Our weekend was highlighted by a win on Authentic in the Haskell Stakes (Gr. 1) on Saturday at Monmouth Park. That was our biggest play of the weekend, so in that sense it was a good weekend, though I’ve had much better. Yesterday wasn’t a productive day at Gulfstream Park and Saratoga.
It was a close call at Saratoga on the Pick 3, with an official win and two of our shortlisted horses winning. We had the right idea, but it doesn’t really matter unless a bet is made on the winner. That’s horse racing for you, though. It’s a volatile game that has a lot of ups and downs. If you have the stomach for the volatility of casino games, then horse racing won’t be anything drastic.
With the major sports in North America nearing a return, we can say that our horse racing goals have been more than achieved. Heading into Monday, our ROI with horse racing is 166.48%. Much of that success was aided by a Pick 5 win at Churchill Downs on May 23. The implied odds for winning that bet was 0.12%. However, if we were to remove that multi-race bet and just include straight wagers, then it would be a success with a profit. I’m more than happy with the outcome of our betting results since the sports shutdown in North America.
I am going to continue providing horse racing picks when the major sports return. So, if you’re enjoying the horse racing articles, those won’t be going away. Besides, we are just getting into the good stuff with the Kentucky Derby around the corner. For today, we’re at Mountaineer Park on Monday night with a couple of picks for a Daily Double. Mountaineer Park has nine races worth $90,200 available on the docket Monday. Head below for our free Mountaineer Park Daily Double picks for July 20, 2020.
Post Time: 9:34 p.m. EST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs
We go straight to the end of the card at Mountaineer Park on Monday night. This is the feature race of the day. A purse of $22,800 is on offer at Mountaineer in Race 8. It’s not the most prize money, but for Mountaineer Park on a Monday night it’s something. Peanuts Perfection and Pettinberg are expected to run bold races in this event. Pettinberg gets the inside rail out of the gate in this one.
With only 5 ½ furlongs to race, Pettinberg might be able to take advantage of the favorable starting position. Pettinberg has been solid throughout his young career. He’s won 3 of 8 races, most recently on December 11, 2019 at Penn National. That was his third win in four races and in the top-2 in five straight events.
Pettinberg went on a break and returned to the gate in a slightly higher class, from a $19,000 race to $28,000 on July 1. It went horribly wrong, as Pettinberg finished outside of the top-3 for the first time in his career. Pettinberg wasn’t in the same ballpark in that event. He completed the race for 8th after fading hard in the stretch. Pettinberg was 2nd at the ½ pole and then just stopped running hard. He had the inside rail in that race as well, failing to take advantage of it in the later stages of the event.
Leading up to that race, Pettinberg looked slow in an early morning 3-furlong workout. He completed 3 furlongs in 41.44 seconds which wasn’t encouraging. It translated to race day and Pettinberg didn’t show any signs of improvement. For a horse that was bought for just $1,000 in 2017, I’d say this has been a successful year for him, though. That said, the layoff might have taken something out of him.
Peanuts Perfection is 3 for 6 in his career. He was on a layoff as well, though the results were flipped around. Peanuts Perfection finished 5th on December 10, 2019, and then followed up for a big performance on June 23 at Thistledown. Peanuts Perfecton beat Baritone in a blowout by 7 ½ lengths. It was a wire-to-wire win for Peanuts Perfection in the $23,000 event. He is coming off a productive workout on July 5, with a recorded time of 49.60 seconds over 4 furlongs. Peanuts Perfection boasts the best form going into Monday and should respond accordingly.
Post Time: 9:56 p.m. EST
The final race of the day at Mountaineer Park features a modest $7,300 purse. It will only take 5 furlongs to get through this race. Freedonia and Sleeping Giant are on my shortlist. If anyone is going to upset Freedonia, it’s going to be Sleeping Giant most likely. Sleeping Giant is 6 for 26 in his career. It’s been an ugly recent stretch for Sleeping Giant, but he’s getting a class drop today. If Sleeping Giant can’t run a strong race in a $7,300 race, then his connections are going to run out of options. Sleeping Giant has finished 5th, 10th, 9th, 7th, 7th in his previous five performances.
His trainer probably waited just a bit too long to drop Sleeping Giant in class. It was apparent that he couldn’t keep up. His most recent runs were for $19,000 and $14,000. After finishing 7th in the $19,000 race on February 26, Sleeping Giant went down to $14,000 and it was the same result. Now, Sleeping Giant is all the way down to a $7,300 race. He should be able to manage this event. I’d be surprised if he has a really poor performance against this company. There isn’t really anywhere to go if Sleeping Giant fails to run well here. To his credit, Sleeping Giant looked good in the morning on July 13 with a time of 35.60 seconds.
Freedonia is 5 for 20 in his career, with finishes in the top-2 in 6 of his previous 8 outings. His most recent race on June 29 was his worst performance of the bunch, as Freedonia was 5th in a $12,400 event. Prior to that, Freedonia dominated in this class with a 6 ¾ length win to get clear of Pequeno Grande. Last summer, he was consistently racing in this class and he went 3 for 3 for a hat-trick. This is an easy assignment for Freedonia and the results should show on the track late Monday night at Mountaineer Park. His trainer is searching for a race to celebrate entering Freedonia in this winnable event. It’s likely that will come true on Monday.