We’re back at Tampa Bay Downs after grinding out a profit yesterday. We took yet another split at Tampa Bay Downs, which doesn’t sound great, but that’s all it takes to generate a profit when both wagers are above +100. In the case of Saturday, I’mthekatsmeow was a winner at +180. I’ve had much bigger winners than that, but I will gladly take the money and add it to the bankroll. I can’t seem to get off the splitting train at Tampa Bay Downs, and as mediocre as that sounds, I would take that every day and then some when it comes to horse racing.
The track just got some good news recently, as their request to extend their meet has been granted. Tampa Bay Downs was set to end this meet on May 3, but they will be going until the end of the month at least. It’s highly probable that Tampa Bay Downs won’t get the black flag and have to exit to the pits. They’re in the process of slowly reopening, so it looks like Gulfstream Park and Gulfstream Park are going to survive this without having to close. Santa Anita Park and Golden Gate Fields wish they could say the same. Tampa Bay Downs will be racing today, though. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Downs selections for April 26, 2020.
Post Time: 12:40 p.m. EST
Distance: 6 ½ Furlongs
The afternoon at Tampa Bay Downs will begin with a six-horse field chasing down a $14,000 purse. They will run 6 ½ furlongs to decide a winner. Purple Monster and Papa Ralph J have longish odds on the morning lines Sunday. Purple Monster notched a win in his debut on May 18, 2019, but has fallen hard since that terrific outing. Instead of building on that effort, Purple Monster has regressed in each start thereafter. He’s finished 4th, 5th, and 10th in his outings after the victory. Maybe he has something in him to turn it around, but it’s doubtful.
Papa Ralph J will have a better chance of winning on Sunday, but a repeat trip to the winner’s circle isn’t going to be easy. He recently recorded the first win of his career just over two weeks ago by 6 ¼ lengths. Papa Ralph J showed on March 15, so he’s had a couple of impressive outings recently. Having said that, the talent level of his competition is increasing on Sunday. He benefited from facing some slow horses, though that won’t be the case in Race 1 today. In any event, Papa Ralph J is the better upset bet than Purple Monster.
Indy Ride is a winner in 1 out of 11 races in his career. He took his first trip to the winner’s circle on March 13, but was denied in his followup effort on April 17. In his win, Indy Ride won easily by 8 ½ lengths over Large. The next performance wasn’t nearly as sharp, with Indy Ride finishing 6th after falling from 3rd at the ½ pole. A mile was just too much for Indy Ride, though should benefit not having to run as far today. He looked much better in the blowout at 6 ½ furlongs.
The field will be tested by Kholstomer on Sunday. They must be at peak performance or catch a break to bypass Kholstomer in Race 1. Kholstomer has shown in 4 of 7 seven career races, along with a win on February 1 in a romp over Tortola Pride by 9 ½ lengths. That kick wasn’t there in his next outing, as he failed to keep up to win or even show. Kholstomer finished 7th in a disappointing followup to his win on February 1. In any case, he will likely prefer running against beatable competition on Sunday.
Post Time: 2:45 p.m. EST
Race 5 carries a $21,000 purse on Sunday at Tampa Bay Downs. Our Promise will look to pull off the upset from the outside as the No. 7 horse. She has won 2 out of 13 races, though it’s been a while since she found her way to the winner’s circle. Her last victory was on May 27, 2019. Since that win, Our Promise has lost six straight races, and has been well off the pace recently. Our Promise finished 6th and 7th in her most recent outings, which came in September and October at Presque Island.
Totally Obsessed has had plenty of success, but is looking for the win against better competition on Sunday. She’s a winner in 6 of 15 races for a productive win percentage of 40%. However, moving up in class didn’t look like the best idea from her team. Totally Obsessed won 5 races in 6 outings, and then has been cold since jumping up in class. She has failed to show in three straight outings, and is coming off a disappointing performance on October 16, 2019 in the First Lady Stakes. She crossed the line in 5th after 4th at the Pay the Man Stakes and Scarlet Grey Handicap.
Blazen Betsy is searching for an easier time on Sunday after dropping classes. Life has been difficult for her in her last two efforts, having finished 8th and 5th in the Sugar Swirl Stakes and an optional claiming event. I like her as the dark horse in this race, but will likely have to contend with Proposition. She’s dropping class to find her 3rd race, though there’s probably one horse that’s going to stand in her way. Proposition is in good form and loves to run at Tampa Bay Downs.
Proposition will be making her third outing at Tampa Bay Downs looking for three straight wins at this race. She started with a win by 3 ¼ lengths over Private Message on March 9, 2019. In her next performance at Tampa Bay Downs, Proposition beat Naughty Shirley by 3 ½ lengths on January 11. Less successful at Fair Grounds on March 5, but should feel right at home at Tampa Bay Downs on Sunday. Consider going with Proposition to record another win in Tampa in Race 5 on Sunday.