Tampa Bay Downs settles in for another slate of horse racing over the next five days. They get a bit of a head start on Gulfstream Park, which opens up for racing on Thursday. With the other big tracks on the sidelines Wednesday as well, it’s an opportunity for Tampa Bay Downs to be the big kid on the block for a day. Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park run on Wednesday as well, but the brand name of Tampa Bay Downs attracts more attention from the public. There is a Pick 3 and Pick 4 card on offer at BetOnline, so we’ll see what we can do with it at Tampa Bay Downs. We’ll get back to the Rainbow Pick 6 betting when Gulfstream Park gets going again this week.
We were able to grind out a profit yesterday by splitting at Fonner Park and Will Rogers Downs. You always strive for perfection, but netting a profit is always the goal. Pick 3 requires all three selections to be correct, so we’re going for a perfect day in the first three races in Tampa. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Downs Pick 3 selections for May 6, 2020.
Post Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile 40 Yards
You’re going to need a successful selection in Race 1 to move onto Race 2. You can’t move on without step 1 complete, so let’s get to it and hopefully find a winner. Seven horses are signed up for Race 1, with a $10,000 purse on the line to get the afternoon started. Brandy Chaser would net the highest payout, but hasn’t looked to be in good form recently. He has gone 6th, 6th, 5th, 6th in his previous four races. He had a win at Canterbury Park on September 2, 2019 by 1 ½ lengths. Good win for Brandy Chaser, but we haven’t seen the same form since.
Donnie Brasco and Fast Fairy have the same odds on the morning lines with +800 each. I’d give the edge to Donnie Brasco if you’re trying to decide between one of them. That’s not to say I feel confident in either. Fast Fairy didn’t look good at all in her previous two outings, finishing 10th on April 10 and 5th on February 26. She recorded a win on February 7, but appears to have some tired legs after going all out for the win that day. Fast Fairy has a win in 10 career entries.
Dig In and Something Bird are likely going to become familiar with one another on the outside. Something Bird, though, is hoping that a drop in class will be sufficient enough to get a win. After 1 win in 28 attempts, Something Bird will have to try something different to get back to the winner’s circle. Her last win was in 2018, with 20 straight winless rides for Something Bird. She likely can’t do much worse because of the drop in class for Wednesday.
Dig In, while didn’t succeed in her last race, has shown much more consistency than Something Bird lately. Dig In finished 8th on April 10, but was doing well up to that outing. She finished inside the top-3 in 6 of 8 races leading up to April. The race prior, Dig In finished 2nd behind Prequalified by 2 lengths. Any of those six performances where Dig In finished in the top-3 will suffice today.
Post Time: 1:30 p.m. EST
Race 2 features an eight-horse field running at a shorter distance of 7 furlongs. The purse size remains the same at $10,000. Wowza Man, Happy Guy, and Just Shoot Already are all likely going to be involved down the stretch in this event. Wowza Man is getting some fairly decent odds at +300.
This is going to be one of the weakest fields he’s had to race against in his career, so his results should be better. In ten career races, Wowza Man has finished in the top-5 just twice. And in those two races, there were only six and seven horses in those events, so not much to gloat about. Wowza Man has gone 5th, 6th, 6th in his last three outings.
Meanwhile, Happy Guy has at least been competitive out there. He’s placed in three of his last races. His most recent effort on April 17 was a solid bid, but was outlasted by Molokai Night at the wire by 1 ¼ lengths. Still searching for her first win, but has been coming along nicely and might finally do one better on Wednesday. She has finished in the top-3 in 4 out of 10 career races.
Just Shoot Already is your favorite for Race 2, but didn’t run like a favorite in his last performance on April 17. He was slow against the field and managed to finish 8th. That was the same event as Happy Guy raced in. Just Shoot Already faded away at 6 ½ furlongs in that race, so the extra half furlong today probably doesn’t help.
He fell from 3rd at the ¼ pole to 4th going into the stretch and then 8th at the wire. Just Shoot Already has finished in the top-3 in five of eight outings, but the last race was discouraging. He has finished 5th, 2nd, 8th in his last three trips around the track. I’m on Happy Guy to edge out the favorite in Race 2.
Post Time: 2:00 p.m. EST
Distance:1 ⅛ Miles
14 horses are signed up to gallop 1 ⅛ miles at Tampa Bay Downs in Race 3. $11,500 will be up for grabs in this purse. There are plenty of chances for an upset in this race, with ten horses out of 14 with odds of +1000 or greater. Your best shot at an upset winner might be Saison. At least that’s where you will find the best value out of them.
Saison is still searching for a win, but he was coming close near the end of last summer. In three out of his previous five outings, Saison finished 2nd and has finished in the top-3 in 4 of his last 7 races. The last couple of starts where Saison finished 5th is concerning, but given the odds, still presents decent value at +2000.
Rionero, Old Fort, and Analyze Your Vision are probably going to be threats. Lastfortinofamily might have a surprise run as well. One or two out of that group will likely be competing hard down the stretch. Rionero hasn’t looked good on paper after finishing 2nd and 3rd in the first two starts of his career. However, the correct form hasn’t been there for Rionero in 2020.
After a two-year layoff, Rionero hasn’t looked the same, finishing 7th, 8th, 6th in his last three starts. The lighter competition will help, but will likely come up short here. Analyzeyourvision has gone 9th, 8th, 4th, 4th in four career outings. Started slow, but has shown a bit more drive in his starts on March 15 and April 15.
I’ve handicapped Old Fort in the past and he’s come really close several times. By this point, Old Fort probably deserves a win after coming up just short to show in 5 of his last 6 entries. After struggling early in his career, Old Fort has been showing improved form in 2020. In his final race of 2020, Old Fort finished 4th on January 3. Since then, Old Fort has gone 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 3rd, 5th. In the first 11 starts in his career, Old Fort showed in just one race. Now he’s notched a top-3 finish in 5 of 6 races. The recent consistency is nice, and he might be ready to finally find the winner’s circle today.