Thistledown Selections for July 29, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Thistledown Selections for July 29, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Thistledown in Cleveland is open for racing on Wednesday afternoon. We’re looking for another big day on the ponies following an explosive day yesterday. Parx was a success in the afternoon with 2 of 3 horses winning, and Mountaineer Park was even better in the evening hours with a perfect sweep to go 3 for 3. It would have been great to get back that pick that we lost for a 6 for 6 day between Parx and Mountaineer, but 5 for 6 is more than acceptable. To begin the day on Wednesday, I’ve circled a few races at Thistledown to handicap.

If you are looking for big purses, just wait for Saturday at Saratoga with the running of the $750,000 Whitney Stakes (Gr. 1). As an appetizer, the $500,000 Personal Ensign (Gr. 1) should make a must-watch event in Saratoga Springs as well. As far as today is concerned, Saratoga has a $85,000 stakes race, but there isn’t much else out there in the way of big stakes races. That said, there is a lot of action available on Wednesday, with 15 tracks in North America offering cards. Head below for our free Thistledown picks for July 29, 2020.

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Race 3

(1) Sure She’s Grand
+600 (6/1)
(2) Wicked Love
+1200 (12/1)
(3) Dawnmino
+350 (7/2)
(4) Trueamericanbeauty
+300 (3/1)
(5) Tormenta de Oro
+600 (6/1)
(6) Purdy Birdie
+800 (8/1)
(7) Orbital Flag
+450 (9/2)
(8) Sturn Donna
+1500 (15/1)
(9) Gentle Kiss
+1000 (10/1)

Post Time: 1:50 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile
Purse: $9,300

Race 3 will get us started at Thistledown on Wednesday. There are nine horses scheduled to run in this event for a modest purse of $9,300. It will take place on the dirt for a mile of racing. Trueamericanbeauty and Orbital Flag are on my shortlist in Race 3. I like Orbital Flag slightly over Dawnmino and she is getting a better price according to the morning-line.

Orbital Flag is 8 for 32 in her career, and has been able to showcase some nice consistency recently. She has finished in the top-3 in three straight outings. The only problem with Orbital Flag is that she’s coming off a notable layoff. She hasn’t raced since September, so it’s been a minute. Orbital Flag won on August 5, 2019 by 1 ½ lengths over Velvet Sami in a $10,700 event.

She followed up for 3rd and most recently 2nd on September 23, 2019. Orbital Flag was denied by Halo’s Paradise for a ¾ length loss. That was a bit tougher event for $14,000. The $13,000 Orbital Flag has been working out at 3 furlongs to get ready for this mile event. She completed 3 furlongs in times of 38, 36.80, and 36.20 seconds as she showed steady improvement. If Orbital Flag gets back to her form from September right away, then she’s going to make this an interesting race.

Trueamericanbeauty has the same win rate as Orbital Flag with 8 wins in 32 races. Last year around this time, she earned a hat-trick and was a winner in 5 of 6 races. Since then, Trueamericanbeauty has finished 5th, 5th, 3rd in more difficult assignments. Trueamericanbeauty raced in races worth $23,500, $15,000, and $11,000. This is the easiest race for Trueamericanbeauty since winning on October 2, 2019. She should respond positively on Wednesday afternoon in Race 3 at Thistledown.

The Bet
(4) TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY

Race 4

(1) Nilo E C (1A) The Paper Wazoo
+300 (3/1)
(2) Remember the Storm
+250 (5/2)
(3) Cats Valentine
+450 (9/2)
(4) Jumped Bail
+800 (8/1)
(5) Lonesome Phil
+600 (6/1)
(6) Last Crusader
+350 (7/2)

Post Time: 2:20 p.m. EST
Distance:5 Furlongs
Purse:$8,900

Race 4 is a bit down in class from Race 3, with a purse of $8,900 up for grabs on the dirt. Seven horses are scheduled to participate, including a coupled entry with Nilo E C and The Paper Wazoo. The Paper Wazoo likely has the upper-hand over his teammate. He is 1 for 17 in his career, with a win two races ago on January 18 in a $9,5000 event. The Paper Wazoo returned on July 4 and didn’t have any speed, though.

He had early speed, but faltered hard and finished dead last in a $9,800 race. The Paper Wazoo has been awfully inconsistent throughout his career. He certainly could wake up this morning and decide to run hard on Wednesday. The Paper Wazoo is coming off a 50 second workout on July 23 over 4 furlongs. That’s the only action that has been recorded by The Paper Wazoo since finishing 9th a few weeks ago.

Remember The Storm is 1 for 2 in his career. He is inexperienced but plenty of good is likely coming his way in the future. After finishing 5th as a first-time runner on November 2, 2019 in a $34,000 event, Remember The Storm went on a layoff and returned to the track for a race on July 1. That went much better for Remember The Storm, as he won by 3 ¼ lengths for a $14,000 purse. Remember The Storm wasn’t the favorite in that event, but certainly ran like it. About a month later, Remember The Storm is back and this is down in class as well. A win should be within his sights on Wednesday afternoon versus this competition.

The Bet
(2) REMEMBER THE STORM

Race 5

(1) Norestforthewicked
+450 (9/2)
(2) Joes a Rockin
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Powers Out
+300 (3/1)
(4) Ole Watashi
+250 (5/2)
(5) J Starr Link
+800 (8/1)
(6) Kandy Charge
+600 (6/1)
(7) Who Dat Mo
+350 (7/2)

Post Time: 2:50 p.m. EST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse: $14,200

Race 5 is one of the biggest races at Thistledown on Wednesday. A purse of $14,200 is offered for this mile race on the dirt track. Who Dat Mo and Ole Watashi are included on my shortlist for Race 5. Who Dat Mo will run from the outside out of the gate. He is 1 for 9 in his career and is going down in class today. Who Dat Mo has finished 5th, 5th, 5th in his previous three races after placing 2nd on July 10, 2019.

He’s moving well down in class from his most recent performance on July 16. Who Dat Mo was racing in a $29,300 event less than two weeks ago. Today he will enter a $14,200 race at Thistledown, as he searches for his first win since making his debut on September 4, 2018. Winless in eight straight races, Who Dat Mo has a decent chance of finding a win this afternoon, though he has to be concerned with Ole Watashi who will test him on Wednesday.

Ole Watashi has been running consistently well up front, which includes a win in his most recent performance on July 13. That was a much more difficult assignment than today. Ole Watashi beat Macadoooo Kid by 4 ¼ lengths in a wire-to-wire win for a $27,500 purse. He’s finished in the top-3 in three straight races and in 4 of 5 of his most recent outings. Ole Watashi is used to running for purses worth more than $25,000, so $14,2000 should feel relatively easy for him. He has a nice chance of getting back to the winner’s circle on Wednesday.

The Bet
(4) OLE WATASHI
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.