Back at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia on Sunday afternoon following a big day Saturday. Life Is Good is a serious contender to win the Kentucky Derby, as he joins the likes of Essential Quality and Greatest Honour. Not optimistic about a Triple Crown bid, as a horse like Greatest Honour could probably outlast Life Is Good at that distance.
Like I said, it’s way early to be overly confident with a winner. That said, I did pick Authentic to win the Kentucky Derby in March of last year, and that proved right despite the delay to October. I hope to do it again, and will have an early Kentucky Derby up on the blog at TheSportsGeek shortly in the next week or two.
BetOnline has a monster card on Sunday with 12 racecourses available for wagering today. You can find everything from the small like Fonner Park and Harthorne to Aqueduct Racetrack and Santa Anita Park. In our first card of the day, we have Tampa Bay downs covered with a couple of horses. We have three on the card at Santa Anita Park. There are a total of nine races with $479,000 in prize money available. Head below for our free Santa Anita Park picks for March 7, 2021.
Race 4 – Santa Ysabel Stakes
Post Time: 2:08 p.m. PST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
One of two $100,000 stakes races on Sunday is at Santa Anita Park. The Santa Ysabel Stakes (Gr. 3) is the only graded race today in the US. Five horses are scheduled to run, with a couple of talented participants in Kalypso and Moraz likely going to be full participants in the stretch. Moraz is a one-time winner and showed 3rd in his other two assignments.
In her win on January 8, Moraz ousted Peachtree Road in a blowout by 11 lengths. She was stalking in that race, and took off in the stretch run to pull away from the competition for a clear win at the $63,000 level. That race was much too easy, but Moraz was unable to find major success in her stakes debut on February 6. She did well, but had to settle for 3rd in the $200,000 Las Virgenes Stakes.
Moraz was defeated by Kalypso and Moonlight d’Oro, with Kalypso 1 ¾ lengths ahead for 2nd place. Kalypso was an even favorite in that race, and ran well, but was edged out by 1 ½ lengths. This should be slightly easier for Bob Baffert’s Kalypso. Kalypso has finished top-3 in all six of his assignments, and top-2 in five straight. Her last win was on January 3 in the $200,000 Santa Ynez Stakes (Gr. 2) over Frosteria by 1 ¾ lengths.
She has one Grade 1 race on her resume, placing 2nd on December 5 in the behind Varda by 1 ½ lengths in the $300,000 Starlet Stakes (Gr. 1). I believe any of her last three efforts would be enough to win on Sunday. If she brings that form, it’s hard to see Kalypso being denied in the Santa Ysabel.
Post Time: 2:40 p.m. PST
Race 5 is on the turf at Santa Anita Park, covering a mile for a $63,000 purse. Eight horses will run on the grass, with Sensible Cat and Majestic Steps where I’m looking for a win bet. Sensible Cat carries some value at 4-1 on the morning-line. She has gone 6th, 1st, 1st, 5th, with her most recent win on December 12 in the $100,000 Soviet Problem Stakes (Black Type) by 1 ¾ lengths over Governor Goteven.
Sensible Cat was unable to follow up, and finished 5th on January 16 in his most recent performance in the $200,000 Leigh Ann Howard. This race represents a significant class drop, so a better performance is going to be expected on Sunday afternoon. It’s hard to see Sensible Cat being far away at the wire, with a good chance to possibly win. Majestic Steps is going to pose a major threat for Sensible Cat.
Majestic Steps has gone 1st and 4th since transferring from overseas. Prior to jumping over the pond, Majestic Steps finished 9th, 7th, 4th, 5th, so immediately found success in her new home. The Irish bred Majestic Steps beat Bleu Balloon by 1 ½ lengths on January 2 in a $63,000 race, and then 4th in the $100,000 Sweet Life Stakes (Gr. 3) as the favorite. This is a good horse, but the way I see it, value is with Sensible Cat in Race 5.
Post Time: 3:12 p.m. PST
A $22,000 event will close the day out at Santa Anita Park for us. This will take place on the main track over 6 furlongs. Traffic Stopper and Wicks and Chappies should be involved in the stretch run in this event. She has gone winless in eight races, placing thrice, including in her most recent outing on February 23.
Traffic Stopper placed 2nd behind Lucky Long Legs by 5 ½ lengths in the $32,000 assignment. That was a nice performance up in class, and is going to receive a nice drop to a $22,000 race on Sunday. If she brings the same form to the party today, then expect Traffic Stopper to be close at the wire. To find a way past Wicks and Chappies, it might require a bit more, though.
Wicks and Chappies is winless in six performances, but is by far the most consistent operator in Race 6. She has finished in the top-3 in five straight outings, placing 2nd in her last two performances. Wicks and Chappies placed 2nd behind It’s a Riddle by 5 ½ lengths in a $22,000 event, and then in her most recent, placed 2nd behind Instastory by 1 length in another $22,000 event. She has a definite chance to win, but I’m going to support Traffic Stopper and what should be better value at post time.