Florida has a couple of racecourses open for business on Sunday at Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay Downs. It was a fantastic performance at Gulfstream Park for us on Saturday in Hallandale Beach. We had three horses running and three crossed the wire first, so that goes for a perfect day in the portfolio. If you’ve been keeping score, our ROI on horse racing at TheSportsGeek is at an incredible 55.31%. A nice Pick 5 win at Churchill Downs last spring helps pump up that ROI, along with a few other multi-race wins. That said, I’m still hovering around 10% ROI for straight win wagers.
Santa Anita Park was also a winner, with the big winning selection on Swiss Skydiver, as she was hand ridden to a 3 ½ length win in the $300,000 Beholder Mile (Gr. 1). That was too easy. It will be interesting to see where the 4-year-old is pointed next after that dominant performance. Once they were in the stretch, it was clear who the best horse was and drew clear with ease.
We are passing on Santa Anita and Gulfstream on Sunday, but Laurel Park and Tampa Bay Downs look like playable tracks. Tampa Bay Downs has nine races on the schedule worth a total of $174,600 in prize money. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Downs picks for March 14, 2021.
Post Time: 12:17 p.m. EST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Race 1 is a $26,000 event on the turf covering 1 1/16 miles. Six horses are scheduled to run in this event, with Caveat Emptor and St. Joe Louis likely in the mix for the win. Caveat Emptor is a one-time starter and didn’t finish how he was expected to in his debut. However, Caveat Emptor is down all the way to a $26,000 event from a $47,000 event in January.
Caveat Emptor has looked terrific in workouts as well. If his effort translated in workouts to race day, then Caveat Emptor could win a $47,000 race, never mind a $26,000 race on Sunday. Caveat Emptor has made three workouts since February 19. He was timed at 59.95 and 1:00.15 at 5 furlongs, and 48.15 seconds at 4 furlongs.
St. Joe Louis is expected to have a promising career. Purchased for $687,383 in 2018, St. Joe Louis made his debut on January 31 and held strong to place 2nd behind Seclude by 1 length in a $22,500 event. It could have been a better start to his career, but a lot more is expected out of St. Joe Louis as he progressed in his career. After getting the debut out of the way, look for St. Joe Louis to run a better race Sunday.
Post Time: 12:47 p.m. EST
The next event at Tampa Bay Downs is a $27,250 race on the dirt, which represents the feature race of the afternoon on Sunday afternoon. Poseidon’s Passion and Suzie’ssteppinout should do well in this spot. Suzie’ssteppinout is 8 for 34 in her career, and recently recorded her first win since March 20, 2020 on February 28.
She went through a drought of eight starts with no wins. Suzie’ssteppinout defeated My Sister’s Keeper by 1 length in a $26,250 event in her most recent showing on February 28. That was a sharp race by her, and she certainly has a chance to do it again on Sunday. Her biggest opponent in this race is likely going to be Poseidon’s Passion.
Poseidon’s Passion is 4 for 11 in her career, going 1st, DNF, 4th, 3rd in her past four performances. In the win on August 13, Poseidon’s Passion beat Gift Wrapped by 2 lengths in a $32,500 race. Poseidon’s Passion looked good in that race, but hasn’t been able to get back to the winner’s circle since then.
He appeared in the $50,000 Minaret Stakes (Black Type) on February 13 in his most recent performance. It was a solid effort from Poseidon’s Passion, as he finished 3rd in the stakes race. Now he’s down below the $30,000 level on Sunday in a winnable event. I’m putting most of my confidence behind Poseidon’s Passion to win in a small upset over Suzie’ssteppinout.
Post Time: 1:44 p.m. EST
Race 4 is our final selection at Tampa Bay Downs on Sunday afternoon. Seven horses will look to make the most of it in this race, an event that I see coming down to First Homestead and Gran Casique should compete for the top prize in this one.
Gran Casique is 2 for 12 in his career and stands a decent chance of striking in Race 4. He has finished 1st, 5th, 4th, 2nd in his previous four outings. Gran Casique arrived in the winner’s circle on September 27 with a 8 ½ length win over Diamonds Enjoy for a $24,000 purse.
Following that win, Gran Casique went 5th, 4th, 2nd. In his most recent effort, he placed 2nd behind Litigant by 2 ¾ lengths in a $13,750 event. He’s fallen out of form since that big $24,000 win. In any case, expect Grand Casique to come close again with a chance of winning at this level.
First Homestead is 2 for 6 in his career, and coming off the second win of his career on February 27. He defeated Wicked Strong Alex by 2 ¾ lengths in a $13,450 event in that contest. Prior to that win, First Homestead finished 4th in a $17,000 race, so the class drop helped out well. First Homestead remains in the same class after the win. Look for First Homestead to break through again.