We have a handful of cards on Monday throughout the US from the desert, south, and east coast. This is the final two weeks before the running of the Kentucky Derby on May 1. This will be the first Kentucky Derby in two years taking place in May and with fans. There are going to be restrictions in place, but at least it will somewhat resemble Derby Day than it did in October. Morning workouts are currently open for viewing at Churchill Downs as well.
The last million dollar races before the Kentucky Derby were on Saturday. On May 1 we have seven races with at least $500,000 in prize money, along with a $1,000,000 and $3,000,000 race, the biggest being the Kentucky Derby. You aren’t going to find anything like that on Monday. Monday and Tuesday is for the small events at some of the lesser tracks. Will Rogers Downs, Turf Paradise, Parx, and Indiana Grand all have cards on Monday.
In our first stop on Monday, we’re at Will Rogers Downs in Oklahoma for a look. Will Rogers has ten events on the dirt worth $129,690 in prize money. Head below for our free Will Rogers Downs picks for April 19, 2021.
Post Time: 2:24 p.m. CST
Race 4 is a mile race on the dirt for a $7,150 purse. Expect a strong race from Captain Comeback and Obstructed View. Captain Comeback is winless in seven attempts, going 6th, 10th, 8th, 5th, 4th, 6th, 5th. He has failed to finish in the top-3 in all of his races. Captain Comeback was 4th on February 6, which goes for his best effort so far.
That was in a $16,000 event, and then Captain Comeback finished 6th in a $23,500 race and 5th in a $7,150 race. The drop in class was smart, but he didn’t go as well as they would have hoped. There isn’t much more of a drop for Captain Comeback, so he has to run well here. This race should work better for him against an easier field.
Obstructed View is winless in eight races, but looked good on April 5 in his most recent outing. He placed 2nd behind Zyzack by 2 lengths for a $7,150 purse. Obstructed View defeated Revel Cash by 11 ½ lengths for 2nd, so it was only two horses competing in the stretch. This was after Obstructed View was 6th in a $18,000 event at Delta Downs on March 9. This race should do for Obstructed View.
Post Time: 2:52 p.m.CST
Race 5 is the feature race at Will Rogers Downs for a $25,080 purse. This is the feature race at Will Rogers tonight, with eight horses expected to participate. I will give Jensen Grace and Dixiefied a good look at winning this race.
Jensen Grace has finished 1st, 4th, 2nd, 2nd, 6th in her career. She won as a rookie on September 7, 2019, but has been held without a win since then. In the win, Jensen Grace beat Sweet Mary M by a head for a $42,075 purse. Jensen Grace has regressed since then, but has had a couple of decent recent runs.
She placed 2nd behind Bright Bling by 2 ¼ lengths as an underdog in a $38,250 race, and then did the same in her next assignment on September 18 in another $38,250 race. In her most recent assignment, Jensen Grace finished 6th for a $25,080 purse. That was highly disappointing after dropping a class.
Dixiefied is in good form to open her career to place 2nd and win on December 20. As a first-time runner, Dixiefield placed 2nd behind Run Slewpy Run by 1 length in a $36,975 assignment. She responded to beat S C Tiny Secret by 2 ½ lengths in the class. Dixiefied looks like solid value in this form.
Post Time: 4:44 p.m. CST
Race 9 is a $22,000 event on the dirt covering a mile. Guided Missile and Dont Tell Noobody should run a strong race in this one. Guided Missile is 2 for 6 in his career with a win on April 6 in her most recent outing. She opened her career with a victory on September 26 to beat Fastly by a head for a $75,000 purse.
That was an impressive debut for Guided Missile, who has gone 6th, 3rd, 3rd, 9th, 1st since then. After finishing 9th on January 29 in a $84,000 event, Guided Missile moved down to a $20,900 race. That was much easier and it showed. Guided Missile beat Dak Da Man by 3 ½ lengths in that event as the betting favorite. This should be another beatable race for Guided Missile on Monday, but a willing challenger awaits.
Dont Tell Noobody is 5 for 14 in his career and has wins in stakes events. Dont Tell Noobody is a recent winner of the $175,000 Jim Thorpe Stakes (Black Type) in October. He beat Fast Breakin Cash by 1 length for a big score. More recently, Dont Tell Noobody won the $70,000 Jim Thorpe Stakes by ¾ lengths in December.
However, Dont Tell Noobody struggled on January 22 for a $27,000 purse. That was out of character for Dont Tell Noobody. Despite the big miss, expect Dont Tell Noobody to respond after a short layoff. He’s moving all the way down to a $22,000 event not too long after winning a $175,000 event. That should help get him back on track and into the winner’s circle.