Keeneland Selections for April 7, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

Keeneland Selections for April 7, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

We are on to Wednesday where BetOnline has nine race tracks available for wagering. There should also be two or three standardbred tracks open for betting tonight. This week leads to one of the biggest prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. The $1,000,000 Arkansas Derby (Gr. 1) is scheduled at Oaklawn Park on Saturday.

Bob Baffert’s Concert Tour headlines the Arkansas Derby, which is the final day on the Road to the Kentucky Derby prep races. Essential Quality, a horse I like as a major contender to win the Kentucky Derby, won his prep race last week at Keeneland in the Blue Grass Stakes. Now it’s Concert Tour’s turn to show that he’s a capable contender.

$25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet!

We are going to make a stop at Keeneland in Lexington to open the day on Wednesday. Keeneland has a total of eight races for a total of $405,000 in prize money. Not a bad afternoon for a Wednesday. Head below for our free Keeneland picks for April 7, 2021.

Race 1

(1) Norwood (1A) Kavod
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Cachirulo (2A) Eli
+2000 (20/1)
(3) Social Mandate
+450 (9/2)
(4) Kaufymaker
+180 (9/5)
(5) Vodka N Water
+500 (5/1)
(6) Vidal
+300 (3/1)
(7) Jack the Lad
+450 (9/2)
(8) Baytown Frosty
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 1:05 p.m. EST
Distance:4 ½ Furlongs

Race 1 is a $60,000 event on the dirt covering 4 ½ furlongs. Ten horses are expected to run, with two coupled horses competing. My attention is diverted to Kaufymaker and Baytown Frosty. Baytown Frosty could be catching some good value at post time. The morning-line does provide some value on Baytown Frosty.

In a race for rookies, Baytown Frosty has looked sharp in morning workouts. Baytown Frosty was timed at 49 and 47.40 seconds at 4 furlongs, and 34.40 at 3 furlongs most recently on March 30. For a horse that was purchased for $4,500 at auction in September, early indications suggest that Baytown Frosty is going to be a steal for that price.

Kaufymaker is expected to have a big career under the guidance of Wesley Ward. She comes from highly regarded connections and is expected to have a lot of success. Kaufymaker has been impressive in workouts and likely comes out well in her debut. Ward is best known for training and developing talented juveniles. Kaufymaker looks like another.

Our Bet

Race 3

(1) Mulsanne
+1000 (10/1)
(2) Turning Point
+1200 (12/1)
(3) Elle Est Forte
+600 (6/1)
(4) Big Bee
+400 (4/1)
(5) The Flying Pharoah
+500 (5/1)
(6) Laynlomakndough
+450 (9/2)
(7) A Thing of Beauty
+450 (9/2)
(8) Ballacolla
+300 (3/1)

Post Time: 2:12 p.m. EST
Distance:1 ⅛ Miles

Race 3 is a $79,000 event covering 1 ⅛ miles on the dirt. Big Bee and Ballacolla should have a strong presence in the stretch in this event. Big Bee showed 3rd in her debut on March 6 for a $31,000 purse.

That was a serviceable opening race for Big Bee who is open to improvement. Big Bee completed a 4-furlong workout with a time of 50 seconds on March 28. He did the same on March 20 in prep work for this outing.

For Big Bee to win, he must improve on his effort from March 6. Big Bee is open to improving from her first effort, so you have to give her a chance in this one. Her biggest threat has to be Ballacolla from the outside.

Ballacolla made her debut on March 6 and was impressive. He placed 2nd behind Reina Del Sol by 2 ¼ lengths in a $31,000 event. Ballacolla finished a neck ahead of Big Bee for a nice run as a rookie. At 3/1 on the morning-line, Ballacolla looks like a good option in Race 3.

Our Bet

Race 6

(1) Joyful Heart
+1200 (12/1)
(2) Testy Kitten
+1500 (15/1)
(3) Aye Skipper
+3000 (30/1)
(4) Don’t Forget
+180 (9/5)
(5) Malpais
+250 (5/2)
(6) Land Battle
+500 (5/1)
(7) Savage Nation
+250 (5/2)

Post Time: 3:51 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs

In the sixth race at Keeneland, we have 6 furlongs of racing on the dirt for a $29,000 purse. Savage Nation and Don’t Forget likely converge in the stretch in this event. Savage Nation has been in consistent form since showing 3rd in September. He’s finished top-3 in seven straight performances.

In his previous three events, Savage Nation has finished 1st, 2nd, 1st for a nice stretch. He beat Lazarus Project by 2 lengths in a $18,000 event on January 13. Savage Nation returned on February 2 to place 2nd behind Going With Style by 1 length in a $21,800 assignment. Savage Nation returned to his winning ways March 1 with a 4 length win over Small Town Hero in a $21,800 event.

Don’t Forget is 6 for 20 in his career, and coming off back-to-back wins on January 24 and March 7. Don’t Forget beat Reason to Soar by 2 ¾ lengths in a $27,000 event, and then came back in March to beat Drena’s Star by a neck up in class for a $30,500 purse. That was a determined effort from Don’t Forget. With some more grit on Wednesday, Don’t Forget should complete the hat-trick.

Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.