It was a nice day in Nebraska at Fonner Park on Monday. Both of our selections were winners, so you can’t expect much more than that level of success. Witts Data Link and Doby both cruised to relatively easy wins to make it a profitable day for us in Nebraska. The fact that Fonner Park is still running is an accomplishment in its own right. Despite Covid-19 and the departure of horses to stables at other tracks, Fonner Park continues to hold cards on Monday and Tuesday. Their meet is drawing to a conclusion soon and it should be looked back at favorably given the circumstances.
Horses started to arrive at Churchill Downs on Monday to get settled into their new home and get ready for spring racing. Most of those arrivals came from Fair Grounds in New Orleans. We’ll be covering all of the action at Churchill Downs on Saturday, which promises to be a heavily bet card from the public this weekend. In the meantime, there’s still plenty of races to get to, though. Hopefully we can follow up a perfect day at Fonner Park with another on Tuesday. Head below for our free Fonner Park selections for May 12, 2020.
Post Time: 4:27 p.m. CST
Distance: 1 Mile
A mile will get us started off on Tuesday at Fonner Park in Race 2. With only seven horses signed up to participate in the event, it isn’t a huge field for this one. Praise be to God was in good form two years ago, but that was then and this is now. In two 2020 starts, Praise to be God, finished 9th and 9th on March 31 and April 14. Don’t expect him to suddenly be a competitor on Tuesday. It’s likely going to be a struggle. For an upset, Mingo Born is probably the safer bet and you’re still getting good odds at +800.
Mingo Born has raced in five events and has finished 8th, 2nd, 6th, 7th, 3rd. In his most recent outing, Mingo Born was competitive and just missed 2nd by a head. He was on the inside in the stretch and just didn’t have enough kick in him to get it done. 1st was within reach as well, with the winner just 1 ½ lengths away. I will take that form over what Praise be to God has presented since making his return in March after a two-year layoff.
This race is most likely going to develop into a contest between Best Trick Yet, Eastside Boy, and Banana Pepper who will be lining up in the starting gate from the No. 5, 6, and 7 posts. Best Trick Yet needs to find the right race for him and he could finally get his 2nd win. Not the most dangerous horse in this race, but looked good in a couple of recent starts. He finished 2nd, 6th, 3rd in his past three races. His win percentage has been abysmal with a win rate of 1 win in 42 races. In any event, this isn’t the most difficult task in Race 2.
Eastside Boy is a winner in 1 of 16 career races, so the win percentage is better, but he has been searching for an easier race as well. Eastside Boy has finished 10th, 6th, 3rd, 5th, 4th, 4th in his last six performances. He and the rest of the field is likely going to have problems overcoming Banana Pepper in this race.
We backed Banana Pepper in his last race and it paid off. He took over the lead at the ½ pole and held on for a comfortable 4 ¼ length win over Shattered Dreams. Leading up to that race, Banana Pepper placed on March 9 and was rewarded with a win for his fine form. Banana Pepper lost that race by 3 ½ lengths. Came on strong late, but ran out of room at 5 ½ furlongs. Looked much better suited for a longer race. He should be tough to beat in Race 2. This should not be a difficult assignment for Banana Pepper.
Post Time: 7:09 p.m. CST
The final race of the day at Fonner Park features the biggest field, with ten horses vying for a $8,400 purse. It will take a 6-furlong gallop ahead of nine other participants for the win. Masterful Stride and For the Hustle appear to be outmatched in this race. Masterful Stride might have a better chance to win according to the morning lines, but probably going to have just about the same chance to win as For the Hustle. Masterful Stride had plenty of success early in his career, but he’s fallen off since around last year. He is a winner in 5 of 30 races, with two of those wins in 2 of the first 4 races of his career. His form hasn’t been great recently, finishing 6th, 7th, 6th, 7th, 4th, 6th in his previous six races.
For the Hustle has a win in 3 of 29 races and has finished 9th and 8th in his previous two outings. He finished 2nd in three straight races, but quickly fell off after entering tougher races. Neither Masterful Stride and For the Hustle are likely going to threaten Knight Disruptor, Mallory’s Bandit, and Lovethatcause.
Knight Disruptor has won 4 of 17 races and gone 1st, 1st, 7th, 2nd in his last four races. He had back-to-back wins on December 5, 2019 and February 23, though his hat-trick bid was stopped on March 25 after finishing 7th. In his most recent race, Knight Disruptor finished 2nd behind Big Guy Ian by a nose. Impressive effort and can’t be ignored in Race 8.
Mallory’s Bandit has a win in 5 of 45 races, and on paper, doesn’t appear to look good recently but this is an easier assignment. Mallory’s Bandit has finished 6th, 6th, 4th, 7th, 6th, 4th in his previous six performances. His most recent win was at Remington Park on August 31, 2019. He followed that up by placing, but hasn’t finished in the top-3 since then. Having said that, Mallory’s Bandit doesn’t have to deal with tougher horses, and is a solid candidate to place or show in Race 8.
Lovethatcause eyes a hat-trick after wins on April 14 and April 27. He’s hot and looking for more today. Lovethatcause won by 9 lengths in a clinic on the 14th and then responded with another comfortable win over Chuckmate by 3 ¼ lengths. Lovethatcause finished in the top-3 in ten straight races, which included placing three times and winning three times. If he arrives to the starting gate at his full potential, then Lovethatcause should have the hat-trick within his sights on Tuesday.