Saturday was a major success at Belmont Park, as we went 4-0 with our picks, including a win in the Belmont Stakes on Tiz the Law. Along with Tiz the Law coming through for us with a clear victory, we found winners with Gamine, Decorated Invader, and Sweet Melania. The most impressive performance of the day was by Bob Baffert trainee Gamine. Baffert may have not had a runner in the Belmont Stakes, but he stole the headlines anyway.
Gamine smashed a record that dates back to the 1930’s, as she won by 18 ¾ lengths in record time. The performance speaks for itself. If Baffert wants to put a filly up against the boys in the Kentucky Derby, the option is likely going to be there. It’s been a crazy year and a filly winning the Derby would be yet another quirk in 2020.She currently has no points towards the Kentucky Derby. Baffert will have to enter her into at least one prep race between now and Labor Day Weekend.
The Blue Grass, Haskell Invitational, and Travers are all worth 100 points to the winner. Tiz the Law was already in and added 150 more points to his total with a win in the Belmont Stakes. Baffert might consider running with Gamine. He also has Cezanne who is on Derby Watch. Like I’ve said, don’t feel too bad for Baffert losing Charlatan and Nadal. He still has Cezanne, Authentic, and Gamine in his barn. He’ll be stacked for next year, too. We’re at the historic Churchill Downs on Sunday, which will host the 146th Kentucky Derby in September. Head below for our free Churchill Downs selections for June 21, 2020.
Post Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile
In our first post-Belmont Stakes pick, Race 1 at Churchill Downs on Sunday afternoon steps up. It comes with a $41,000 purse, which isn’t bad at all for the first event of the day. Six horses are scheduled to run a mile on the dirt to get us started in Kentucky. This should be a race between Cool Bobby and The Rock Says. Cool Bobby has a win in 12 races and it’s been a while since getting into the winner’s circle.
He won on November 11, 2017 at Del Mar and that’s all when it comes to wins for Cool Booby. Since then, Cool Bobby has gone winless in ten straight races. The form wasn’t there for Cool Bobby in his last two outings, as he finished 7th and 6th on August 24, 2019 and May 2. The layoff apparently didn’t help him much. Race 1 at Churchill Downs represents a drop in class for Cool Bobby, but he will still have to deal with pressure from the field.
The Rock Says will present a considerable challenge to Cool Bobby and the rest on Sunday. He is the most consistent performer in the field. The Rock Says has a win in eight performances in his career, with the win last May at Churchill Downs. Despite that being his only win, The Rock Says ran pretty well against steep competition. He has finished in the top-3 in 7 of 8 races, and came close in his last outing in October. The Rock Says lost by a head against Kiziranga.
His workouts have been consistent without too much variations. He completed 4 furlongs 48.40, 48.60, and 48.20 seconds. Workout times obviously don’t tell the whole story, but it’s a decent barometer for a horse coming off a layoff. If he runs his usual race like we’ve seen in the past, The Rock Says should find a win on Sunday.
Post Time: 2:06 p.m. EST
Race 3 at Churchill Downs will feature a mile of racing on the dirt for a $25,000 purse. The No. 1, No. 2, and No. 3 horses are ones to note here. Above Board has been wildly inconsistent and that might result in her being a dangerous wildcard. He has a win in 8 of 33 races in his career, with the most recent win two races ago on July 28, 2019. Above Board is coming off a layoff after sitting on the sidelines since September where he left off in 4th.
He’s finished 1st, 5th, 8th, 1st, 4th in his previous five outings. And it’s not like Above Board jumped from class to class. Those events were for the most part in the same ballpark. She made three recorded workouts in June, with times of 1:02.00, 1:01.80 at 5 furlongs, and 37 seconds at 3 furlongs. Which Above Board are we doing to see today? That’s the grand question for Race 3.
High Risk Strategy is coming off a win on June 7, so there should be no rust for him. He won by 1 ¼ lengths over Italian Charm and then went on a layoff. Just like Above Board, High Risk Strategy is highly inconsistent. However, he’s done a little more class surfing and searching for events he should be in. High Risk Strategy has finished 7th, 9th, 1st, 2nd, 10th, 1st in his previous six outings. A recent workout on May 10 was fairly quick, with a time of 48 seconds. It’s unlikely he’s going to fade in this one and should be a threat in the stretch.
Summer Revolution has been consistent and even has some stakes experience in his resume. He is coming off two wins and looks for the hat-trick on Sunday. He won by 3 lengths over Junior Gilliam on April 17, as the field weakened and Summer Revolution just got stronger at 6 furlongs. Summer Revolution was in even better form in his last race, as he torched the field for a 7 length win on May 21. He’s been in the top-2 in four straight events and should be a major player in Race 3.
Post Time: 3:10 p.m. EST
Distance:6 ½ Furlongs
Race 5 is another dirt race on Sunday at Churchill Downs. Ten horses are scheduled for this event, with a purse of $28,000 up for grabs. Money Well Spent, Stylish Ash, and Tetrahydro are all horses to note in the event. Tetrahydro faltered as a first-time runner on August 15, 2019 but picked up things in his next entry on September 21, 2019.
It wasn’t perfect, but improvements were noted to finish 4th. Maybe something to build on for Tetrahydro today. Tetrahydro enters on Sunday off a layoff, having completed two 5-furlong workouts with times of 1:02.60 and 1:01.80. If she can improve on his last performance from May and show improved form, then Tetrahydro will have a case.
Stylish Ash takes a drop in class after getting nowhere in her first three races. She finished 5th in back-to-back races on January 5 and May 21, then showed nothing on June 7 in her latest outing. Stylish Ash finished 9th with more expectations on her plate in that one. She wasn’t a huge underdog and expected to finish somewhere around the middle. That didn’t happen and Stylish Ash only finished ahead of Gray Nay to avoid last. As a result of the shaky performance, Stylish Ash is down in class, but likely isn’t going to waltz to an easy win Sunday.
Money Well Spent will be a threat to Stylish Ash and all. She took the biggest drop in class today and ran fairly decently against tough competition as a first-time starter on April 9 and May 17 in her second appearance. Money Well Spent ran for 4th and 5th in the first two races of her career. That doesn’t sound like anything to speak of positively, but that may actually be enough to win against the competition she is facing on Sunday. Any sense of improved form from May should result in a win.