Tuesday could have been a whole lot brighter at Lone Star Park if just one more horse came through for us. Instead, the door was closed on our Pick 3 ticket in the final leg. Bandit Swanson failed to win, but still ran a strong race to place. The 2nd place performance did us no good, though. We needed the win from Bandit Swanson to complete the trifecta for consecutive days with multi-bet wins. On Monday, the Pick 3 and Pick 4 were winners at Lone Star Park, with two horses winning and two others getting scratched. A true Pick 3 and Pick 4 payout is not offered in those cases, but what amounted to two Daily Double wins, it was still a big day for the bankroll.
For a recap, at Churchill Downs, I’ve hit a Pick 3 and Pick 5 in May, while the two wins above at Lone Star Park on the Pick 3 and Pick 4 tickets add up to big profits. As long as you hit occasionally, you can still win big money with multi-betting despite a low win percentage. No one in the world is going to have a high win percentage on multi-bet tickets. Just one unique Rainbow Pick 6 ticket out of hundreds of losses could set you up nicely, not just for your betting bankroll but life bankroll. No, winning a Pick 3 at Lone Star Park is not going to be life changing money, or anything close to it, but two Pick 3 wins in three days would not be a bad week. Head below for our free Lone Star Park picks.
Post Time: 3:43 p.m. CST
Distance: 1 Mile
Our Pick 3 ticket begins with Race 5 at Lone Star Park. Race 5 features a ten-horse field vying for a $34,000 purse on the turf. Tapsolution, who I handicapped just under a month ago, will likely be joined by Carlea’s Dream and Battleship Bevo up front. Carlea’s Dream made his debut on February 22 and was outmatched as a rookie in that one.
He finished 7th and immediately dropped down a class to see if there was more success to be found. That worked for Carlea’s Dream, as he finished 2nd on March 18 and 3rd on May 23. In that March performance, Carlea’s Dream came 2 ¼ lengths from getting a win. He was just too tired late and had no kick in him, though it was a nice effort to protect 2nd to place.
Battleship Bevo gets the inside rail out of the gate and might be able to benefit from that, but at a mile of racing, it’s likely not going to help like he hopes for. This will be the seventh race of Battleship Bevo’s career, with 5th, 9th, 2nd, 3rd, 7th, 4th in his portfolio thus far. Decent morning workouts have been the story for Battleship Bevo. He completed 4 furlongs at 49.20 seconds and 5 furlongs at 1:01.60 in May. Battleship Bevo might be the biggest dark horse in the event.
Tapsolution is a two-time starter, with his debut on March 27th resulting in finishing 4th at Oaklawn Park. His form was better in his next performance on April 14 to lose by 2 lengths at the wire. He lost to the favorite, so it was to be expected. This should be a slightly easier face for Tapsolution. If he wants to race today, Tapsolution should be a front-runner.
Post Time: 4:15 p.m. CST
Race 6 is the second leg of our Pick 3 ticket on Wednesday. Ten horses will run 6 furlongs for another $34,000 purse. It could turn into a duel between Caddo Fox and Dashiell. On paper, they’re the strongest horses and should run well in this one. Dashiell is a first-time starter on Wednesday and has had some promising workouts in the morning. Purchased for just $7,000, the ROI on Dashiell could be great throughout his career. In two 4-furlongs workouts in May, Dashiell was clocked at 49 and 48.40 seconds. This isn’t the trickiest debut race that Dashiell could have entered, so expect him to compete in this class. Caddo Fox was in excellent form in a recent workout at 4 furlongs for a time of 47.20 seconds.
Caddo Fox is a three-time starter, all of which came at Sam Houston Race Park this year. He was strong in his debut on January 22 to place behind Gold Pilot by 1 ½ lengths. Caddo Fox was close again in his next outing on March 7 to finish 1 length behind Rock the Devil. His next race wasn’t the best for 4th on March 17, but that was a more difficult assignment for Caddo Fox. It was to be expected to an extent. Caddo Fox is unlikely going to find this race incredibly easy, but he’s still going to run a strong race and to be up front with a chance for the win at the wire.
Post Time: 4:45 p.m. CST
One more race to complete our Pick 3 at Lone Star Park on Wednesday. Welder and Lasting Legacy are going to be leading contenders in Race 7. One of those two will likely take the top prize out of this $39,000 purse. Welder has one of the better win percentages that you’re going to find for a horse that has raced in 33 races.
He has won 22 of 33 races for a win percentage of 66%. The Oklahoma bred Welder has won 5 of his previous 6 races, including six stakes wins since last April. That includes wins in 7 of his previous 9 races. My only problem with Welder is that he hasn’t tested himself much. Instead of chasing bigger purses, Welder has stuck in races that his trainer knows he will dominate, for the most part.
Since April 24, 2018, Welder has won 13 of 17 races for an insane rune. For a race with that kind of track record, you must be wondering how Welder isn’t a bigger favorite in this race, or a favorite at all for that matter. When you pick on the weak fields, wins are surely going to pile up, but Welder might have found a foe that might give him problems.
Lasting Love has won 5 of 10 races in his career. It could have very well been 9 out of 10 races if he chased easier events like Welder. Lasting Love is coming off two runs in tricky Gr. 3 stakes races. Welder was only racing in Black Type events instead of graded races. Lasting Legacy finished 2nd in the Mr. Prospector Stakes on December 21, 2019 and 4th in the World of Trouble Sprint Stakes on February 22.
Leading up to that race, Lasting Love notched a hat-trick from June to September at Monmouth Park. His most recent 5-furlong workouts have been incredibly impressive. He was timed at 59.80 and 59.40 seconds on May 10 and May 18. Anything under a minute for a 5-furlong workout is quite quick. Back down in class after racing in Gr. 3 events, which he did alright in against stiff competition, Lasting Love appears to have the upper-hand on Welder.