Churchill Downs Selections for October 3, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

Churchill Downs Selections for October 3, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

Going to Vegas and Medina Spirit were the big winners at Santa Anita Park yesterday afternoon. Medina Spirit was the “winner” of the Kentucky Down this past year, but tested positive for a prohibited substance.

$25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet!

In a big race for Bob Baffert, Medina Spirit came through with a win for his team. There’s no doubt that Baffert wanted that one badly to show that Medina Spirit is still a major player.

Baffert has the Breeders’ Cup on his mind in a month at one of his home tracks at Del Mar. He would love nothing more than to make the public mad with a solid showing.

It was a winning day at Santa Anita with a couple of horses, so that’s all I was concerned with doing. For Sunday our first look is going to be at Churchill Downs in Kentucky.

Churchill Downs has ten races worth $827,000 in prize money this afternoon. Head below for our free Churchill Downs picks for October 3, 2021.

Race 3

(1) Doctrinaire
+450 (9/2)
(2) Flying Fred
+500 (5/1)
(3) Hope And Dignity
+120 (6/5)
(4) Rouson
+600 (6/1)
(5) Prize Fighter
+800 (8/1)
(6) Mountain Time
+1200 (12/1)
(7) Babylon
+500 (5/1)

Post Time: 1:43 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$58,000

Race 3 is a $58,000 event covering 6 furlongs. Expect a bid from Flying Fred and Hope And Dignity in this one.

Flying Fred is making his debut on Sunday afternoon, and has shown something in morning workouts.

He completed 5 furlongs in 1:00.60 and 1:01.40 leading up to this race on August 21 and September 16. Flying Fred was also clocked at 47.60 seconds across 4 furlongs on August 3.

Hope And Dignity is winless in nine attempts, but is knocking hard. He placed 2nd in four straight outings from May 9 to August 20.

In his most recent race, Hope And Dignity placed behind Spieitful Sam by 4 ¼ lengths in a $51,000 assignment. Before that race, he won, but dropped to 2nd after interference on July 9 in the same class.

This is up in class to $58,000, but it’s a race for horses that haven’t won yet and Hope And Dignity is the most consistent. He’s in good form at the moment and should dispatch this field.

The Bet
(3) HOPE AND DIGNITY

Race 4

(1) Good Penny
+800 (8/1)
(2) Puye Timing
+200 (2/1)
(3) Sunny Isle Beach
+450 (9/2)
(4) Hashtag Winner
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Lady Frosted
+160 (8/5)
(6) Judy’s Way
+1000 (10/1)

Post Time: 2:13 p.m. EST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$68,000

Race 4 is a mile event on the dirt for a $68,000 purse. Puye Timing and Lady Frosted should put a charge in this one. A duel down the stretch wouldn’t be too much of a surprise in this spot.

Puye Timing is 2 for 10 in her career, and has finished 5th, 1st, 3rd, 5th in her previous four attempts. She was a 1 ¾ length winner over Speightful Charge for a $32,000 purse.

Puye Timing returned to the track to go 3rd in a $102,000 event, and then 5th for a $60,000 purse. The $102,000 effort was encouraging, but didn’t do anything on the class drop.

Lady Frosted is 2 for 6 in her career, with back-to-back wins on April 22 and May 15. It was easy pickins for Lady Frosted.

She beat Pettigo Girl by 3 ½ lengths, and then made it a double with a win in a higher class in a small upset for a $50,900 purse. Lady Frosted most recently went 7th for a $102,00 prize.

Back down in class, expect better from her. She isn’t dealing with the toughest foes in Race 4.

The Bet
(5) LADY FROSTED

Race 7

(1) Dame Cinco
+400 (4/1)
(2) Maybe Later
+800 (8/1)
(3) Reinecke
+450 (9/2)
(4) Misty Veil
+300 (3/1)
(5) Seaside Retreat
+450 (9/2)
(6) Semble Juste
+450 (9/2)
(7) Gerri B
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 3:50 p.m. EST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Purse:$127,000

This is a $127,000 allowance race covering 1 1/16 miles on the dirt. Look for Reinecke and Misty Veil to be top players in this one.

Reinecke has finished 1st, 5th, 7th in his career, so she’s been going in the wrong direction since winning as a rookie on July 1.

Reinecke beat Sweet Carolena by a neck for a $51,000 purse. Since then, Reinecke dropped to 5th in a $52,000 event, and then 7th most recently at Kentucky Downs for a $145,800 purse on September 9.

Much more is expected out of Reinecke. She was a $250,000 purchase in 2019 and expected to be a contender. If she runs how he’s capable then should be close in this one.

Misty Veil is 2 for 10, and has finished 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 2nd in her previous four outings. She was a 7 ¾ length winner in a blowout on July 18 at Saratoga.

That was highly impressive, with Misty Veil breezing past the 1/16 pole. She geared down in the stretch and still built a bigger lead.

It was disappointing then that Misty Veil came back to place 2nd in a $103,000 and $60,000 event. She was bumped early in her last attempt on September 6, so that might have had an impact.

Her team found the perfect allowance race with a big prize worth $127,000 and beatable foes in the field. Misty Veil is getting the best value in this one.

The Bet
(4) MISTY VEIL
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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