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Breeders Cup Mile Picks and Odds 2010

The 2010 running of the Breeders Cup Mile gives horse racing fans worldwide a chance to see some history in the making. No, I’m not talking about Zenyatta and her unblemished, 19-0 record heading into the Breeders Cup Classic. Goldikova (6-5 ML) has a chance to become the first ever racehorse to win the same Breeders Cup even three times.

While it takes a true optimist (an owner even) to see any horse that could beat Goldikova, we’ll be looking at a pair of horses we think can finish right behind her.

Gio Ponti (4-1 ML) is an American horse that has won exactly half of his 22 lifetime starts and has hit the board on 18 times. While there won’t be a lot of value in a Goldikova-Gio Ponti exacta it must be remembered that this is the Breeders Cup where Win, Place and Show pools regularly break the $10,000,000 dollar line. Gio Ponti has two wins and two places in his last four outings—all Grade 1 events. Unless the race breaks down entirely, expect him to be right behind his European rival.

Even with a familiar pair of ponies coming in 1-2, that doesn’t mean you can’t get some value when it comes to filling out trifecta and superfecta tickets. Court Vision, with four graded races under his belt at Churchill Downs, looms as an interesting prospect at 12-1. He’s coming off of a very impressive win in the Woodbine Mile where he posted a Beyer speed figure of 102 as he came pounding home to win at odds of 7-1. His last Churchill Downs outing—the Woodford Reserve Turf Classic— he came in second by only a neck as a lukewarm 3-1 favorite. While he certainly won’t be the favorite tomorrow, his improving performances and familiarity with Churchill Downs surface make him a prime horse to look at.

The other contender to look at in the Mile is the five-year-old Irishman: Paco Boy. With 22 career races under his belt, he is well-versed on the track like Mile rival Court Vision. With eight graded wins to his name he certainly has the class to contend. While he has never beaten Goldikova in four career chances, he has come as close as any. He lost by half a length on October 30th in the Prix de la Foret at Longchamp. If he can put forward a powerful performance like his last outing: he’ll be close.

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