Monday is what you would call a big day at Lone Star Park. Two of our horses were scratched, but Curtseytothekitten and Calculating Kind did race. I should say that we had three horses scratched, because Wrath was kept out of the starting gate. Fortunately, though, trainer Robertino Diodoro coupled Wrath with Calculating King and he did win. We played the Pick 3 and Pick 4, though it reverted to a Daily Double because of Race 2 and 5 a wash with the scratches.
The $2.00 Daily Double paid $30.20, so for both tickets, that’s $60.40 in profit off just 4 bucks. If you were to bet $100.00 on those bets, well, do the math. That’s a $1,150 win on each ticket for a total win of $3,020. It’s nothing like the $1,600+ won at Churchill Downs on a $2.00 Pick 5 ticket a few weeks ago, but I will gladly take the profit from yesterday.
If you’re new to horse racing and haven’t noticed yet, it’s an extremely volatile sport betting wise. Your chances of winning on the ponies is better than a slot machine, which is one of the worst bets you can make in a casino, but the ups and downs and extreme swings can feel like the same.
You can go days without winning anything on multi-bet wagers. However, stick with it, and you should eventually be rewarded for your hard work. Bankroll management is imperative. We’re back at Lone Star Park on Tuesday with a Pick 3 ticket. Head below for our free Lone Star Park Pick 3 Selection for June 9, 2020.
Post Time: 3:11 p.m. CST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs
We will get started at Lone Star Park with Race 4 on our Pick 3 ticket. Race 4 will feature 5 ½ furlongs of racing for a $15,000 purse. Ima Real Deal, Paw’s Salty Pepper, and Moro Charlie are expected to run well in the event. Paw’s Salty Pepper has pretty good value at +400 on the morning-line. Who knows where the odds will land by post time, but +400 looks fairly attractive.
Paw’s Salty Pepper was a winner in back-to-back events on February 19 and March 20, which was sandwiched in between 6th as a first-time starter on February 5 and 10th in his most recent outing on May 23. Running down a class on Tuesday, this looks like a spot where Paw’s Salty Pepper should compete.
Ima Real Deal has 2 wins in 6 races after finishing 6th and 5th in his last two races on February 19 and March 14. Three races ago, Ima Real Deal won on January 18 by 2 ¼ lengths over Moro Appeal. He raced in the Kip Deville Stakes (Black Type) and the event was well out of his league.
Ima Real Deal finished 9th in that race and quickly dropped down in class. This race today is going to be easier than the last two races, but a bit more difficult than he had on January 18 in that winning effort. Moro Charlie slides down in class the most in this field. He is also coming off the most impressive workout going into Tuesday.
Ima Real Deal just ran 4 furlongs at 51 seconds on June 1. Meanwhile, Moro Charlie was strong recently, with a time of 47.60 seconds. That form will catch the attention of handicappers. Paw’s Salty Pepper ran 4 furlongs at 53.60 and 48.80 seconds in his most recent morning workouts. Moro Charlies has stakes experience, with an appearance in the Texas Stallion Stymie Division Stakes last June. He belonged in that race, and came just a bit short for 3rd.
Moro Charlie has 2 wins in 18 races in his career. That doesn’t sound spectacular, but keep in mind that he’s been testing himself against better fields. Moro Charlie has been in the top-3 in eight out of those 18 events. It’s Moro Charlie or Paw’s Salty Pepper for me, with Moro Charlie having the edge.
Post Time: 3:43 p.m. CST
The gate will open on Race 5 with nine horses expected to run a mile for a $35,000 purse. This looks like a duel between Breeze Rider and Elle’s Town. Breeze Rider is coming off a strong performance on March 13 by 5 lengths. She was clear by the top of the stretch with a 2 length lead and pulled away. Breeze Rider has won 3 of 7 races in her career. She finished 1st, 2nd, 1st from November 2, 2019 to December 14, 2019, and then opted to try something more difficult.
That didn’t go well, as Breeze Rider finished 5th in back-to-back races. This event isn’t going to be as difficult as those two events, but it likely won’t be a clear win for Breeze Rider today. Elle’s Town is most likely going to be a hard chore for Breeze Rider to get around.
Elle’s Town has stakes racing experience and recently had a strong run in the Pago Hop Stakes (Black Type) on December 28, 2019, which was two races ago. She was unable to follow up with a response, though. Elle’s Town finished 5th on February 29 in what was another tough race. Despite the finish, Elle’s Town has been in the top-3 in four out of her previous six performances.
She hasn’t won since March 17, 2019 and is a winner in 1 of 17 career races. Neither of those points make you want to jump on Elle’s Town right away. However, her form has been terrific in recent workouts, with times of 47.80, 47.80, and 48.40 at 4 furlongs. That would be enough for a win against this field. If she’s feeling good today, a win should be within reach.
Post Time: 4:15 p.m. CST
Hopefully this is the clincher for our Pick 3 ticket on Tuesday. One more horse is required to complete a winning ticket. In Race 6, eight horses are scheduled to run a mile for a $34,000 purse. Bandit Swanson is likely going to be joined by Hard Candy in the race to the finish. Hard Candy is on my shortlist and will probably present better value at post time than some of the others.
He drops down in class slightly after not getting very far as a first-time starter and second outing in December and January. Improvements were made, though, as Hard Candy went from 6th to 4th, and is coming back to the track off a bit of a layoff. If more improvements were made, then Hard Candy could be a surprise contender here. Her workouts have been fairly promising, with times of 1:00.60 and 1:01.08 at 6 furlongs in May.
Bandit Swanson’s most recent workout was even more impressive, with a time of 49.05 seconds at 4 furlongs. Bandit Swanson is getting the easiest race of his career on Tuesday. He has finished 5th, 6th, 3rd, 6th, 10th, and 3rd in his most recent performance on February 21. Bandit Swanson showed in that one despite running against a fairly solid field. His trainer went searching for an easier chore and seems to have found one in Race 6 on Tuesday at Lone Star Park.