Thistledown Selections for July 7, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Thistledown Selections for July 7, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Who says there aren’t any sports on at the moment? ESPN might tell you otherwise, but there’s plenty of events out there to handicap now. There will surely be a lot more of greater importance later in July. However, that doesn’t mean you have to wait for then to gamble on sports. Besides Ligue 1 in France, all of the major football leagues in Europe are playing, while professional baseball in Asia has been well underway for weeks now.

NASCAR has been back for quite some time, and Formula 1 just resumed racing with the Austrian Grand Prix. Basketball is back in Spain, Germany, and China as well. And I don’t have to mention horse racing which hasn’t stopped during the pandemic, at least completely, as some tracks had to shut down. If we want to go deeper into the sports schedule, you can find the AFL in Australia and NRL in New Zealand. The NRL is playing in front of packed crowds actually.

Lone Star Park is the most recent to halt racing. We went a while without a track getting closed, but Lone Star Park was done after one race on Sunday. It was odd for them to have one race and then suspend the rest of the card. The only explanation is that a positive case came back between Race 1 and Race 2. Most tracks are powering on, though, and Churchill Downs intends on holding the Kentucky Derby with fans on Labor Day Weekend. I really don’t know if that’s going to happen, but we’ll see.

We had a quality day yesterday with a profitable effort between Thistledown and Indiana Grand. Thistledown in Cleveland has another racecard on tap for Tuesday. Let’s get into it and find some winning horses. Head below for our free Thistledown picks for July 7, 2020.

7% HORSE RACING CASH REBATE!

Race 5

(1) Leopoldo
+300 (3/1)
(2) Fast Fairy
+250 (5/2)
(3) Garden Quality
+450 (9/2)
(4) Classy Nekia
+600 (6/1)
(5) Dantu
+350 (7/2)
(6) Quick Cowboy
+3000 (30/1)

Post Time: 2:50 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile
Purse: $8,900

We will start with a lower classed race in Race 5 at Thistledown on Tuesday. Race 5 will feature a $8,900 purse for a mile of racing on the dirt. Leopoldo, Fast Fairy, Dantu are all expected to be strong competitors in this one. Dantu has just 1 win in 28 races, but I like the confidence and consistency that he’s showcased recently.

He’s been hanging around and threatening for another win, but Dantu has been continually coming short. Dantu has finished in the top-3 in 5 of his previous 7 races. He finished 3rd on June 9th, though followed it up for 4th on June 24. That race was for a $8,900 purse, so Dantu remains in the same class for Tuesday. I’m expecting a better run for him in this one, though.

Fast Fairy is the betting favorite on the morning-line at +250. He should be in the picture near the front as well. Fast Fairy drops slightly in class today after finishing 5th, 10th, 6th in his previous three entries. He won on February 7 at Tampa Bay Downs as the fastest horse over a mile and 40 yards for a $10,400 purse. That’s just about the highest class that Fast Fairy can enter before struggling.

That was the first and only win for Fast Fairy so far. He has gone 1 for 11 in his career, with plenty of inconsistent results. For instance, prior to that win, Fast Fairy finished 2nd, 3rd, 12th. Fast Fairy is capable of getting the win here and duplicating what he did on February 7 in Tampa Bay. He won that race over One More Drink by ¾ lengths.

Leopoldo is coming off a couple of promising runs on June 9 and June 15. He placed 2nd on the 9th behind Zeke the Streak by a length, and then 3rd less than a week later to finish 2 ½ lengths and a head behind the winner. He’s 1 for 19 in his career with his most recent win on August 31, 2019 at Thistledown. Leopoldo will not see overly tough opponents in this one, and it should be the easiest race that he’s seen in a while. There is better value on the morning-line with Leopoldo than Fast Fairy.

