Will Rogers Downs Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 14, 2020

Will Rogers Downs Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 14, 2020

The horses will be racing at Will Rogers Downs again on Tuesday, as the second race day of the week will be held today in Claremore, Oklahoma. Along with Fonner Park, they’re the only game in town in the US on Tuesday. We have to wait a little while for Gulfstream Park to resume their racing, as it has taken over as the biggest track still in operation. WWE was just ruled an essential service in Florida, so despite pushback from local officials, don’t expect Gulfstream Park to cancel racing.

That goes for Tampa Bay Downs as well. Santa Anita Park has been lobbying to allow racing to resume there, but they haven’t gotten very far with it so far. There was talk of going to Los Alamitos because Orange County has ruled horse racing essential. However, the logistics of it is difficult, and that doesn’t account for the 750 staff members living at the track.

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Typically hot walkers and groomers will live at some of the bigger racetracks, including Santa Anita Park. That’s the majority of staff members, and without racing, it’s tough on them. Staff is still taking care of horses on the property, but money isn’t coming in at the moment. Hopefully this will all be a distant memory soon and normal will return to the track. It might be over a month before the Health Department feels comfortable allowing racing to resume, even without fans in attendance. Will Rogers will have a ten-race card on Tuesday, though. Head below for our free Will Rogers Downs picks for April 14, 2020.

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Race 3

(1) Morhawk
+400 (4/1)
(2) K Street
+1200 (12/1)
(3) Valentine Guy
+1500 (15/1)
(4) Sedaris
+200 (2/1)
(5) Lord Stratton
+800 (8/1)
(6) Big Game Hunter
+800 (8/1)
(7) Dak Da Man
+180 (9/5)

Post Time: 2:15 CST
Distance: 1 Mile

1 mile will decide a winner for seven horses in Race 3 on Tuesday. Will Rogers Downs will be offering a tidy purse of $26,400 in this event. That’s the biggest purse of Tuesday at Will Rogers Downs. A win with Valentine Guy or K Street would net a handicapper a nice profit. That’s true for Lord Stratton as well, who probably isn’t getting enough value on the morning-line at +800 here.

Valentine Guy has a tough order of business Tuesday. He made a stellar debut on October 24, 2019 but has been unable to duplicate that success since. Valentine Guy won by a neeck over Notify, though finished 5th in his next two outings. The one start was good for last. Unlikely to be a threat in Race 3.

K Street is going to be a better option for an upset special. Despite coming off a porous performance on April 1, he has won 8 out of 35 career races. That includes a four-race win streak from September 9, 2019 to November 23, 2019. However, K Street has been regressing since finishing in the top-3 in five straight races. He finished 9th in back-to-back outings on March 17 and April 1. Perhaps he returns to form, and likely has a better chance than Valentine Guy, but it will not be easy by any means.

I’d certainly consider K Street over Lord Stratton, too. At least if +800 holds up. He has won 2 out of 15 races, with two finishes of 5th in two out of his previous three races. Lord Stratton was able to get a 2nd place effort in there on November 29, 2019, but has largely been a non-factor since a win on October 19, 2019. He earned that win impressingly, though, as a fairly big underdog. Lord Stratton drove to the wire for a win by 2 lengths over Major Brown. I’m not really feeling him here, though.

Morhawk has just 1 win in 20 starts, though has been showing positive signs recently. He has shown in three straight outings and four out of his last five races. It’s been difficult on him to finish the deal, though. His last victory came all the way back on October 11, 2017. He hasn’t learned how to get back into the winner’s circle since then, but has been showing encouraging signs in recent events.

Sedaris and Dak Da Man will likely present bold bids in Race 3. Sedaris has been showing consistency out of the gate in the last five months. He has shown in five out of six races, with his most recent win on November 29 after rallying late from 6th at the ¾ pole to 1st for a 2 ½ length win. Dak Da Man has been in poorer form than Sedaris of late, having failed to show since four races ago. That was a win on October 24, 2019 from 1-mile by ¾ lengths over Big Game Hunter. Other than that win, Dak Da Man has failed to show in four out of his last five events, though. I will opt for the more consistent horse, and the one running in better form recently in Sedaris.

The Bet
(2) SEDARIS

Race 8

(1) Box Seat
+200 (2/1)
(2) Princess Power
+2000 (20/1)
(3) R V T Thunder Road
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Bad Boy Kenny
+2000 (20/1)
(5) Tapsolution
+250 (5/2)
(6) Wild and Golden
+2000 (20/1)
(7) Whiskey Factor
+300 (3/1)
(8) Just Ask Joel
+400 (7/2)

Post Time: 4:45 CST
Distance:1 Mile

Eight horses will round the track vying for a $19,800 pursein Race 8. If you’re looking for underdogs, this is the race for you. There are four horses on the morning lines with odds of +2000. Bad Boy Kenny is likely going to close at post time as the biggest underdog in Race 8. He has been abysmal in six career races, failing to finish in the top-5 of any race thus far. His best finish is 6th in his most recent outing. With only nine horses participating in that race, it’s not really something that positive to speak of.

R V T Thunder Road should close with around the same odds as Bad Boy Kenny. At least R V T Thunder Road has finished in the top-5 in his career, albeit that’s only once and he’s raced in ten races. R V T crossed the finish line in 4th on September 29, 2019 and then 5th in his last outing on March 25, 2019. Other than those races, and his debut where he finished 5th, R V T Thunder Road has been unable to put together a solid performance.

Princess Power can sympathize with those two ponies, having failed to show in seven out of eight races. Note that Princess Power has finished outside of the top-9 five times in nine races. Wild and Golden has shown in 1 out of 6 races, so there’s a recurring theme with the underdogs. It’s easy to see why all of these horses are longshots in Race 8. That being said, with the odds so high on four horses in one race, a little bit of a sprinkle can turn into a big payday.

Whiskey Factor, Tapsolution, and Box Seat all stand solid chances of winning this event. If things pan out correctly, it’s likely two of those three horses will finish in the top-3. I suspect an outsider might be the third. Whiskey Factor has raced in five races in his career, with three 3rd place finishes. In his other two performances, Whiskey Factor finished 5th and 4th.

Tapsolution has made one start, finishing 4th on March 27 at Oaklawn Park from 6 furlongs. This is his first event at 1-mile, so that might be a concern. Box Seat has been erratic and a bit all over the map. 10th, 5th, 4th, 3rd, 7th, and 2nd is the extent of his resume. He’s the favorite on the morning lines, though I’m not feeling so confident. Tapsolution was 4th in his debut, but keep in mind that was against a much better field. He should catch a break against weaker competition on Tuesday.

The Bet
(5) TAPSOLUTION

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.