It’s another light day for horse racing in North America, with just two racetracks holding events on Wednesday. Fonner Park sits down, while Tampa Bay Downs takes their spot today. Will Rogers Downs is holding another card today after we had a lot of success yesterday in Oklahoma. If you’re looking for Will Rogers Downs picks, we will have you covered in another article. This weekend promises to be an exciting one, as Churchill Downs turns things up with a series of stakes races on Saturday. Along with Churchill Downs, Santa Anita Park will be another one of the big tracks racing as well.
Speaking of big tracks, the date is set for the Belmont Stakes. They’re doing things a little differently this year because of Covid-19. Belmont will be the first race of the Triple Crown on June 20. The race will be shortened from its usual 1 ½ miles. Then after Belmont, there will be a long wait until the Kentucky Derby on Labor Day Weekend. The Preakness Stakes will be the last leg of the Triple Crown in 2020, with that race taking place in October. It’s different, but I’m glad we are going to have a Triple Crown race soon, which will take place from today. That changes up the strategy a bit for trainers. For now, let’s take a look at the Tampa Bay Downs Pick 3 card for May 20, 2020.
Post Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles
We’ll look to hit the Race 1-3 Pick 3 on Wednesday at Tampa Bay Downs. This race features a $10,000 purse with eight horses signed up. The Kahn, Meilleur, and Gran Greyfrost are participants to look into further. Sweepingthenation is the big underdog of the race with +3000 odds. He won back on March 10, 2019 in his next ever start, but has not been involved much since then. Sweepingthenation has finished 5th, 5th, 5th, 4th, 7th, 8th since the win. Showing is likely going to be difficult.
Meilleur won this March in 2020 by 7 ½ lengths in a blowout over The Wayne Factor. What an impressive performance for the 6th win in his career. He’s a winner in 6 out of 33 races in his career. Since the win, Meilleur has been inconsistent finishing 9th, 2nd, 9th. In his most recent outing, Meilleur was way back in 9th. He competed against The Kahn in that race and was no threat. The Kahn finished 10+ lengths ahead of Meilleur for 3rd. The Kahn is going to be a major factor in Race 1. He’s going to have a chance at top honors here.
The Kahn has been in good form to finish 2nd, 1st, 3rd in his previous three outings. He finished 3rd in his most recent race, which I just talked about above with Meilleur. Prior to that, The Kahn was a winner on April 22. The Kahn won by ¾ lengths over Circle Away. He was unable to win back-to-back events, but was still strong enough to show on May 8. What I liked most about that race is the strong willingness at the top of the stretch to push hard. He went from 7th at the top of the stretch to 3rd at the wire. That was at 7 furlongs, so he should have enough gas in the tank for 1 1/16 miles.
Gran Greyfrost drops down a class after finding out he didn’t belong on April 19. He finished 7th against a strong field. The only horse he was good enough to beat was Blakey in that race. Prior to that event, Gran Greyfrost won in January by 1 ¼ lengths. He’s a winner in 3 out of 16 career races. Gran Greyfrost has finished 4th, 5th, 6th, 3rd, 1st, 7th in his previous six outings. This race is more on his level and he should be able to compete. Although, The Kahn has been in good form and should be able to take a run at the win here. I like the value on The Kahn.
Post Time: 1:30 p.m. EST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
5 ½ furlongs to decide a winner in Race 2 at Tampa Bay Downs. It’s another $10,000 purse on offer for this event. Fran’s Salsa returns to the track after a layoff since November. When she left for his break, Fran’s Salsa was running well to win on October 29, 2019 and then placed October 6, 2019. She returns to the mix at a higher class and is likely going to find this difficult. It’s probably not going to be a great time for Fran’s Salsa. Expect to see her running at an easier level in her next event.
This should be a race between Mr. Kisses, One Lucky Step, and High Five Cotten. Mr. Kisses has a win in 10 of 40 races, having finished in the top-3 in 13 of his previous 14 outings. However, when Mr. Kisses tried to race against better competition, he didn’t run as well in his most recent outing. He finished 5th, failing to show for the first time since 2018. Mr. Kisses has run well consistently, though it’s been a while since finding a win. His last win was on August 29, 2019.
One Lucky Step has been running like Mr. Kisses in the sense that he’s running up front, but unable to finish the deal. He’s finished in the top-3 in five straight races and in 6 of his last 7 performances. His most recent win was on April 29, 2018, ten races ago.
We’ll see if his patience and consistency pays off with a trip to the winner’s circle today. High Five Cotton might have something to say about that. High Five Cotton returns after taking a layoff since August. He finished 4th in his last outing, but that would be enough against this field.
High Five Cotton has won 9 of 41 races in his career, and was a winner in 2 of his last 4 races before taking time off. Dating back to the start of 2019, High Five Cotton has won 5 of 10 races and placed in 3. That’s 8 out of 10 races finishing in the top-2. If he arrives at the gate with that form in Race 2, then High Five Cotton is going to be a major player.
Post Time: 2:00 p.m. EST
The final race of our Pick 3 features a 14-horse field vying for a $11,500 purse. Sorcier, Analyzeyourvision, and Cask are all favored to be involved in this race. Sorcier showed incredible improvement in his last race after finishing 9th and 10th in the first two races of his career. He was 10th and 9th on November 7 and February 16, then came out a different horse in his next race on April 19. The drop in class certainly has something to do with it, so let’s keep that in mind. He finished 2nd, though was 12 lengths behind the winner, Hard n’Sweet. In any event, he was able to beat eight other horses to place.
Analyzeyourvision has shown improvements as well. He was nowhere close in the first two starts of his career, finishing 9th and 8th to get going. Since then, Analyzeyourvision has gone 4th, 4th, 3rd. In his most recent outing he had plenty of kick after the ¾ pole, as he rode hard from 9th to 3rd at the wire. If Analyzeyourvision has that same drive at the top of the stretch then he could be in business in this start. Analyzeyourvision and Sorcier will both have to concern themselves with Cask, who is likely going to present a bold bid in Race 3 on Wednesday.
Cask is dropping classes big time, as he goes from playing Triple-AAA ball to Single-A ball at Tampa Bay Downs today. Having said that, it isn’t like Cask ran that poorly in his last outing against superior competition. Cask finished 4th to beat five horses for a respectable effort. Leading up to that race, he finished 8th in back-to-back races, so that was a nice step in the right direction against quality opponents. 4th in his most recent race would have been good for a win against this competition today. The lower class should benefit him greatly.