The Bet
(1) LEOPOLDO

Race 6

(1) Eskendulce (1A) Double the Laugh
+250 (5/2)
(2) My Cowboy
+350 (7/2)
(3) King Valero
+800 (8/1)
(4) Make the Rules
+600 (6/1)
(5) Last Drop of Wine
+600 (6/1)
(6) Viski Jones
+1000 (10/1)
(7) Wickets Way
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 3:20 p.m. EST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse: $15,000

The stakes are raised in Race 6, with a $15,000 purse on offer and the top prize going to the horse that runs a mile on the dirt the quickest. I’m expecting a three-horse battle between Eskendulce, Double the Laugh, and My Cowboy. Eskendulce and Double the Laugh are expected to get coupled for trainer Murillo Rodriguez on Tuesday. My Cowboy is 13 for 74 in his career, with his most recent win on March 8 at Tampa Bay Downs.

He’s gone winless in his last four, but has kept it competitive with finishes of 4th, 2nd, 7th, 3rd. My Cowboy went on a nice run from January 31 to March 8 to finish 1st, 2nd, 1st. In his most recent outing, My Cowboy was 3rd at Thistledown on June 13. He ran well enough, but was outpaced against the No. 1 and No. 2 horse and lost by 3 lengths and a head. My Cowboy entered a higher class after finishing 1st, 2nd, 1st and hasn’t had the same success since. He remains in the same class today after finishing 3rd in that $15,000 event on June 13.

Eskendulce and Double the Laugh will team up in this one, and I actually think they both have a good opportunity to win. I give the edge to Eskendulce out of the two, but Double the Laugh should be solid as well. Double the Laugh is 9 for 31 in his career, with four wins recorded from August 13, 2019 to November 30, 2019. He won 4 of 5 races during that stretch. Since then, Double the Laugh has finished 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 3rd.

Eskendulce is 18 for 57 in his career and looking for a hat-trick on Tuesday. He is a back-to-back winner on January 28 and February 25, with another in his sights today. Eskendulce has won 4 of his previous 6 performances. In his latest wins, Eskendulce won over Strategic Ekati by 2 ¼ lengths for a $16,000 purse, and then a length over Drena’s Bullet for a $25,000 purse. Off a bit of a layoff, Eskendulce will drop in class to face a very beatable field on Tuesday. The tandem of Eskendulce and Double the Laugh should prove to be too quick for the rest in this race.

The Bet
(1) ESKENDULCE (1A) DOUBLE THE LAUGH

Race 8

(1) Mia Promessa (1A) Arrowsphere
+450 (9/2)
(2) Publicist (2B) Drinks On Maggie
+300 (3/1)
(3) Cool Iris
+800 (8/1)
(4) Flat Out Super
+600 (6/1)
(5) Sky Vision
+350 (7/2)
(6) Heatherfromphoenix
+250 (5/2)

Post Time: 4:20 p.m. EST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$15,000

All the way to the end of the line at Thistledown on Tuesday for our final pick of the day. This will feature 6 furlongs on the dirt for a $15,000 purse. There are scheduled to be two coupled entries in Race 8, with Mia Promessa and Arrowsphere teaming up, while Publicist and Drinks On Maggie get the call on Tuesday. Publicist and Drinks On Maggie are likely the stronger of the two coupled horses.

Drinks On Maggie likely has the best chance out of the four to win. She is searching for her third win in four races after winning on December 29, 2019 and February 2. In her most recent win, Drinks On Maggie defeated Alluring Approval in a blowout by 9 ¼ lengths. That was for a $10,400 purse, so she tried a higher class out thereafter.

Drinks On Maggie finished 6th on March 1 after testing the waters out against tougher competition for a $14,700 purse. She is sticking in this class after a small layoff. Drinks On Maggie completed a 3-furlong workout with a time of 38.59 seconds. I think she’s going to have a good run in this one, but will likely find Heatherfromphoenix a tough horse to beat. Heatherfromphoenix is looking for yet another win on Tuesday.

Heatherfromphoenix has gone undefeated in four straight events from February 1 to June 11. Another win and she has recorded five straight victories in 2020. She went on a three-month layoff from March to June, but it was the same story for her. Heatherfromphoenix won over Meet Me Half Way by a length to take the top prize from a $15,000 purse. Overall, she is 9 for 29 in her career for a successful win rate. She has won at higher classes than that as well. On March 9 she won a $23,500 purse, so this should be no problem for her on Tuesday. Expect another impressive effort from the No. 6 horse in Race 8 at Thistledown today.

The Bet
(6) HEATHERFROMPHOENIX
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.