Hot Picks for The Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship

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With the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play taking 64 of the world’s best golfers to Austin for the week, the rest of the PGA Tour heads to the Dominican Republic for the Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship.


This event joins the The Masters and U.S. Open as the only three events being held twice in the 2020-2021 season that has been altered by the COVID-19 pandemic. It provides a great chance for players in this field to lock up their status in bigger events for the next season. Expect this event to be a birdie-fest with each of the past five winners finishing at 18-under or better.

Course Breakdown and Weather
Corales Golf Club is hosting this event for the sixth time and for the fourth as a PGA Tour event. It measures as a 7,670-yard par 72, making it one of the longer courses on the Tour. Despite the length, past winners have been short hitters who got hot with their putters. Graeme McDowell and Brice Garnett are past winners who rode their putting strokes to the victory, but defending champion Hudson Swafford ranks in the top 50 in distance off the tee — showing that different styles of play can be effective on this layout. The forecast for the tournament calls for some light rain on the weekend and 15-25 miles per hour winds for all four days, which could prove to be a factor.

The Favorites

The favorites for this week start with Thomas Pieters (+1600), Charley Hoffman (+1800), Emiliano Grillo (+2200), Thomas Detry (+2500) and Jhonattan Vegas (+2500).

Pro Tip:
It is not smart to back anyone at under 30-1 odds this week, considering no one under that number has ever finished inside the top 10 on this course in a combined seven starts. Vegas picked up a second-place finish in the Puerto Rico Open last month against a similar watered-down field.

However, if you want one favorite to consider in your plays this week, back Charley Hoffman. Hoffman has made four consecutive cuts and finished tied for 14th in his start at this event in the fall. As far as the favorites go, it is either no bet or Charley Hoffman.

The Picks:
Charley Hoffman

Best Value Plays

The first name 100 percent worth a bet is Joel Dahmen (+5000). Dahmen did not tee it up in this event in the fall and is returning for the first time since 2019. Back in 2019, Dahmen finished tied for 12th and he has the distance off the tee that can be very beneficial on this course.

Dahmen has missed three straight cuts, so the recent form has not been there but he has some of the best talent in this weak field and is capable of putting it together at any given time. The next name to look at this week in the middle tier is Chase Seiffert (+5500).

Seiffert gained roughly eight strokes on approach at the Honda Classic last week, according to pgatour.com. This shows that Seiffert’s iron play is as good as it’s ever been in his short PGA career. He has shown success playing against some lower-strength fields this year, picking up a 12th-place finish at the Puerto Rico Open and a 15th at the American Express.

The Picks:
Joel Dahmen
+5000
Chase Seiffert
+5500

Top-10 Play

The best top-10 play of the week is Brandon Wu (+225). Wu is the reigning Korn Ferry Tour Champion who finished tied for 7th at the Puerto Rico Open last month. While he missed the cut at the Honda Classic, Wu will feel at home against a weaker field and should find himself in contention heading into the weekend. Back Wu to bring home a top-10 finish at the Corales Club Championship.

The Picks:
Brandon Wu at Bovada

The Longshots

Rafael Campos (+12500) is a longshot worth a flyer this week. Campos shined against a weaker field in Puerto Rico, finishing tied for third in his home country. He held a share of the 54-hole lead before claiming his first top-five finish on the PGA Tour. He also finished third in 2017 in the second iteration of this event back when it was a part of the Korn Ferry Tour.

With Campos’ success outside of the states, he is definitely worth a bet this week.

Another longshot worth a small bet is Wes Roach (+14000). Roach has a decent course history here, making the cut in two of his three appearances here. Roach finished tied for 13th at the Puerto Rico Open and definitely has a chance to be in contention heading into Sunday, which is all you can ask for out of a golfer in the triple digits of the odds board.

The Picks:
Rafael Campos
12500
Wes Roach
14000
Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.