Fonner Park Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 8, 2020

Fonner Park is racing for the final time this week before taking a break until Monday. Their schedule typically runs Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. It’s smart to stay away from when the bigger tracks like Gulfstream Park are racing. On a normal weekend, they’d be up against a lot more tracks as well like Santa Anita Park and Aqueduct, but neither are running races at the moment. In any event, their only competition early in the week is against Will Rogers Downs. Most horse handicappers will be looking at both tracks, so it’s a win-win for Fonner and Will Rogers.

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Tampa Bay Downs will join Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park on the circuit Wednesday. The closer to the weekend, the more tracks are open for racing. That will not include Santa Anita Park unfortunately. If they can work out a deal to race at Los Alamitos, that’d open the door for their meet to resume. Santa Anita Park has pleaded with the Health Department to allow them to race again, but it doesn’t appear that they’re gaining much traction.

The most logical option is going to be Los Alamitos in Orange County, who have already declared the industry essential to stay open. Moving everything there isn’t so easy as snapping a finger, though. If only humans were involved, then it’d be an easier transition. In any event, hopefully things can return to some form of normalcy by May and they won’t have to entertain the idea of transferring to Los Alamitos. It might be a while until we handicap Santa Anita Park again, but we’ll be back at Fonner Park on Wednesday. Head below for our free Fonner Park picks for April 8, 2020.

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Race 1

(1) Creeds Revenge
+300 (3/1)
(2) Stef’s Guy
+400 (4/1)
(3) El Prieto
+800 (8/1)
(4) Ye Be Judged
+250 (5/2)
(5) Name The Price
+350 (7/2)
(6) Alex To
+500 (5/1)

Post Time: 4:00 CST
Distance: 6 Furlongs

We’ll get started with Race 1 at Fonner Park on Wednesday at 4:00 CST. There aren’t any super heavy underdogs in this event in the morning lines at BetOnline, though El Priesto and Alex To look way too low at these prices. By post time, they’re likely going to have much higher odds than +500 and +800. To a lesser extent, Stef’s Guy will probably have his odds go up, too.

El Priesto heads into Wednesday feeling a bit cool after failing to show in four out of his previous five outings. He was on a nice run from March 16 to May 5, as he showed in four straight outings. However, it’s been difficult for him since. El Priesto has a win in 1 out of 17 events in his career.

Alex To hasn’t shown in four straight events, having finished 7th, 7th, 4th, and 8th. He opened his career with some momentum in his first four outings. Alext To placed in all of those efforts, including a win on March 3 at Fonner Park. He got the win by 2 lengths over River Quest from 4 furlongs. Expect Alex To to struggle at 6 furlongs on Wednesday. Likely going to be a non-factor in Race 1 at Fonner Park.

This race is going to be between Creeds Revenge and Ye Be Judged. Creeds Revenge at +300 is just about where I think he should be in this event. He has been running well, placing in each of his previous three outings. That includes a win in his most recent outing on March 25. Creeds Revenge earned the win in a blowout over P R Streakin by 7 ¾ lengths. By the ¼ pole he had the lead and didn’t give it up. Drove strongly and pulled away from the competition. That’s a good sign for him going into today.

Ye Be Judged was a horse that we felt confidentiality competing yesterday. Fortunately, we nailed the winner with Kat Dude, but Ye Be Judged would have been a threat, if he had raced. Ye Be Judged was ultimately scratched from the event, but will be given the green light Wednesday. He has raced in just two events, though made the most out of them.

Ye Be Judged finished 2nd in his debut on February 23 at 4 furlongs. Just didn’t have enough burst in him in the homestretch to overtake Un Nameable. That changed in his next outing on March 6, where Ye Be Judged had the lead at the ¼ pole and built on it for a win by 2 lengths. He likely has the upper hand against a weak field in Race 1 on Wednesday.

The Bet
(4) YE BE JUDGED

Race 3

(1) All For Truth
+600 (6/1)
(2) Grand Hoga
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Maximus the Great
+400 (4/1)
(4) Contraband
+250 (5/2)
(5) Witt’s Gold
+300 (3/1)
(6) Merlo’s Lad
+350 (7/2)
(7) Hyperbolizer
+1500(15/1)

Post Time: 4:54 CST
Distance:4 Furlongs

Race 3 features seven horses vying for a small $5,400 purse. Any win is good, though, despite this not being the most difficult field. Hyperbolizer is undoubtedly going to be the big underdog at post time. He has been unable to show in ten straight starts. The last time that happened was in 2017 on June 3 when he finished 3rd Canterbury Park. Don’t expect Hyperbolizer to attract much money by post time, and will likely be a +2000 to +1500 underdog going into Race 3. Unlikely to be a threat, but you can throw a “lottery” ticket bet on him if you wish.

The same goes with Grand Hoga who could be everywhere from a +2000 to +1000 underdog at post time. Grand Hoga has some wins, though that’s only 5 in 44 attempts in his career, which opened in 2016. He hasn’t made a trip to the winner’s circle since April 4, 2019, which is 14 races ago for Grand Hoga. Five out of his six previous starts have resulted in finishing outside of the top-3.

All For Truth will likely have a difficult time keeping pace as well, but is going to have a better shot at the win. He is a winner in 3 out of 13 races in his career, with his most recent win on August 10, 2019. His last two races weren’t the best, though, as All For Truth finished 6th and 4th.

Contraband and Witt’s Gold are likely going to be at the wire battling for the win in this one. Witt’s Gold is coming off a win at 4 furlongs on March 30, which is the second win he’s recorded in 2020. The other win came in January on the 22nd at Sam Houston Park. He got the victory by 7 ½ lengths over Song and a G for an easy win. It was a close race until Witt’s Gold made it a no doubter in the homestretch. Contraband is going to be a major threat to Witt’s Gold.

He has shown in four out of his six races and has been the most consistent pony in Race 3. Contraband also has two wins to his name since November 20, 2019. His most recent win was notched on February 20 at Delta Downs. It was a wire-to-wire win for Contraband, as he grabbed the lead out of the gate and never trailed. In his most recent start, Contraband finished 3rd, though it was against a much tougher field, and he was able to hold in there strongly. This should be an easier contest for him. Look for Contraband to ride away with the win.

The Bet
(3) CONTRABAND

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.