The weekend is over so it’s back to Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park on Monday. We were able to hit the big plays on Saturday in the Arkansas Derby. Charlatan and Nadal both cleaned up in Hot Springs at Oaklawn Park. Neither horse was ever in doubt, as they cruised past the field for 100 points apiece. It was a big day for Bob Baffert, and all eyes are going to be on him once again at the Kentucky Derby.
We’re going to have to wait a little longer for the Derby this year, but the wait should be worth it. There was also the virtual Triple Crown Showdown on Saturday, with Secretariat the far superior computerized horse. That would have been the case if the real horses were resurrected from the grave and raced. Justify and American Pharoah were the only horses who are still alive today.
That was a 3-0 day, but finding a winner on the Pick 5 or Rainbow Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park would have capped the weekend off extremely well. Two correct selections isn’t going to get it done, though. There were a couple of big upsets that if you hit them would have yielded a tremendous payday on the Rainbow 6. Gulfstream Park will be off until Thursday now. Monday and Tuesday is all about Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park. Head below for our free Will Rogers Downs selections for May 4, 2020.
Post Time: 2:15 p.m. CST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs
The feature race of the day at Will Rogers Downs on Monday is early on in Race 3. A purse of $25,080 will be offered in this one. Seven horses are scheduled to arrive at the starting gate looking for a winning run at 5 ½ furlongs. It’s not going to be a long race.
There were some upsets at Gulfstream Park yesterday, and Heighten will be looking to do the same in Race 3. Heighten is coming off a win on November 21, 2019, but that was her first win and it’s been a lengthy layoff. She notched the win by 3 ¾ lengths over Fine Wine to pull away after the ½ pole.
Leading up to that win, Heighten finished 10th, 5th, 10th, 5th, so it was a nice change. Sunday’s Vision also carries a win in her career into today, with a win on April 8 in her debut. She was a winner by 8 ¾ lengths over Meissen in a clear win. However, Sunday’s Vision was unable to respond with another quality performance on April 20. Instead of gaining strength like in her debut, Sunday’s Vision faded away and was never a threat against better competition. This is going to be another outing where she’ll be tested a bit more than in her first race.
Like Sunday’s Vision, Kallie Sioux had a lot of issues when she competed against tougher competition. She finished 6th in her debut on January 25, and then 1st on March 17 in her first entry at Will Rogers Downs. It was a dominant win for Kallie Sioux with a wire-to-wire victory by 3 ½ lengths. If she brings that form to the party today, she’s going to be involved at the wire. However, if we see the form from her most recent outing on April 20, then she will be a non-factor. Kallie Sioux finished last in that one, well behind Sunday’s Vision.
Kallie Sioux hasn’t been consistent at all, slightly all over the place. But that hasn’t been the case with Justaboutright. Consistency has followed her around since December, as she’s shown in each of her previous three entries, including a win on March 25. She won at 5 ½ furlongs by 2 ¼ lengths over Hallies Dream.
Hallies Dream and Justaboutright dueled down the stretch, with Justaboutright having enough left in the tank to overtake for the win. It was a closer race than the 2 ¼ length win suggests, but kudos to Justaboutright for playing the race right. She was slower than Zapit on April 13 by 3 lengths. Zapit finished 2nd with Justaboutright trailing in 3rd.
Casino Queen had a sharp run on April 8 for the first win of her career. She deserved the win and was able to get it by 3 lengths over Okie Logic. However, Casino Queen followed it up by finishing 5th on April 20. This is an easier test than that race, though, and should figure to be involved down the stretch in Race 3. She has a win in 1 of 5 career starts. Casino Queen looks like a solid option, with Sunday’s Vision a decent upset bet in Race 3.
Post Time: 4:15 p.m. CST
Race 7 features a 12-horse field vying for a $11,550 purse. There are a couple horses with +2000 odds, with Tin Can Allie probably the most unlikely suspect to win Race 7. Tin Can Allie showed in her first start on November 12, 2019. Nothing wrong with a debut like that, but has regressed since the respectable opener. Tin Can Allie has finished 4th, DNF, 5th in her previous three outings. Don’t expect much out of her on Monday. One Ring will be making her first start in this contest. She completed 4 furlongs at 50 seconds on April 25 in a recent workout.
A better upset pick than those two likely has to be Indellibly. No dice in her first three starts, finishing 8th, 4th, 5th, but was much improved in her last outing. Indellibly was strong enough to place in 2nd on April 1 in her most recent entry. She made a late bid to the winner’s circle, but ultimately came up short by 2 ¾ lengths against Our Lizzy Lou at 6 furlongs. Nice performance by Indellibly, as she showed considerable improvement. It won’t be an easy race, though the No. 8 horse carries some decent value at +1000 on the morning-line.
Lagoon Falls, Winning Bells, and A Fast Broad will all likely be in contention in this event. Lagoon Falls will have to catch a break somewhere along the way, but has looked good in recent workouts. Without a race under her belt, supporters of Lagoon Falls are hoping that her recent form in workouts translates to success on Monday at Will Rogers Downs. She completed 4 furlongs at 49.40 seconds on April 25. Could be a threat in this one.
Winning Bells finished 7th, 2nd, 6th in her first three outings. This is her first ride at Will Rogers Downs after appearances at Los Alamitos and Santa Anita twice. Winning Bells and the others will have to hope that A Fast Broad isn’t that fast on Monday. A Fast Broad doesn’t have the most impressive resume, but won’t have to deal with a talented field in Race 7. This is a much easier assignment as opposed to the first seven races of her career. She has shown in just two of those events, and 6th in both of her previous two entries. A Fast Broad is in the best form in a field that isn’t the best.