Mountaineer Park is hosting another evening card in West Virginia on Tuesday night. If you like racing under the lights, then Mountaineer Park has what you need. Mountaineer doesn’t attract the best horses in the US, but you don’t need it to handicap the races correctly. If you want the best of the best on offer this week, you’ll have to wait for Saturday at Saratoga. There are some big races in Saratoga Springs approaching so be on the lookout on Saturday if you like betting the big stakes races. The biggest of which is the Whitney Stakes (Gr. 1) for $750,000.
The entire card at Mountaineer Park on Tuesday night consists of $98,400. There are nine races on the docket at Mountaineer Park. We’re on top of three events on the card. Hopefully that includes some wins this evening. We also have you covered at Parx Racing in Philadelphia this afternoon. Head below for our free Mountaineer Park picks for July 28, 2020.
Post Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile 70 Yards
Mountaineer Park will open with a mile and 70 yards of racing on the turf in Race 1. The first race of the night at Mountaineer will feature a $10,000 purse. Ten horses are currently scheduled to participate in the opening race in West Virginia. Seeing’n’believing along with Shes a True Beauty are on my shortlist.
Despite the lofty 6/1 odds, Seeing’n’beliving will likely put a jolt into this race. Seeing’n’beliving won’t have to deal with an overly aggressive field in Race 1 and is coming off a race in good form on July 12. Overall, Seeing’n’believing is 9 for 46 in her career, so she’s been able to get to the winner’s circle.
In her previous three events, Seeing’n’believing finished 3rd, 4th, 2nd, 6th, 3rd. Seeing’n’believing was 3rd in her most recent performance on July 12. You would have liked to see more from Seeing’n’believing in a $6,900 event. However, despite this up in class for a $10,000 purse, I wouldn’t characterize this as the stiffest competition that she has ever faced. That said, it’s been awhile since Seeing’n’believing has won, with a win back on September 16, 2018 at Presque Isle.
Seeing’n’believing has gone winless in 11 straight races, though she did manage to finish in the top-3 in five of those races. Other than Shes a True Beauty, Seeing’n’believing doesn’t have a tough field ahead of her on Tuesday night at Mountaineer. Shes a True Beauty should be a problem for her and the rest of the field, though.
Shes a True Beauty is 3 for 35 in her career, which doesn’t move the needle much, but this is an easier race than she’s used to. Shes a True Beauty has raced in four stakes races in her career, which includes a Grade 3 event a few years ago. In her previous five five outings, Shes a True Beauty has finished 2nd, 10th, 6th, 5th, 5th.
All five of those races were in a class higher than what she is entering today in Race 1. One was for $14,000, with all of the other events for more than $20,000. She’s appeared to be in good form in morning workouts. Shes a True Beauty completed 4 furlongs in 49.20, 48.60, and 49.20 seconds. She also had a 3-furlong workout on June 28 with a time of 36.40 seconds. Considering her competition tonight, I’m finding the 3/1 morning-line good value.
Post Time: 8:50 p.m. EST
Race 6 is down in class from Race 1, with a $7,300 purse on the line on the dirt over a mile of racing. Tarnished Justice and Dubull are who you will want to watch in Race 6. Both horses are coming off wins and are in good form. Dubull is a winner in her most recent race over Thorny Issue by 5 ½ lengths. Thorny Issue was the betting favorite in that race, but Dubull showed up and delivered a strong performance.
It ended a 12-race winless streak for Dubull, whose last win before that was on January 13, 2018. At a mile, it’s unlikely that Dubull will be able to take advantage of the inside rail. Dubull is going to be in the mix, but he is going to need another standout performance like he did on July 6. If he brings ‘A’ form to the equation on Tuesday night, then expect Dubull to be right near the front with a chance to win.
Tarnished Justice has been the more consistent horse over the last year. Since April of 2019, Tarnished Justice finished in the top-3 in 8 of 11 races, and in the top-2 in 7 of 11 races. In his latest two outings, Tarnished Justice was 2nd and 1st. Tarnished Justice was a length behind People’s Champ to place 2nd on June 22 and then followed up for a dominating show on July 8.
He won in a blowout on July 8 by 8 ¼ lengths over Twentytwentyvision. Tarnished Justice was clear by the ¾ pole by 2 ½ lengths, and then an 8 length lead at the top of the stretch. That kind of effort would result in another romp for Tarnished Justice. I’m not expecting a win of that magnitude on Tuesday, but he should be able to fend off Dubull who will likely be coming on hard in the stretch. I’m riding aboard Tarnished Justice in Race 6.
Post Time: 9:34 p.m. EST
It’s Race 8 time at Mountaineer Park, which is up in class as opposed to Race 1 and Race 6. In fact, this is the feature event of the night in West Virginia. The gate will likely not be opened until closer to the top of the hour at 10:00 p.m. EST. Earlscastle and Santa Fe Blaze on the inside and outside should have the strongest bids in Race 8. Santa Fe Blaze is running from the outside of the gate from the No. 8 post position, but likely won’t be an outsider in the stretch.
He is 2 for 12 in his career, with a strong performance in a $18,400 event on June 14. At 5 ½ furlongs, Santa Fe Blaze placed 2nd behind Team Freedom by 8 ¾ lengths. While Santa Fe Blaze couldn’t keep up with Team Freedom, he was able to beat Tulwar by 6 lengths for 2nd. Tulwar is running out of the No. 2 spot on Tuesday night.
Santa Fe Blaze followed up for 5th on July 14 in a $17,800 race. That was discouraging, but he was up against some tricky competition in that outing. Earlscastle will be on the opposite side of Santa Fe Blaze in the gate. Earlscastle has been showing a strong and consistent will in 2020. He is by far the most consistent runner in this field, and has found a way to be near the front all year long.
Earlscastle has finished 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 2nd in his previous six entries. He won at Charles Town on June 12 over Swing Batter by 2 ¼ lengths in a race for $28,000. Earlscastle followed up for 2nd on July 4 at Charles Town to lose by ¾ lengths in a $29,000 event. That’s typically the class Earlscastle has been in throughout his career. Sick of 2nd place, Earlscastle is going down in class to look for easier competition. He will likely find it here on Tuesday night for a $20,200 purse. This should be a race that Earlscastle handles.