Gulfstream Park Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 10, 2020

Gulfstream Park Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 10, 2020

Horse racing might go down with grocery stores, and a few other industries that were able to maintain operations throughout the coronavirus pandemic. Considering how important grocery stores obviously are as opposed to horse racing, it’s going to be a win accomplishment for several race tracks if they don’t have to close. We hopefully will reach a peak to the madness by the end of April, and a significant downslope in May.

Barring any major outbreak in the city of a track, it’s unlikely to see many more close racing off. There are a lot that have taken the bullet already, notably Santa Anita Park who was forced to stop racing by the Health Department. However, there are some that are still going strong, albeit losing money from fans in attendance. All things considered, they have to be feeling lucky that they’re bringing in dollars from simulcasting betting.

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There are a lot of industries right now that are running on fumes. There aren’t many dollars to go around for them. But horse racing is in a unique position to stay afloat and pay horsemen out of the handle. Gulfstream Park was able to host the Florida Derby, and they continue to run through their meet. Like I noted before, Gulfstream Park wants to add overnight stakes racing because of the larger population at the track. No one is transferring anywhere else, so the horses are present still. They’re planning on starting in two weeks. Afternoon racing throughout the weekend will continue unless an order is presented from the Health Department. Head below for our free Gulfstream Park picks for April 10, 2020.

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Race 4

(1) Miss Adventure
+600 (6/1)
(2) Teenage Kicks
+450 (9/2)
(3) Carolyn’s Smile
+300 (3/1)
(4) Seamialaugh
+1200 (12/1)
(5) Bird Map
+250 (5/2)
(6) Princess Merida
+3000 (30/1)
(7) Quiet Company
+350 (7/2)
(8) Commanding Lady
+1500 (15/1)

Post Time: 2:36 EST
Distance: 6 Furlongs

6 furlongs will decide a winner in Race 4, with a $35,000 purse on the line. If you are looking for the feature race of the day, that’s Race 8 which has a purse size of $46,000. Eight horses are scheduled to run 6 furlongs in this one. There’s one big underdog in the morning lines, and will stay there by post time.

Princess Merida is likely going to have a tough time getting going on Friday. She will be making her debut after a couple of recent workouts. At 4 furlongs Princess Merida finished the workout in 49.45, and a 3-furlong workout at 38.40 seconds. Seamialaugh will also be making her debut on Friday.

She was better than Princess Merida in a recent workout, though, having completed 4 furlongs at 48.60 seconds. Commanding Lady does have a couple of starts on her resume, but was abysmal in her debut on December 22, 2019. She finished 10th out of 11 horses. Commanding Lady broke slowly and was trailing behind everybody before rallying somewhat to grab the 10th spot over Bite the Stars.

Credit Commanding Lady for bouncing back to finish 3rd on February 5, though. It was a much better performance, though she was still well off the pace for 1st by more than 7 lengths. Miss Adventure might be tempting in the No. 1 post, but hasn’t lived up to expectations in the first three races of her career. She has made three outings and has failed to show in each of them. Her best performance was the most recent outing on January 31, finishing 4th following poor 8th and 9th efforts. I’m not expecting her to be much of a threat in this event.

There really isn’t a horse in this race that has had a lot of success. Quiet Company is the most experienced horse in the race with just six events, so there isn’t a whole lot of experience here. She has proven the most as well, having shown in four out of six races. Conversely, Carolyn’s Smile and Bird Map have only made seven starts between the two of them. Carolyn’s Smile has shown twice, but has failed to perform in her previous two outings. She faltered to an 11th and 4th place finish on July 28, 2019 and March 6.

Bird Map has made three appearances in her career, and is still looking to show in an event. She has finished 5th, 5th, and 4th, with her most recent outing on February 9. Never had a good grasp of that one, as she stayed in 6th throughout the races and was only able to move up to 4th. She is currently the betting favorite on the morning lines, though I see more value with the No. 7 horse.

The Bet
(7) QUIET COMPANY

Race 6

(1) Take Charge Dude
-167 (3/5)
(2) Travy Boy
+800 (8/1)
(3) Arrivederla
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Phish Fan
+600 (6/1)
(5) Jersey Joe B
+1200 (12/1)
(6) Killa Dee
+500 (5/1)
(7) Starship Apollo
+400 (9/2)

Post Time: 3:39 EST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs

Race 6 will offer a $18,000 purse with the grand prize going to the fastest horse from 5 ½ furlongs. It’s the smallest field of the day, with just seven horses signed up for the event. There are likely going to be some sizable underdogs at post time, with Arrivederla closing as the biggest. Arrivederla is currently sitting at +2000 on the morning lines at BetOnline.

Despite the long odds, Arrivederla has a few wins with 3 in 19 events. His most recent win came four races ago on February 7. He drove and improved throughout the race, hitting the right stride in the homestretch. Arrivederla was 4th at the ¼ pole and gradually progressed for a win by 3 ½ lengths.

I might be more inclined to side with Jersey Joe B if I’m looking for a longshot. He is a winner in 8 of 28 races, and has shown in four out of the last five races. Jersey Joe B also had a win on January 29, though there were only four other horses in the field. He beat Starship Apollo by 3 lengths after taking the race over late. Jersey Joe B has shown in five out of his last seven outings.

Six horses registered for Race 6 are all going to be gunning for the same guy. Take Charge Dude is the best of the group, and is likely going to be a handful for the rest of the field. He has won 7 out of 20 races in his career for a solid win percentage of 35%. Five of his wins have come within the last year. He recorded his fourth win on July 19, 2019 and has been rolling since. Note that Take Charge Dude has won three out of his previous five races.

He won on December 12, 2019 by 5 ¾ lengths over Sleeping Giant. Take Charge Dude won in dominant fashion with a wire-to-wire win. He did the same in his win on November 15, 2019, as he got ahead and didn’t budge for a wire-to-win in that one, too. And again, October 25, 2019 was the same story, with Take Charge Dude 1st out of the gate and 1st to cross the finish line. That won wasn’t close either, as Take Charge Dude got the win by 4 ¼ lengths. His odds might come down a bit from the morning-line at post time. I like Take Charge Dude regardless to get the win in Race 6.

The Bet
(1) TAKE CHARGE DUDE

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.