There is a huge slate of horse racing action on Saturday throughout the country. BetOnline has 15 race tracks available for wagering today, including some big stakes racing at select tracks. The biggest of which is at Oaklawn Park with the running of the $1,000,000 Rebel Stakes (Gr. 2). You can flip a coin on Bob Baffert’s Concert Tour and Brad Cox’s Caddo River in that race. I think one of those two is the winner of the Rebel.
It’s hard to say who has the edge, though, so going to take a pass on the Rebel Stakes in Arkansas. Along with the Rebel Stakes, there are 15 other stakes races throughout the US. I don’t know if you want to consider a $15,000 event at Fonner Park a stakes race, but it goes down as a stakes event. Santa Anita Park has the biggest race outside of Arkansas on Saturday. The running of the $300,000 Beholder Mile (Gr. 1) is in Arcadia at Santa Anita Park.
We’ll get started at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach on Saturday afternoon. Santa Anita Park will also be covered at the blog for later in the day on the west coast. Gulfstream Park has 12 races on the agenda today for a total of $483,000 in prize money. Head below for our free Gulfstream Park picks for March 13, 2021.
Post Time: 1:37 p.m. EST
Distance:6 ½ Furlongs
In Race 4 we have seven horses competing for a $38,000 purse across 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt. Constituency and Converter should hit hard in this race and have a good opportunity in the stretch run. Constituency is looking for better form after going 5th and 8th to begin his career.
He was 5th as a first-time runner on January 16 at Fair Grounds in a $50,000 event. In his next performance, the young colt finished 8th in a $60,000 event. I’m not sure if trainer Jeff Engler thought it was just opening jitters for Constituency in his opener, but he didn’t look ready to go from a $50,000 to $60,000 race.
Converter is winless in seven-career races, but has been coming along nicely with improvement. He has finished 3rd, 2nd, 2nd in his previous three entries. Converter placed 2nd in back-to-back races on January 28 and February 21 going into Saturday.
He was 2 ¼ lengths behind This Dudes No Fool for a $29,000 purse, and then 3 lengths behind in the next event. With no other horse showing any positive form recently, it’s hard to look elsewhere. If Constituency shows improvement, then he’s going to be close. However, his last effort wasn’t that encouraging. I’m backing Converter from the outside to win Race 4.
Post Time: 2:36 p.m. EST
Race 6 is our second selection at Gulfstream Park, with $52,000 up for grabs on the dirt across a mile. Six horses are scheduled to run in this event. Sweet Pearl and Army Wife is in consideration on my shortlist here. Sweet Pearl is 2 for 6 in her career, finishing top-3 in four of six performances. She is coming off the performance of her career on February 17, as Sweet Pearl struck with a 2 ¼ length win over Sunny Isle Beach for a $38,000 purse.
Prior to that run, Sweet Pearl went 8th in a $75,000 event and 4th in a $37,000 event. Back up in class to a $52,000 race, she’s going to need a big run to win here, but should come close with Army Wife likely the toughest opponent in this event. There isn’t much else in the way of competition despite this being a richer race.
Army Wife is a one-time winner in her career, with a win in five attempts. She beat Rookery by ¾ lengths in a $85,000 event and looked extremely good there. Army Wife followed up to place 2nd behind Oliviaofthedesert by 1 ¾ lengths in a $87,000 race. This race should be considerably easier for Army Wife down in class. She has proven to run good in higher classes, so I don’t see this outing as being a problem for her if she is interested in running.
Post Time: 3:41p.m. EST
Distance:1 ½ Miles
Race 8 goes for a mile and a half on the turf for a $35,000 purse. Seven horses are scheduled to participate. You can likely find Soglio and Bourbon in May in the stretch on Saturday afternoon. Soglio is 7 for 32 in his career, and was a graded runner for much of 2019. However, since losing his good form, Soglio has been pulled back to lower class races.
In his last three races, Soglio has been competitive, going 1st, 1st, 2nd. In his latest win, he defeated Golden Decision by a length in a $31,000 race. Soglio most recently ran on February 6, finishing 2nd in a $32,000 event. That broke up the hat-trick for Soglio, but is capable of getting back on track Saturday. The horse to beat Soglio in that race was Bourbon in May. Bourbon in May edged him out for a head win.
Bourbon in May is 7 for 20 in his career and a winner in four of his previous six attempts. Since beating Soglio, the $160,000 Bourbon in May has looked good in workouts. He completed 4 furlongs in 49.05 seconds on February 27, and then 5 furlongs in 1:00.87 most recently on March 6. At 3/1 on the morning-line, there should be some solid value on Bourbon in May to clear this field and win. It might be close, but Bourbon in May should have the edge at the wire in a rematch against Soglio.