There are seven racecourses available for wagering on New Year’s Day at BetOnline. We have Turfway Park covered with a couple of picks in Kentucky today. 2020 is finally in the past and we can look back at it as the year of Authentic. Bob Baffert had his ups and downs, but no trainer can complain about winning the Kentucky Derby and Breeders’ Cup Classic in the same year. For our bankroll, it was a tremendous year with a ROI of beyond 60%.
A Pick 5 win at Churchill Downs in May was the biggest score of all. We had a few underdogs mixed in that card and it was a pretty payday. That was far from the only win, though. Singles were profitable as well, so there wasn’t anything to complain about us either. There are always going to be picks you want back, but it’s hard to avoid those.
We have two picks at Turfway Park, and if you want more horse racing picks, we have more horses at Laurel Park in Maryland on Friday. Laurel Park has nine events on the agenda on New Year’s Day. A total of $269,000 in prize money is up for grabs at Laurel Park this afternoon. Head below for our free Laurel Park picks for January 1, 2021.
Post Time: 12:25 p.m. EST
Race 1 is our first look at the Laurel Park card on New Year’s Day. This even runs for a $23,000 purse on the dirt on Friday. Eight horses are expected to participate, with Natty Beau and Warm Sunny Breeze likely involved in the stretch. Natty Beau is 1 for 6 in his career with a recent win on November 12. He beat Charlie Potatoes by 3 ¼ lengths for a $30,448 purse. That was the third straight race Natty Beau finished in the top-3.
However, Natty Beau was cut down in his last race, and finished 7th for a $32,100 purse. That was a dead last performance from Natty Beau. Down well down in class for Friday, expect a much better performance from Natty Beau. She should be close with a chance to strike at the wire. Warm Sunny Breeze has reached the winner’s circle in two of his previous three outings.
Warm Sunny Breeze beat Bi Bi Barpe easily by 5 ¼ lengths on August 29. That was a wire-to-wire win and smooch too easy for Warm Sunny Breezy. In his most recent performance, he had success with a 1 ½ length win over Passage of Lines by 1 ½ lengths for a $26,289 purse on November 19. This looks like a good chance for Warm Sunny Breezy to strike with a win on New Year’s Day.
Post Time: 1:53 p.m. EST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Race 4 runs for 1/16 miles on the dirt for a $35,000 purse covering 1 1/16 miles. Toy and Mr Thrifty are on my shortlist of potential winners in Race 4. Toy is getting a nice morning-line price of 5/1 and could strike in this event. He is 2 for 8 in his career, having finished in the top-2 in four straight races before faltering recently. Toy won back-to-back performances on February 21 and May 31 at Laurel Park.
He beat Barbaroni by 6 lengths for a $46,440 purse, and then a bigger win for a $62,874 purse by 1 ¼ lengths. Toy was disappointing in his next outing, though. He finished 5th in a $38,850 event. That did not go according to plan for Toy, but they money didn’t flow to Toy despite winning a $62,874 race in his previous outing. Poor workouts can have that impact and have sharps avoid betting on those horses. We’ll see if Toy can bounce back for a win. He should be close at least.
Mr Thrifty has been in good form, with six straight performances in the top-3, four of which were top-2 efforts. He is coming off a win on December 1 in a $41,000 assignment. My Thrifty defeated Jerome Avenue by 2 lengths at a mile and 70 yards. He took a half length lead at the stretch and cleared. Mr Thrifty also won on September 1 in a $40,000 race. My Thrifty has shown to be consistent in a higher class than his assignment today. A win should be within reach.
Post Time: 2:23 p.m. EST
Our final pick at Race 5 is for a $42,000 purse on the dirt. Eight horses are scheduled to run in this race. Kewpie Doll and Mischiefs Model should have a solid chance to get into the winner’s circle. Kewpie Doll has finished in the top-3 in four out of five events in her career. She won on August 21 in a $49,840 event.
Since then, Kewpie Doll has gone 9th, 2nd, 2nd. Despite losing in her previous two races, she showed good form to place 2nd in back-to-back events. Kewpie Doll placed 2nd behind Whiskey and Rye for a $44,646 purse. She came just short by a length, but ran a solid race.
Mischiefs Model has done nothing but run consistent races. In four performances, she has finished 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 1st. Mischiefs Model placed 2nd in a $40,293 race on October 29 in a close call against Targe by 2 ¼ lengths. She was expected to win that race according to the money. However, Mischiefs Model was able to come back and win her next outing on November 28.
She beat Amaterasu by a length in a $46,002 event. That was an impressive response for Mischiefs Model. She is fresh off an impressive workout on December 20, with a time of 48.60 seconds. Purchased for $200,000, Mischiefs Model should be able to run well at this level. From the No. 2 post position, she’s getting good value here.