The 147th Kentucky Derby is in the books and Bob Baffert did it again. Baffert proved that he didn’t need a favorite or powerhouse, just a $1,000 longshot to win another Kentucky Derby. Medina Spirit pulled off the upset, a year after Baffert won without the favorite in Authentic. There was a lot of confidence in Life Is Good as a Derby contender before an injury removed him from service.
Then there was Concert Tour, who didn’t run well in his prep race and wasn’t entered into the Kentucky Derby. Baffert defied the odds with Medina Spirit at Churchill Downs yesterday. It was a similar story last year, though Authentic had a little more respect going into the Kentucky Derby in September. Last year it was Nadal and Charlatan that had to bow out of the Derby for Baffert.
Attention will turn to the Breeders’ Cup in November now. The Breeders’ Cup Classic is a bigger race in terms of prize money, with $6,000,000 available compared to $3,000,000 for the Kentucky Derby. Nothing beats the prestige of the Triple Crown, though. Note these are only one individual races. If you’re an everyday horse handicapper, then as far as betting the races, they shouldn’t mean anything different than any other race. It’s important to maintain proper bankroll management or it will be difficult to stay afloat in the horse racing game. Head below for our free Belmont Park picks for May 2, 2021.
Post Time: 12:50 p.m. EST
We will get going at Gulfstream Park with Race 1, a $17,000 event on the dirt covering 6 furlongs. Between Dreams and Abarrio Forever should have a presence in the stretch in this event. Abarrio Forever is a two-time winner in 25 attempts in her career. She most recently won six races back on October 10. Abarrio Forever beat Nenita by 1 ¼ lengths in a $17,000 assignment.
Since then, Abarrio Forever has finished 3rd, 5th, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, placing 2nd in his last three races. Abarrio Forever placed 2nd behind Mrs. Maisel by a half length in a $17,000 event. Prior to that race, Abarrio Forever placed 2nd behind Lady Fiorella by ¾ lengths in a $19,000 race. She is hard to ignore on Sunday.
Between Dreams has finished 1st, 6th, 1st in her career with a win as a first-time runner on January 16, and then most recently on April 23. Between Dreams beat Well Shes Handsome comfortably by 3 ¼ lengths for a $19,000 purse. Her next performance didn’t go too well, finishing 6th in a tougher $30,000 event. Back down to $17,000 on April 23, Between Dreams cleared by 1 ½ lengths in the stretch. She will stay in a $17,000 event this time, and should benefit from these terms.
Post Time: 1:52 p.m. EST
Race 3 goes for 5 furlongs on the turf for a $60,000 purse. Six horses are expected to participate in this event, with Choose Joy and Miss Auramet likely running with their affairs in order. Choose Joy is 3 for 8 in her career, with a win two races ago on February 10. She dispatched Still Alive by a neck in a $48,000 event. In her next outing, Choose Joy finished 4th in the $75,000 Captiva Island Stakes on March 6.
That was too tough, but Choose Joy moves down to something in the middle between the $48,000 race she won and $75,000 loss. She’s gone 4th, 6th, 2nd, 1st, 4th in her previous five trips. Choose Joy should be close, though may need to catch a break to edge out a win in this race at the wire. Miss Auramet will be a willing opponent for Choose Joy. She is an 8 for 20 runner and has been in nice form since the summer.
She has finished 1st, 1st, 1st, 10th, 2nd, 1st, 2nd in her last seven attempts. Miss Auramet has gone 2nd, 1st, 2nd in her previous three outings, all stakes events. She beat Ode to Joy by a half length in the $100,000 Lightning City Stakes on February 24. In her return, Miss Auramet placed 2nd behind A Bit of Both by a half length in the $75,000 Captiva Island Stakes. Down in class to a $60,000 event, expect a big run. Given her abilities, a price of 3/5 on the morning-line is probably more appropriate than even odds.
Post Time: 3:28 p.m. EST
Race 6 is a $35,000 event covering a mile on the turf. Eight runners are expected to participate, with Nobly Indy and Me and Mr. C likely candidates to battle in the stretch run. Me and Mr. C is 5 for 17 in his career and looking for a hat-trick following a win on February 12 and March 28.
He beat Billy Batts by 2 lengths in February in a $24,750 assignment, and then followed up for a stakes win in the $110,000 Grey Goose Turf Classic Stakes by a half length over Shamrocket. Me and Mr. C was impressive on April 24 with a 5-furlong workout time of 59.55 seconds.
Noble Indy is 6 for 24 in his career, and has gone 2nd 1st, 2nd in his previous three attempts. He placed 2nd behind Sayyaf by 4 ¼ lengths in his most recent assignment, a $53,000 mile event on the turf. Prior to that showing, Noble Indy was a ¾ length winner over Pioneer Man for a $37,000 purse. This is a solid horse, but Me and Mr. C is getting really nice value here. He’s in the form of his career and hard to pass up at 3/1.