Thistledown Selections for August 10, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Thistledown Selections for August 10, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Travers Weekend in Saratoga Springs is in the books, and attention will squarely turn to the Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday of September at Churchill Downs. There is only one more prep race, with the running of the (Gr. 1) Pegasus Stakes next weekend at Monmouth. The window of opportunity to get into the Kentucky Derby is closing on some horses.

A total of 85 points was up for grabs in the Ellis Park Derby and 34 in the Pegasus. The field of the 146th Kentucky Derby is beginning to take shape. Art Collector put on a show as a heavy favorite to collect 50 points in the Ellis Park Derby on Sunday. His price was just too incredibly steep to bet for that race, though.

Tiz the Law put on an impressive display in the Travers Stakes on Saturday. He won with emphasis and has a lot of momentum going into September. It will be a sizable upset if another horse figures out a way to beat Tiz the Law, but Art Collector might be the one to do it, if it happens.

In any event, there are still some big events to come in August. Next weekend Saratoga is under the spotlight again with the running of the $500,000 Alabama Stakes (Gr. 1) and Saratoga Derby Invitational. And then the next day, the Saratoga Oaks Invitational will run for $500,000. Let’s just try to find two or three winners at Thistledown in Cleveland today, though. Head below for our free Thistledown picks for August 10, 2020.

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Race 3

(1) Gagliano (1A) Mrs. Robinson
+300 (3/1)
(2) Natalia’s Temple
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Drop Dead Gorgeous
+600 (6/1)
(4) Luv Lyes
+250 (5/2)
(5) Justiceinaction
+600 (6/1)
(6) Cholmondeley
+350 (7/2)
(7) South Beach Girl
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 1:50 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile 40 Yards
Purse: $21,500

Race 3 will get our attention for the first selection at Thistledown today. This event will cover a mile and 40 yards for a $21,500 purse. Drop Dead Gorgeous and Luv Lyes should be in the mix in the stretch. Drop Dead Gorgeous consistently runs well and is used to scoring at least a bit of purse money in races she enters. Drop Dead Gorgeous has finished in the top-2 in four straight races. She has finished 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 2nd with a win on June 12 at Churchill Downs in a $24,000 event. That race wasn’t even close, with Drop Dead Gorgeous winning over the field by 8 ½ lengths.

Prior to that, Drop Dead Gorgeous came a neck away from beating Beauty Day in a $28,000 race on May 21. She followed up to place 2nd on July 8 to lose by 3 ½ lengths as the favorite. That was a disappointing run and probably why she is a 6/1 horse on the morning-line going into Monday. However, it wouldn’t be surprising to see her bounce back with a strong run. There hasn’t been any complaints about her work in the morning leading up to today. Expect her to be in the mix, and with a morning-line of 6/1, Drop Dead Gorgeous is worth a serious look.

Luv Lyes opened up her career with an easy 6 length win in a $20,000 event on June 16 at Thistledown. She followed up to place 2nd on July 20 to finish 2 lengths behind Willoughby Hap. Luv Lyes had a 1 length lead at the top of the stretch, but failed to keep pace in the $21,500 event, which was 5 ½ furlongs. She has not ran a race at this distance yet. In her first two outings, Luv Lyes ran 5 and 5 ½ furlongs. On the other hand, Drop Dead Gorgeous has plenty of experience running at longer distances, mostly a mile. I would take a chance on her at this attractive price on the morning-line.

The Bet
(3) DROP DEAD GORGEOUS

Race 4

(1) Bold Chase
+1000 (10/1)
(2) El Marro
+800 (8/1)
(3) Foreverjumbonmike
+600 (6/1)
(4) Kontar
+300 (3/1)
(5) Chocolate Philling
+600 (6/1)
(6) It’s a Mans World
+250 (5/2)
(7) Blistering Pakshi
+350 (7/2)

Post Time: 2:20 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$27,500

Race 4 features 6 furlongs for a $27,500 purse. This is a race that likely comes down to Blistering Pakshi and It’s a Mans World. Blistering Pakshi is winless in six career races, but was in his best form on July 22 in his most recent outing. He placed 2nd in his debut on July 20, 2019 and then matched that a year later two weeks ago. Blistering Pakshi came 5 ¾ lengths away from a win. He was squeezed early and was never able to recover. If Blistering Pakshi had a clean start and broke well out of the gate, then it would have been more interesting at the wire.

It’s a Mans World has been massively consistent, though still searching for a win in his career. He will enter the 12th race of his career on Monday, and is likely going to be close again. While It’s a Mans World hasn’t won yet, he has been as good as you can be without winning a race. It’s a Mans World has finished in the top-2 in 5 of 11 races and the top-3 in 9 of 11 races.

He has looked good in the morning, and for the most part, is always a competitive runner but can’t seem to finish the deed. He has placed 2nd in 3 of his previous 4 events. In his latest performance, It’s a Mans World came 2 ¼ lengths short of a win on July 27. He had a 5 length lead at the top of the stretch and faded.

That was a big miss for It’s a Mans World, who was in control of that race before Dougs Morning Pick. The good news for It’s a Mans World is that this event is a half length shorter. If the race on July 27 was from 6 furlongs, then it would have been a lot more interesting at the wire than a 2 ¼ length loss. I suggest a selection on It’s a Mans World in Race 4.

The Bet
(6) IT’S A MANS WORLD

Race 9

(1) Chillinlikavillin
+1200 (12/1)
(2) Brilliantbenny
+450 (9/2)
(3) Happy Takeover
+600 (6/1)
(4) Seasons End
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Macadoooo Kid
+250 (5/2)
(6) Classic Volume
+800 (8/1)
(7) Maddie Son
+600 (6/1)
(8) C K’s Lucky Duck
+350 (7/2)

Post Time: 4:50 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse: $27,500

We’ll head to the final race of the day at Thistledown on Monday scheduled for around 5:00 p.m. EST. Organizers try and suck every penny out of the handle on the final race, so expect the gate to open well past 5:00 p.m. EST. Macadoooo Kid and C K’s Lucky Duck are on my shortlist in this event.

C K’s Lucky Duck opened up his career to place 2nd on April 10, 2019 at Mahoning Valley, but then he finished 5th and 6th in his most recent outings. He heads into this race winless in the first three races of his career. On May 27, 2019, C K’s Lucky Duck finished 5th for last in a $16,500 race. C K’s Lucky Duck went on a layoff after that, and reappeared on June 22 at Thistledown.

As a heavy favorite, C K’s Lucky Duck faltered and finished 6th for last again, so it wasn’t the comeback effort that his connections were expecting. That was at the $27,500 level and he’s back on Monday looking for another chance. There is more expected out of him than we’ve seen in his career so far. After three races, he might be ready to finally live up to his expectations today.

Macadoooo Kid has more experience, but has gone winless in 16 career races. He’s still seeking his first trip to the winner’s circle, though is getting closer. Macadoooo Kid has finished in the top-3 in 6 of his previous 7 performances. He has gone 3rd, 3rd, 2nd in his previous three performances. Macadoooo Kid placed 2nd behind Mobil Magic by 2 ¼ lengths on July 27 in a $27,500 event. The competition is slightly easier today than in that race. He is going to be close and should be able to get it done.

The Bet
(5) MACADOOOO KID
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.