We are back on Tuesday looking for a profitable day on the racetrack. All it took was one winner to cash in Monday. It was a perfect day at Louisiana Downs, including a 10/1 horse that closed at 14/1 on Ms Cruzin Fast in Race 5. That was a photo finish, as a lot of quarter horse races are, with Ms Cruzin Fast having the edge at the wire by a nose. For an added bonus, Taylor Made Cartel was able to come through a race earlier for a win. Our first horse was a scratch, so 2-0-1 was more than acceptable at Louisiana Downs. The key now is to maintain the momentum and turn it into another profitable day on Tuesday.
BetOnline has the same four racecourses available for wagering on Tuesday. Another day in the books is another day that we get closer to the Kentucky Derby in May. There are three big prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby scheduled for this upcoming weekend. The $400,000 Tampa Bay Derby (Gr. 2), $300,000 San Felipe Stakes (Gr. 2), and $300,000 Gotham Stakes (Gr. 3) all come with 85 points, 50 points going to the winner. The first 100-point race, which is an automatic ticket to the Derby, is scheduled for March 20 in the $1,000,000 Louisiana Derby (Gr. 2).
We will get started at Turf Paradise in the desert on Tuesday with three selections. Turf Paradise has ten races, eight on the dirt and two on the turf, for a total of $127,000 in prize money available. Head below for our free Turf Paradise picks for March 2, 2021.
Post Time: 12:55 p.m. MST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
We will get going early Tuesday afternoon with the first race at Turf Paradise. This is a $16,500 event covering 5 ½ furlongs on the dirt. Expect something out of Bentley’s Dreams and Uh Oh Lucy in Race 1. Bentley’s Dreams has been in good form recently, and showing nice consistency. She is 2 for 12 in her career, with finishes of 1st, 2nd, 2nd in her previous three trips. In the win, Bentley’s Dreams beat Frosty Flirt by 2 lengths in a $15,500 event.
She placed 2nd in each of her next two performances on August 13 and September 8. In the August outing, she placed 2nd behind Double Bee Sting by a head for a $16,000 purse, and then followed up to place a month later in a $16,000 event again. However, Bentley’s Dreams was the favorite in that race, and didn’t close, finishing 6 ¾ lengths behind.
Uh Oh Lucy is off to a nice start in her career. She has finished 2nd and 1st in her first two outings. As a rookie on January 12, Uh Oh Lucky placed 2nd behind Sindy’s Revenge by 3 ¾ lengths, and then returned to win on February 23 in a $12,000 event over Friendswithbourbon by 2 ½ lengths.
That was too easy for Uh Oh Lucy, as she took over at the ⅜ pole and drew clear in the stretch. Her morning work has been impressive, with times of 59.80 and 59.40 seconds at 5 furlongs, and 48.20 seconds at 4 furlongs in scheduled workouts. I’m on Uh Oh Lucy to continue to show improved form and break through late for a win in Race 1.
Post Time: 2:18 p.m. MST
Race 4 is a $8,800 event covering a mile on the dirt. We should have a good one between Moms Favorite and Real Good Deal. Moms Favorite is 2 for 21 in her career, and has recently shown some good form on January 28 and February 19. In the January assignment, Moms Favorite showed 3rd in a $8,800 race, finishing 2 lengths and a head behind the winner.
She was able to move up in her next assignment, placing 2nd on February 19 behind Starlight Twist by a half length. If Moms Favorite can stay on pace, then she is going to be close again on Tuesday. This was after going 5th, 6th, 7th in three previous events, which were all tougher outings. It seems that the class drop did her well, and she rates as a threat to win Race 4.
Real Good Deal is coming off the second win of her career on February 17. Overall, she has finished 2 for 17 in her career, and should win again if she runs how she did a couple of weeks ago. Real Good Deal defeated Cede’s Dream by 3 ¼ lengths in a relatively simple run for a $8,500 purse. Prior to that outing, Real Good Deal was 4th in a $10,000 event. The class drop helped, and she will stay put below the $9,000 mark on Tuesday. I’m backing Real Good Deal to strike again.
Post Time: 3:14 p.m. MST
Distance:7 ½ Furlongs
Race 6 is a 7 ½ furlong event for a $10,600 purse. Indian Head Nickle and Avalon King should run well and come close in the stretch. Indian Head Nickle is 2 for 22 in her career, and looking for his first win since early 2019. Since then, Indian Head Nickle has gone winless in 14 straight events, finishing in the top-3 only twice.
It would seem foolish to shortlist Indian Head Nickle based on those results, but this event should provide calmer waters. He’s also getting a fortunate starting post position from No. 2. That said, I’m not as confident in Indian Head Nickle as I am in Avalon King. Avalon King is starting from the outside, but should have enough room to operate through 7 ½ furlongs to get to the front.
Avalon King is the most consistent runner in this field. Avalon King is 2 for 17 in his career, and showing nice form as of late. He has gone 1st, 3rd, 8th, 3rd, 3rd, in the last five trips. In his win on March 1, Avalon King outlasted Sayin Grace by 1 ¼ lengths for a $12,000 purse. He was near the front in his most recent outing on February 10, though settled for show money.
Avalon King showed 3rd in a $10,060 race after giving away late. He was ahead from the ¾ pole to the top of the stretch, but was nipped at the wire by ¾ lengths a neck in a close call. After weakening late, Avalon King is entering a shorter race on Tuesday, down from a mile to 7 ½ furlongs. That should help nicely.