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Breeders Cup Sprint Picks and Odds 2010

With the Breeders Cup Sprint you just never know what you’re going to get. In 2005, Lost in the Fog came into the race powering past every horse in sight. He’d finish 7th as Silver Train— at 12-1 odds— came running home to take the prize.

This year things are certainly no different.

A tame morning-line favorite of 3-1 has been placed on Girolamo after winning the Grade 1 Vosburgh at Belmont Park.

One thing we know is certain is that Girolamo (from the #2 post) and Big Drama (inside) will post plenty of early pace in this six furlong dash. Big Drama goes off at 7-2 but a pair of longer priced horses should be noted as there appears to be tons of early speed, which is regularly the case in this $2,000,000 race.

Supreme Summit’s (12-1 ML) highest ever Beyer figure (103) came in his last race when he tracked well off of Smiling Tiger (6-1 ML) before rallying down the stretch to be beaten only a half of a length at 3-1 odds. Given that this field is much bigger with 12 horses it’s right to expect to get some value on this Garret Gomez-ridden colt who will break from the 9-hole.

Another horse that is an interesting outsider is Warrior’s Reward. Much like Supreme Summit, Warrior’s Reward is a horse that is usually backwards placed and comes thundering down the track. This has been a theme in all four of the colt’s lifetime wins. Two noteworthy races come to mind. In May of 2009, Warrior’s Reward posted a 113 Beyer figure when he won a seven furlong sprint on this very Churchill Downs track. That figure—albeit some time ago— is by far the highest figure recorded amongst any of the entrants in this year’s event. Perhaps more relevant was the powerful performance in the Carter Handicap. Sitting last in a field of six at the halfmile pole, the Ian Wilkes-trained bay got up in time to take home the Grade 1 event.

With the kind of pace that is always there in a Breeders Cup Sprint it isn’t such a bad thing to look for a horse off of the pace. While Big Drama, Girolamo and Smiling Tiger are all fine horses, we think this represents a fine betting opportunity to look at some price horses.
With the Breeders Cup Sprint you just never know what you’re going to get. In 2005, Lost in the Fog came into the race powering past every horse in sight. He’d finish 7th as Silver Train— at 12-1 odds— came running home to take the prize.

This year things are certainly no different.

A tame morning-line favorite of 3-1 has been placed on Girolamo after winning the Grade 1 Vosburgh at Belmont Park.

One thing we know is certain is that Girolamo (from the #2 post) and Big Drama (inside) will post plenty of early pace in this six furlong dash. Big Drama goes off at 7-2 but a pair of longer priced horses should be noted as there appears to be tons of early speed, which is regularly the case in this $2,000,000 race.

Supreme Summit’s (12-1 ML) highest ever Beyer figure (103) came in his last race when he tracked well off of Smiling Tiger (6-1 ML) before rallying down the stretch to be beaten only a half of a length at 3-1 odds. Given that this field is much bigger with 12 horses it’s right to expect to get some value on this Garret Gomez-ridden colt who will break from the 9-hole.

Another horse that is an interesting outsider is Warrior’s Reward. Much like Supreme Summit, Warrior’s Reward is a horse that is usually backwards placed and comes thundering down the track. This has been a theme in all four of the colt’s lifetime wins. Two noteworthy races come to mind. In May of 2009, Warrior’s Reward posted a 113 Beyer figure when he won a seven furlong sprint on this very Churchill Downs track. That figure—albeit some time ago— is by far the highest figure recorded amongst any of the entrants in this year’s event. Perhaps more relevant was the powerful performance in the Carter Handicap. Sitting last in a field of six at the halfmile pole, the Ian Wilkes-trained bay got up in time to take home the Grade 1 event.

With the kind of pace that is always there in a Breeders Cup Sprint it isn’t such a bad thing to look for a horse off of the pace. While Big Drama, Girolamo and Smiling Tiger are all fine horses, we think this represents a fine betting opportunity to look at some price horses.

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