Churchill Downs Selections for November 11, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Churchill Downs Selections for November 11, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

We’re back on the racetrack Wednesday with some more horse racing picks. As has been the norm since early in the year, TheSportsGeek has five or six bets from around the country a day. This isn’t our only picks for Wednesday, so be sure to check the horse racing page for more selections.

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For our first look on Wednesday, we’ll check out what Churchill Downs has in store for us today. Churchill Downs is the most recognizable name racing in the US. I believe that Churchill Downs will host the next Grade 1 race in the country in two weeks. It’s a bit of a dead period right now after the Breeders’ Cup events at Keeneland.

We were anticipating seeing Authentic in the Saudi Cup in February, but pump the brakes on that because he has retired. Along with Authentic, the “defending” Saudi Cup “winner”, and 2019 Ketucky Derby “winner”, Maximum Security, is being retired as well. I put it in quotations because Max was disqualified for interference in the Derby and then caught doping at the Saudi Cup.

That washed those wins away for him, but he will go down as a memorable racehorse. Churchill Downs has nine races on the card on Wednesday afternoon with a grand total of $438,500 in prize money available. That should be the biggest of the day in North America. Head below for our free Churchill Downs picks for November 10, 2020.

Race 2

(1) Royal Commission
+160 (8/5)
(2) Woopigsooie
+1200 (12/1)
(3) Coworker
+250 (5/2)
(4) Hank the Tank
+1200 (12/1)
(5) Loopallu
+300 (3/1)
(6) Summer Mischief
+600 (6/1)
(7) Exciting
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 1:30 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs

We will get going at Churchill Downs with Race 2, a 6-furlong event worth $25,000. Seven horses are expected to participate, with Royal Commission and Loopallu are on my watchlist in this event. Loopallu is 3 for 13 in his career and has finished in the top-2 in his last three performances. He’s either placed or won his previous five of seven events. Loopallu won on August 21 over Golden Notion by 1 ¾ lengths in a $12,000 event.

He followed up to place 2nd behind Albert’s Barn by a neck in a $11,000 race. Loopallu was able to come back on October 22 with a half length win over Satchel de Riches in a $20,000 event. After struggling to win a $11,000 race, it was a great sign to see Loopallu win in a tougher outing. Originally purchased for 225,000 in 2016, and then sold for $20,000 in 2018, his career didn’t exactly play out correctly, though.

Royal Commission is 3 for 10 in his career and in great form recently. He has finished in the top-3 in five straight performances, which includes two wins on July 4 and September 2. In his most recent win, Royal Commission was a 3 ¾ length winner at Churchill Downs in a $27,000 event. He followed up for 2nd and 3rd. In his latest effort, he showed 3rd as an underdog. In an easier contest on Wednesday, I’m riding with Royal Commission to deliver the goods.

The Bet

Race 3

(1) Public Safety
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Hop Kat
+250 (5/2)
(3) Buttered Noodles
+450 (9/2)
(4) Elgar
+400 (4/1)
(5) Cabot
+1200 (12/1)
(6) Shippingport
+200 (2/1)
(7) Magic Man’s Touch
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 9:34 p.m. EST
Distance:6 ½ Furlongs

We jump over to Race 3 at Churchill Downs for 6 ½ furlongs of racing. This race carries a $34,000 purse on the main track. Hop Kat and Shippingport could have a tight battle in the stretch in this race. Hop Kat started off with back-to-back wins on May 17, 2019 and April 26, 2020. Her career has gone sideways since then, having gone 6th, 5th, 4th, 4th, 2nd.

In Hop Kat’s most recent performance, she placed 2nd behind Super Soi in a $22,000 event by 4 ¼ lengths. Hop Kat’s goes into Wednesday after completing a 50 second 4-furlong workout on October 23, and then a 38 second 3-furlong workout on November 5. Hop Kat is moving up in class to a $34,000 event, but he won’t get the toughest field here.

Shippingport is 2 for 10 in his career and has some stakes experience. He’s been showing nice signs of improvement recently. Shippingport has gone 6th, 4th, 3rd, 1st in his previous four outings. He has quietly moved up with each passing race, finally resulting in a win on October 11 at Keeneland in his most recent performance.

He beat Seminole Warrior by 1 ½ lengths in a $25,000 event on October 11. This was after Shippingport showed 3rd in a $47,300 event on August 15. Wednesday should be a bit tougher than his last entry, but a similar effort should be enough to stay in the win column.

The Bet

Race 9

(1) Creasy
+5000 (50/1)
(2) Scofflaw
+5000 (50/1)
(3) Fastly
+140 (7/5)
(4) Scale
+600 (6/1)
(5) Atoka
+1000 (10/1)
(6) Ready to Answer
+600 (6/1)
(7) Noren
+1000 (10/1)
(8) Centrifuge
+500 (5/1)
(9) Be Fierce
+1200 (12/1)
(10) Carmel Bay
+2000 (20/1)
(11) Shananie’s Paynter
+1500 (15/1)
(12) Steely Danza
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 5:06 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs

Race 9 is the Churchill Downs finale on Wednesday, which is one of the biggest races on the day. A field of 12 is expected to travel 6 furlongs on the main track for a $85,000 purse. Centrifuge is expected to make his debut on Wednesday at Churchill Downs. This young colt was purchased for $700,000 in 2018 and is expected to be a major producer in his career. He is coming off some decent workouts, with times of 48.80, 46.60, and 49.20 seconds at 4 furlongs. Centrifuge also completed 5 furlongs in 1:00.20 on October 31. The rookie must be worth noting.

Fastly might be the biggest threat to Centrifuge winning as a first-time runner. He has finished 3rd, 4th, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd in his career and is getting closer recently to a win. Fastly placed 2nd on September 26 in a $75,000 event, coming just short by a head in that performance. He followed up with another positive outing on October 15 to place 2nd behind Totally Jimbo in a $70,000 race. Fastly is one of the only horses in this race that has experience in a class that high. I like Centrifuge, but the experience should provide Fastly with the edge on Wednesday in Louisville.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.