This is a guest post from my friend who is a successful sports bettor. Although his specialty is Tennis Betting and he doesn’t specialize in horse betting, he always seems to do well on betting the Kentucky Derby, so I decided to ask him to make a fun post with his 2010 Kentucky Derby Picks.
Nope, there are no donkeys running in the 2010 Kentucky Derby, just a donkey making these picks. Why am I a donkey? Truthfully I don’t know that much about horseracing, except how to pick winners. I can’t explain why it is, but in the last 6 years I’ve picked 4 of the winners, and only one of my picks has finished out of the top three. In fact, I’ve been winning at the track since I was 10 years old going out to Santa Anita and Hollywood Park with my dad. He used to hand me the racing form and I would do a little quick research, then go with my gut. How do I do it? I’m the lucky donkey, and donkeys know horses.
While I’d hate to lead anyone down the wrong betting path, I really believe in my picks. I’ve been winning for so long that I feel like I don’t need to follow the sport as much as the next guy. Just hand me the racing form and let me do my work.
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With that said, here are my 2010 Kentucky Derby Donkey Picks.
#1 – Sidneys Candy: Coming out of the 20th post, I’m expecting Sidneys Candy to do his best Big Brown impersonation, safely hanging out on the outside conserving energy and using his speed to take over down the final stretch. With that said, Sidneys Candy also seems to have the speed to get out in front early, and hold on until the end.
#2 – Super Saver: Calvin Borel rides Super Saver from a great post position. 10 horses have won from the 4th post position since 1990, and Borel’s experience could bring Super Saver to the next level. At an expected 20:1 odds, I like love Super Saver for at least a top three finish. Given the great odds, it’s hard not to bet on Super Saver to win.
#3 – Lookin at Lucky: I don’t like the #1 post position, as Lookin at Lucky could get stuck in a battle with several other horses early in the race. I expect that as the race goes on, Lookin at Lucky will find some room to run, and lock up the third position (or possibly second).
For a longshot, my favorite pick is Mission Impazible. He had a respectable fourth place finish in February at The Southwest, followed by a win in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby in March. Similar, wet racing conditions could point towards another step up for Mission Impazible at the 2010 Kentucky Derby.
Mission Impazible is the grandson of 1990 Derby winner Unbridled, and son of 1996 Derby 5th place finisher Unbridled’s Song. Early odds should be going off at 15-20:1, definitely worth a small bet.
This should be an interesting year for the Kentucky Derby, with no clear favorites going into the race. When massive favorite Eskendereya was scratched due to a front, left leg injury, the race opened up. Any of my top three picks could win, and this is sure to be an exciting race.
Remember, Donkey’s know horses.
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