Turf Paradise Picks for April 12, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

With less than a month to go before the Kentucky Derby, we’re gearing up and preparing for the big event at Churchill Downs.

All of the 100-40-20-10 prep races are in the books on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Zandon won the last of the biggest with a win in the $1,250,000 Toyota Blue Grass at Keeneland on Saturday.

We’re back at Keeneland for the running of the $400,000 Lexington Stakes in Kentucky. This is the final prep race, albeit a small one with 20-8-4-2 points on the line. An extra 20 points might be the difference, though.

Our action is at Will Rogers Downs and Turf Paradise on Tuesday afternoon. Turf Paradise has eight races worth $125,342 on this card. Head below for our best Turf Paradise picks on April 12, 2022.

Race 2

(1) Woman to Blame
+1000 (10/1)
(2) Carmon’s Dance
+200 (2/1)
(3) Summer Love
+250 (5/2)
(4) Twilight Galaxy
+400 (4/1)
(5) Top Lady Mirage
+800 (8/1)
(6) Princess Jada
+300 (3/1)

Post Time: 1:55 p.m. PST
Distance: 6 Furlongs

Race 2 is a $10,612 event covering 6 furlongs on the dirt. Look for Summer Love and Carmon’s Dance to put on a big display in the desert.

Summer Love should come on nicely for a look at the top prize. She is 2 for 19 and needs something to go better after struggling recently.

Summer Love finished 7th, 4th, 5th, 6th in her last four outings. In her most recent entry, Summer Love finished 6th for a $10,612 purse.

That was disappointing, though she should be capable versus this field. Carmon’s Dance should be the most likely to put up resistance.

Carmon’s Dance is 3 for 15 and likely better suited for this assignment on Tuesday. She finished 1st, 8th, 5th in her last three outings.

Camron’s Dance struck three races back, with a $16,500 win on November 22. In her most recent race, she finished 5th and needs a drop in class.

If Camron’s Dance runs up to expectations, this looks like a beatable race for her on Tuesday in the desert.

The Bet

Race 3

(1) Res Ipsa Loquitur
+160 (8/5)
(2) Ag Minister
+300 (3/1)
(3) Bobby Buckets
+500 (5/1)
(4) D Von Tae
+800 (8/1)
(5) Crystal Bandit
+400 (4/1)
(6) Keeneye George
+600 (6/1)
(7) Saved by the Blood
+1000 (10/1)

Post Time: 2:25 p.m. PST
Distance:6 Furlongs

The third at Turf Paradise is a $21,700 assignment covering 6 furlongs. Crystal Bandit and Res Ipsa Loquitur should be a big presence in the stretch run.

Crystal Bandit is winless in six attempts and placed 2nd in back-to-back assignments going into Tuesday. He finished behind Wind River by 4 lengths in an $18,900 event and then 1 ½ lengths behind Full Vision by 1 ½ lengths for $14,140.

More was expected from Crystal Bandit down to $14,140 in that attempt. Res Ipsa Loquitur should be in the best position to counter Crystal Bandit.

Res Ipsa Loquitur has finished 4th, 2nd, 3rd in three attempts. He came close on March 1 for a $23,800 prize, placing 2nd behind Driskill by ¾ lengths.

In his next and most recent outing, Res Ipsa Loquitur was fine on March 22, showing 3rd for a $21,700 race. He looks like the most established and ready for a $21,700 race on Tuesday.

I’d consider a look at Res Ipsa Loquitur to win over these rivals in Race 3.

The Bet

Race 4

(1) Ebb and Flow
+1500 (15/1)
(2) It’s Alexus
+450 (9/2)
(3) Silly Notion
+350 (7/2)
(4) Gold Included
+250 (5/2)
(5) If You Want It
+400 (4/1)
(6) Bold Rey
+200 (2/1)

Post Time: 2:53 p.m. PST
Distance: 1 Mile

Race 4 is a mile for a $14,644 purse on Tuesday afternoon. Look at Gold Included and Bold Rey to put together good work in the fourth race.

Gold Included is 5 for 35 and should be competitive on these terms. She is 9th, 5th, 3rd in her last three outings.

In her most recent attempt, Gold Included showed 3rd in a $14,644 race. Before that acceptable run, she finished 5th in a $24,000 event.

Bold Rey is 13 for 43 and 1st, 1st, 6th in her previous three entries. In her last attempt, Bold Rey finished 6th in the $100,000 Harry Henson Handicap to deny a hat-trick.

This came after two $14,140 wins for Bold Rey. In her latest win, she drew clear for a 2 ¼ length win on February 28.

Bold Rey was clear by 8 lengths going into the stretch and held after gearing down. She looks like the best in Race 4.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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