The Breeders’ Cup Classic is in the rearview mirror. After an exciting day of racing at Keeneland on Saturday, Authentic, the winner of the Kentucky Derby, won the biggest race of the year for the $6,000,000 purse for Bob Baffert. I wasn’t able to hit on Tom’s d’Etat unfortunately, but cashed Gamine, another Baffert horse, in a romp in the Filly and Mare Spring (Gr. 1).
Along with Nashville winning Race 1, it was a profitable day despite the loss in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. That’s exactly why you treat every race the same, for the most part. There are some races you are going to love a horse in and going to put another unit on. That’s certainly fine once in a while, but it’s important to maintain proper bankroll management.
The next notable race with a big purse is going to be the $20,000,000 Saudi Cup in Saudi Arabia. The Pegasus races are going to go towards guaranteed spots in the Saudi Cup. Call them prep races, if you will. We’re back out on the track on Sunday at Golden Gate Fields in California. Head below for our free Golden Gate Fields picks for November 8, 2020.
Post Time: 12:45 p.m. PST
We’ll get going at Golden Gate Fields with Race 1. This event carries a $11,500 purse for a mile of racing on the synthetic track. Six horses are expected to run to get the afternoon started at Golden Gate Fields. I’m looking at Typhoon Harry and Debt Monger to be close at the line in the stretch. Typhoon Harry is a bit of a better chance to win here than the morning-line indicates.
He is 4 for 33 in his career and has been finding some decent success recently. After going winless in seven straight performances, Typhoon Harry won on August 15 in a $11,500 event by 1 ¼ lengths. Typhoon Harry was a major underdog in that race, but it definitely didn’t look that way in that performance. He was 5th at the ¾ pole and drove hard to steal the win away from My Man Draymond in the stretch. Typhoon Harry followed up for 4th on September 6 in a $11,500 race.
Typhoon Harry placed 2nd on October 1 in a $11,500 event. He was a neck behind for the win, so that form might be good enough to get into the winner’s circle. Note that Typhoon Harry is coming off a really impressive workout on October 25, with a time of 48.80 seconds at 4 furlongs. He is going to be close in this one. Debt Monger should provide some resistance, though. He has gone 2 for 11 in his career and been running close recently.
Debt Monger has finished in the top-3 in five of his previous seven entries. He was a winner on June 5 over Ultimate Mystery by 1 ½ lengths. That was a $19,000 event, a much tougher assignment than what he’ll see today. Debt Monger was also a winner on October 3 over Gryffindor in a $22,000 race. In his most recent appearance on October 25, Debt Monger showed 3rd in a $19,000 event. In comparison, Debt Monger should be able to run much better here.
Post Time: 3:45 p.m. PST
Race 7 is our next selection at Golden Gate Fields on Sunday. This goes for a $30,000 purse over 6 furlongs of racing on the synthetic track. Eight horses are slated to race in this one. Scarrazzano and Okoye should have a strong race in this one. They will likely be close at the wire.
Scarrazano has been showing improvement after finishing 5th in her debut on July 23 at Emerald Downs. Since then, Scarrazano has gone 4th and 3rd. In the 4th place race, she competed hard for a $18,500 purse, but there wasn’t enough in the tank there.
Scarrazano was able to follow up to get into the top-3 for the first time in her career on October 18 as a first-time runner at Golden Gate Fields. She broke her speed reading in that one and was in the form of her young career. Scarrazano showed 3rd behind Okoye by 2 ½ lengths. It was a good run, but she couldn’t get to Okoye.
Having said that, if the trend continues, expect Scarrazano to get even closer on Sunday afternoon. Her most recent workout on October 31 certainly suggests she’s going in the right direction. Scarrazno was clocked at 49.60 seconds in that one.
Okoye placed 2nd on October 18 in a $30,000 event by 1 length behind Starlight Stroll. She had the lead in that performance from the ¼ pole to the top of the stretch. If Okoye just held on a little longer, a win would have been hers. Okoye looked good in an October 31 workout, with a time of 49.20 seconds. I will side with Okoye to get the win.