We have another small card with four thoroughbred and one quarter horse racecourse operating. The next stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby will take place on April 1 in England at Chelmsford City. In the US the next prep event is on April 3 with three 170-point races. After April 3, there is only one 170-point race left on the schedule, so the opportunities to reach the Kentucky Derby are running thin for racing teams.
The race that I’m most excited for is the Blue Grass at Keeneland. Essential Quality is scheduled to run in that event, a horse that is one of my favorites to win the Kentucky Derby in just over a month at Churchill Downs. Greatest Honour failed to live up to expectations in his recent prep race, but we’ll see what Essential Quality has to offer in the Blue Grass. In our first stop on Tuesday, we’re at Delta Downs in Louisiana for a $262,000 card. There are ten races expected to be completed on the dirt. Head below for our free Delta Downs picks for March 30, 2021.
Post Time: 1:23 p.m. CST
Race 2 is a $18,000 event covering 5 furlongs on the dirt. My Amigo Charlie and Marvelous Red look like hot picks to win this race. Marvelous Red has one win in seven attempts. He won three trips ago on January 13 in a $10,000 event over Dream Twister by 1 ¼ lengths. Marvelous Red stalked in 2nd throughout that race and then jumped in the stretch to clear the field.
In his next two outings, Marvelous Red couldn’t match that performance, though, finishing 5th for a $15,000 assignment, and then most recently 3rd in a $18,000 event. That was an improvement on March 16. If Marvelous Red continues along that path, then he should come close in this one Tuesday. My Amigo Charlie on the inside will likely be his biggest foe. My Amigo has some stakes experience, finishing 5th in the $75,000 D.S. Shine Young Futurity (Black Type) on July 6, 2019.
He’s been lightly used since then, finishing 1st, 3rd, 9th, 2nd, 3rd in his next three after a layoff. My Amigo Charlie placed 2nd behind Midnight Bayou by 3 ½ lengths in a $13,000 race on January 26. He followed up in 3rd two weeks ago in a $18,000 assignment. My Amigo Charlie weakened late. Against this competition, I give My Amigo Charlie a better chance to get the win. He should benefit from the inside rail out of the gate.
Post Time: 1:51 p.m. CST
Seven runners are expected to participate in Race 3 at Delta Downs. This race will cover a mile on the main track for a $20,000 purse. Callthewolfe and Courageous Is Back should do well in this event. Callthewolfe is winless in six attempts, going 4th, 6th, 2nd, 4th, 5th, 2nd. He’s placed 2nd in two races on January 6 and March 15.
In his most recent performance, Callthewolfe placed behind The Thimble by a half length in a $20,000 event. He made a late bid and moved up, but outfinished in the stretch. Prior to that performance, he finished 5th in a $24,000 race, so the class drop helped. It didn’t get him in the winner’s circle, but he’s likely going to get there soon. The No. 4 horse must be taken into consideration.
Courageous Is Back is winless in five attempts going 7th, 6th, 5th, 2nd, 2nd in five in a row. He has placed 2nd in back-to-back performances on February 25 and March 8. In the first outing, Courageous Is Back finished 4 ¼ lengths behind Run Away Son in a $16,000 event, and then won by ¾ lengths after going ahead early at the ¼ pole.
However, Courageous Is Back was put back to 2nd after being called for bumping Kansas King. Tough loss for a $18,000 prize, but still ran a really nice race. If Courageous Is Back returns with a similar effort, it’s going to be hard to keep him away from the winner’s circle.
Post Time: 3:43 p.m. CST
Race 7 is a $18,000 event on the dirt covering a mile. Chicken Or the Egg and Further Lane should have a good chance in this race. Chicken Or the Egg is the morning-line favorite at 7/5. She is a one-time winner in seven attempts. The mare struck three races ago on February 1 for a half length win for a $13,000 purse. Chicken Or the Egg beat Bear Tooth Paste in a pretty nice performance in that one.
She followed up to finish 5th and 2nd. Chicken Or the Egg placed 2nd behind Jeweled Crown by 6 ¼ lengths in a $18,000 event. That was a decent attempt for Chicken Or the Egg, I’m just not so sure about entering her as a 7/5 favorite in this race. There likely isn’t going to be terrific value on Chicken Or the Egg.
Further Lane has finished 2nd, 2nd, 6th, 9th, 1st in her career. She’s finished at least 2nd in more than half of her races, so not a terrible start for her, and I liked what I saw in her most recent showing. Further Lane beat Sister Secret Lee by 5 ¼ lengths in an impressive display for a $10,000 win. She was a heavy favorite and came through with the expectations. Up in class on Tuesday, Further Lane might need a little more in this race, but at 6/1 odds, the value is most certainly there.