We’re into the week after the Kentucky Derby on Monday with seven active thoroughbred tracks at BetOnline. That’s a big card for what we’ve been used to over the past several months. The winter is particularly slow for weekday horse racing, especially early in the week. The beginning of May is when things begin to ramp up with action across the country. You can also find the standardbreds racing with action open at BetOnline.
Attention turns to the second leg of the Triple Crown at Pimlico Race Course on May 15. Medina Spirit is expected to see a talented and big field in that race. In any event, Bob Baffert will be looking to complete the second leg and go to Belmont Park with the chance for the third Triple Crown win of his career. It’s hard to believe that Baffert won’t put Medina Spirit in the Preakness Stakes, but it is certainly possible he could point him elsewhere, as unlikely as that is. On our first card on Monday, we will head to Thistledown in Ohio. Thistledown Racino has eight races worth $190,000 this afternoon. Head below for our free Thistledown picks for May 3, 2021.
Post Time: 2:20 p.m. EST
A purse of $24,000 is available for a mile of racing on the dirt in Race 4. The presence of Hollee Peach and Paynterbynumbers should be felt. Hollee Peach is 8 for 22 with plenty of success since December. She has won four of six races at Mahoning Valley.
On a transfer to Thistledown, Hollee Peach has a big chance to continue her success, though she’s been wavering recently going 6th, 1st, 4th in her previous three outings. Hollee Peach beat Bel Tempo by a neck for a $12,500 purse.
However, she was ill equipped to stay up front in her next performance, finishing 4th in a $16,500 assignment. Hollee Peach is not dropping in class for Monday, so she is going to need much more against this field. The potential is there, though, and she is coming off a solid workout on April 22 with a time of 48 seconds at 4 furlongs.
Paynterbynumbers was a $200,000 purchase in 2018, but was sold at auction for $57,000 in December. Disappointing to be running in a $24,000 event, though this is more than winnable territory. Paynterbynumbers is 2 for 10 overall, with some good progress recently to go 1st, 5th, 1st in his previous three attempts.
He most recently won a $17,000 event over Hey Kitten by a length. He was ahead at the ¼ pole and stayed on in March. At Laurel Park on November 19, Paynterbynumbers beat Dance for Gold by 5 ¼ lengths in an easy $42,000 win. I’m confident in Paynterbynumbers.
Post Time: 3:50 p.m. EST
Race 7 goes for 6 furlongs on the main track for a $24,000 purse. Poznan and David’s Gem are held in high regard on my shortlist. Poznan is 4 for 23 in his career with some incredible consistency since the fall. He’s finished in the top-3 in eight of his last nine entries, including top-2 in seven and three wins.
Poznan hasn’t been to the winner’s circle in four attempts, though, going 4th, 2nd, 3rd in his previous three races. Poznan placed 2nd behind Winchester Limit by a head for a $21,200 purse. Most recently, Poznan showed 3rd in another $21,000 race. His most recent win was a $11,800 event on November 8.
David’s Gem could be a good value pick in Race 7. David’s Gem is 3 for 9 in his career with finishes of 1st, 5th, 1st, 3rd in his previous four attempts. In his most recent win, David’s Gem defeated Truebelieve by 3 ¼ lengths in a $28,000 assignment. Since then, he showed 3rd most recently in a $44,000 outing. Down in class to $24,000, it’s hard to ignore his potential here on Monday. The value is too good to pass up on.
Post Time: 4:20 p.m. EST
In the final race and our final selection at Thistledown, nine runners are expected to vye for a $22,500 purse. Light in the Dark and Ekati Peace look like major contenders for the top prize in Race 8. Light in the Dark is winless in eight attempts, but could strike in this easier event. She has finished 3rd, 3rd, 5th in her previous three outings.
Light in the Dark showed 3rd in back-to-back races on October 12, 2020 in a $18,000 event and the same on March 15 in a $20,0000 race. In her most recent showing, Light in the Dark finished 5th for a $20,000 purse. She is capable of more than that. If Light in the Dark can find a break, then a win wouldn’t be out of the question.
Ekati Peace has finished 5th, 12th, 2nd, 6th, 2nd in her career. She has gone 2nd, 6th, 2nd in her last three attempts. However, Ekati Peace is coming off a big layoff after sitting out since a race on January 30, 2020. She placed 2nd behind Awesome One by 1 length in a $40,000 event. Ekati Peace was accustomed to racing in bigger races than this at Woodbine and Fair Grounds. She is with a new barn and should prove tough to beat against this level of competition in her return.