There are four racecourses available for betting at BetOnline on Monday. The weekend is in the books, and Super Stock qualified for the Kentucky Derby with a 100-point score at Oaklawn Park in the Arkansas Derby. It qualifies as an upset, but Concert Tour had already qualified for the Derby, so if Bob Baffert wants to point him to Churchill Downs, he still can. We didn’t see Authentic at his best leading up to the Kentucky Derby, and he pulled away from everyone including Tiz the Law in October in the 146th Kentucky Derby. It would be foolish to write off Baffert because of one poor performance. Monday is typically a slow day for horse racing, but we have four thoroughbred cards, which provides us with enough horses to handicap.
We will get started at Will Rogers Downs in Oklahoma on Monday afternoon. Will Rogers has eight races scheduled with a total of $141,960 in prize money available. This track does not have a turf, so all events will be on the dirt. Head below for our free Will Rogers Downs picks for April 12, 2021.
Post Time: 1:28 p.m. CST
Our first selection at Will Rogers Downs is Race 2, an event where I think we can find some value. Miss Casey Beth and Billie G are both on my watchlist for this six-horse field. Miss Casey Beth is a one-time winner in three attempts with a win on August 5. She has finished 1st, 4th, 11th, 2nd in her previous four outings.
Miss Casey Beth beat Ladie Verrazano by 3 ½ lengths in a $7,000 event She followed up going 4th and 11th in her next two outings, but came back in fine form on March 29 to place 2nd. Miss Casey Beth placed behind Terris Strong Hope by 1 length. If Miss Carey Beth shows up in that same form, then she is going to have a chance in the stretch.
Billie G is moving down in class after failing to win since May 6, 2019. That was a $23,670 win by 2 ¾ lengths. She has lost some form, but should still be competitive in a class below the $10,000 mark. In her most recent performances, she finished 4th, 2nd, 7th in her last three performances. Billie G placed 2nd behind Maui Jane by a head for a $7,150 purse in a mile assignment.
She had the lead from the ¼ pole to near the wire before giving it up. A 6-furlong race would have likely been a win there for Billie G. She most recently finished 7th for a $25,080 purse on March 29. Back down in class and distance, Billie G could get the win as a small underdog. Her workouts have been encouraging, with times of 49.61 and 49.85 seconds at 4 furlongs. If that translates to Monday, a win should be within reach.
Post Time: 2:52 p.m. CST
Race 5 is the feature event at Will Rogers Downs for a $50,000 purse. This is a pretty big race for a Monday afternoon at Will Rogers. There are a couple of solid runners in this race that have experience at the bigger tracks.
Raintree Select and Shesomajestic transfer to Will Rogers Downs after running at Oaklawn Park and Churchill Downs. Raintree Select heads to Will Rogers with a hat-trick on her mind. She placed 2nd behind Honey Parade by a neck for a $29,500 purse on November 1 at Churchill Downs.
Raintree Select responded with a win on February 11 in a $32,000 event. That was an easy 8 ¾ length win in a $32,000 race. Two months later, Raintreet Select won by 4 ¼ lengths in a $50,000 event on April 2. That was another impressive showing for Raintree Select, who will likely be tested by Shesomajestic.
Shesomajestic has experience in much bigger races than this, including a Grade 1 event on September 5 at Churchill Downs. She finished 7th in the $500,000 Derby City Distaff after caving. Shesomajestic showed 3rd in the $200,000 Spring Fever Stakes on February 27. In her most recent outing, Shesomajestic showed 3rd in a $110,000 event at Oaklawn Park. It should be close against Raintree Select, but I like Shesomajestic down in class on Monday.
Post Time: 3:48 p.m. PST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
Race 9 is our final selection at Will Rogers on Monday afternoon. I am watching Oh What Luck and Mesa Moon in this 5 ½ furlong event. Oh What Luck has finished 1st, 1st, 1st, 3rd in his career. He couldn’t get four straight wins, but still recorded a hat-trick on November 28. Oh What Luck defeated Something Super by 7 ¾ lengths for a $16,500 purse in that race.
That was too easy for Oh What Luck. Upon his return on December 21, Oh What Luck showed 3rd as the favorite in a $30,000 event. After a layoff, he’s down in class to a $20,900 event on Monday at Will Rogers Downs. His biggest foe is likely Mesa Moon on the inside. Mesa Moon is 3 for 8 in his career and has stakes experience.
Mesa Moon has finished 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd in his last four non-stakes events, finishing 5th in his most recent stakes race on January 31 in the $75,000 Stonerside Sprint Stakes. He came back on March 19 to place 2nd behind Shifty Henry in his most recent outing for a $50,000 purse. That was a half length loss for the favorite. Down all the way to a $20,900 event, I like his chances in this race.