Will Rogers Downs Selections for April 28, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Will Rogers Downs Selections for April 28, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Will Rogers Downs is the unlikely destination for the epicenter of sports betting in the United States again on Tuesday. The track continues to roll with Fonner Park on Monday and Tuesday, as they reap the benefits of being the only sports in the country. I don’t think there was ever a day that the front office at Will Rogers Downs thought that it’d be getting the most attention in the country. It’s not really under the circumstances they would have hoped for. In any event, during a normal year April would be reserved for MLB, NBA, and NHL.

There would have been no competing with those major sports for gambling dollars. That said, Will Rogers Downs was doing well before the country shutdown. A lot of people were making their way out to the track, with on-track money at the betting windows strong. Despite the record handle, they’d be ecstatic to see the doors open to the public again.

When that happens is not entirely clear. There are a lot of businesses who would be thankful to operate in any capacity, and Will Rogers Downs is one of the lucky ones. Santa Anita Park and Golden Gate Fields, among a few others, well, you’re going to have to wait. Will Rogers Downs has a ten-race card on the docket Tuesday. Head below for our free Will Rogers Downs selections for April 28, 2020.

7% HORSE RACING CASH REBATE!

Race 5

(1) Gold Note
+600 (6/1)
(2) West Coast Broker
+400 (4/1)
(3) Black Merlot
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Seven Visions
+1500 (15/1)
(5) Heza Silver Haze
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Whiskey Factor
+160 (8/5)
(7) Thirst for Quality
+1200 (12/1)
(8) Gone Dancing
+500 (5/1)
(9) Far Left
+1200 (12/1)
(10) D C Hero
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 3:15 p.m. CST
Distance: 1 Mile

Race 5 will get us started on Tuesday at Will Rogers Downs. This is an event that will go a mile, with ten horses vying for a $7,150 purse. Half of this field is going to have a tough time winning this race. Upsets happen all of the time, but if things play out how they should, there are going to be some horses in this race that aren’t going to have a solid chance. Black Merlot and Heza Silver Haze face the most difficult road to a win in Race 5.

Black Merlot is coming off a debut performance on April 13 and it wasn’t a picture perfect effort. He finished 7th ahead of three other participants, fading off slowly throughout the race. Heza Silver Haze will be making his debut race on Tuesday. Expect 8th or 7th for Heza Silver Haze. His workouts haven’t been too strong, so there isn’t much else to expect.

D C Hero needs more than +1200 for me to back him. He has some experience in two races, but faltered in each with finishes of 4th and 6th most recently on March 24. Unlikely to be a factor, but might be able to surprise enough to jump up into the top-3 and show. Seven Visions showed in the second start of his career after finishing 7th in his debut. He just had no kick in the homestretch and couldn’t do better than 3rd.

Gone Dancing and West Coast Broker will likely have the best chance of knocking off the favorite in this event. West Coast Brother is the more likely of the two, as he’s shown plenty of improvement after his first race on September 29, 2019 at Remington Park. West Coast Broker finished 11th in that one, and then showed steady improvement to 5th, and then 3rd on April 7 at 5 ½ furlongs. A mile might be a bit too long for him here, though.

Anytime Robertino Diodoro has a horse entered in a race you have to pay attention. Diodoro has been a monster trainer and has been one of the most successful over the last year. If you just backed his horses the last two years, you wouldn’t be doing too bad. He was 3rd in wins in 2018 and 2019, and 1st so far in 2020.

Whiskey Factor has shown the most consistency in this field. He’s finished 3rd in 3 of 6 races and 4th twice. He was 4th on April 14 against a pretty tough field. He wasn’t projected to do better than any of the horses he finished behind, so it was expected. The lack of competition in Race 5 should bet Diodoro another win on Tuesday.

The Bet
(6) WHISKEY FACTOR

Race 8

(1) Miltontown
+400 (4/1)
(2) Drifting West
+1200 (12/1)
(3) Eagle Pass
+1000 (10/1)
(4) Vangilder
+600 (6/1)
(5) Gold Buyer
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Gentrified
+800 (8/1)
(7) Grade One
+500 (5/1)
(8) Dame Plata
+1500 (15/1)
(9) Gato Guapo
+250 (5/2)
(10) Overzealous
+1000 (10/1)

Post Time: 4:45 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile

Race 8 carries a pretty significant purse size of $27,500 on Tuesday. The feature event, Race 9 is the only race offering more money today. Diodoro is going to be busy in this race, as he has two horses entered to play in this one. He has the favorite, Gato Guapo, and is also rolling with the No. 1 horse, Miltontown.

There will be some upset bids in the field, though. The best of the longshots has to be Overzealous from the No. 10 post. He knows how to find the winner’s circle, but this is going to be a tougher assignment. Instead of picking on easy targets, we’re going to see what he’s made of today, which may very well be a bold bid.

Overzealous has a win in 3 out of his last 4 races and 5 of his last 8 outings. In the races he didn’t win, Overzealous placed in 2nd. He hasn’t done worse than 2nd since last summer where he finished 6th in July. There’s nowhere to go for Overzealous but a higher class. The purse is going to be higher as well, so that’s the trade off for his team.

One of his opponents today, Gentrified, was on a three-race winning streak to end 2019 before jumping up a class in 2020. In his last two outings, Gentrified finished 6th and 4th on April 15 in his most recent effort. Eagle Pass is coming off a sharp performance on April 15 and might be a factor in Race 8. He won by a half length over Gold Buyer at 1 1/16 miles after taking over the lead from Blue Dancer in the homestretch.

Ultimately, though, this race probably comes down to the two Diodoro horses from the No. 1 and No. 9 post. Miltontown is looking for the hat-trick on Tuesday after wins on March 17 and April 7. He has won 4 of 16 races against some quality competition in his career. In the victory on April 7, Miltontown got ahead by the ½ pole and didn’t slow down. Gato Guap has been winless in four straight outings and is coming off a 6th place effort on April 3. He’s going to be right up there against this field, but I think the better value has to be with Diodoro’s other entry in Race 8.

The Bet
(1) MILTONTOWN
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.