My only worry is the travel time and jet lag that Rory might feel after competing in Abu Dhabi last week. Other than that, though, the Northern Irelander should play very well here.
He has 5th and 3rd place finishes here, respectively, in his previous two starts and while it may be difficult for him to pull out the victory, I like his betting odds of even money to snag a top 10.
Viktor Hovland Top 20: +135
Yes, we are getting a fourth golfer to add to our picks today. I really like Viktor’s chances this week. He has been one of the best golfers in the past 8-10 events on the whole PGA Tour.
Vik has been consistent in his efforts and I think a top 20 is pretty likely for the Oslo, Norway native.
He played here for the first time in 2019 and missed the cut. He was still very green as a pro and this course is no joke. I love his form lately, though, as I mentioned. Vik finished up 2020 with places of 15th, 1st, and 3rd to end the year and had a so-so Tournament of Champions to kick off 2021.
In the statistics that generally matter the most here at Torrey Pines, Vik sits atop the rest of the field in recent statistical form needed to crush Torrey Pines. That’s enough for me to take him at a nice plus money number to grab a top 20 finish.
Hey, there is no football this weekend so you have no excuse not to get some viewing time in at The Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines from lovely La Jolla, California.
What a great time to watch and learn about the golf course as it will be all the talk of the Tour come June when they play the PGA Championship here. For our picks today, I wanted to go with a man on the comeback trail, Gary Woodland.
Gary had a shoulder injury that plagued him but once he got out of his own way and stopped trying to play through so much pain, his body eventually had time to heal through rehabilitation.
Rory McIlroy is always kind of a wild card when the stakes aren’t as high but I think he will be looking to perfect Torrey Pines before the PGA Championship kicks off this Summer.
Vik Hovland has sorta been overshadowed by Collin Morikawa but the Cali kid isn’t playing this week and Hov has been putting up the kind of numbers that could take him to a top 5 finish at Torrey this week.
Lastly, Marc Leishman is a master of playing in the elements, particularly on windy coastal courses like Torrey Pines.
Get your bets in now and enjoy the links this week from stunning San Diego.