Will Rogers Downs Selections for May 5, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Will Rogers Downs Selections for May 5, 2020 – Horse Racing Picks

Will Rogers Downs is open for another day of betting online and off-track. Who knows when fans are allowed back at the track. That could happen at some point this summer, fall, or 2020 completely closed off to fans. I think in some capacity the public will be allowed back at the track by the fall, but the situation is fluid at this moment.

If that happens, there are likely going to be restrictions with how many people are allowed into the facility. It’d be nice to implement some form of normalcy by some month in 2020. I do believe the NFL season will kick off, though. Maybe delayed a bit, but I’m optimistic there will be football in the fall.

Will Rogers Downs has seen a nice bump in betting handle at the track. That’s only a small part of the revenue needed to operate a track, but it’s something, and something is a lot more than a lot of tracks can say. Speaking of which, Santa Anita Park is planning on returning May 15. We’ll see if that holds, but Santa Anita Park has their fingers crossed that they can put the horsemen back to work.

I was doing quite well before racing was suspended at Santa Anita Park, so that would be a nice welcome back. Fonner Park has been the nicer of the two tracks for me, as opposed to Will Rogers Downs, but maybe a big day in store on Tuesday. Will Rogers Downs has ten races on the card today. Head below for our free Will Rogers Down selections for May 5, 2020.


Race 3

(1) A Guy Like Me
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Mr Misleading
+600 (6/1)
(3) Burbach
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Salvo
+800 (8/1)
(5) Mighty Bugsy
+600 (6/1)
(6) Euromantic
+350 (7/2)
(7) Word to the Wise
+300 (4/1)
(8) Speaker Van
+250 (5/2)

Post Time: 2:15 p.m. CST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs

Eight horses will battle it out for a $25,080 purse in Race 3. It’s the biggest purse of the day, which is typically reserved for the later races at most tracks in the US. Yesterday we were able to cash Holiday Clover in Race 3 at +250. Today, the inside half of the starting gate faces long odds to win, while the outside half has more of the favorable odds.

Burbach opened his career with no success, as he finished 8th in three straight outings. Dropping back a class was exactly what he needed, as Burbach finished 2nd and then 1st in his most recent outing. He notched the win by a length over Poppy’s Oats at 5 furlongs.

Now Burbach is going back to a higher class and a tougher ask on Tuesday. A Guy Like Me has been winless since winning his debut race on August 23, 2019 at Remington Park. He’s gone 8th, 5th 12, 10th, 3rd since the win. In his last outing, A Guy Like Me was able to show in the top-3, so that’s a step in the right direction. Unfortunately, he’s going to see some tougher competition than he saw in that race. A lighter assignment would have bode well for A Guy Like Me, but he’s going to see some good horses on Tuesday. If you’re going for an upset, Salvo is probably a good option.

Salvo was tagged with a DNF after pulling up out of the starting gate on October 24, 2019, but made up for it with a strong performance in his next performance on December 5, 2019. It was a wire-to-wire win for Salvo, as he took the lead right away and didn’t let go for a ¾ length win over Notify. He’ll be on pace throughout the race, but the extra gear he needs in the stretch might be questionable. However, if Salvo finds that kick, he should be right there at the wire.

Euromantic, Word to the Wise, and Speaker Van will all likely be good for some extra juice in the stretch. Euromantic has placed in 4 of 5 career races and was a winner on September 27, 2019 by 1 ¾ lengths over Kirkcules He took over by the ¼ pole and had no problems whatsoever beating the field. In his most recent race, Euromantic was good for 2nd on December 13, 2019. So, it’s been a minute since Euromantic has raced, but could be fresh and raring to go on Tuesday. Worth some consideration.

Word to the Wise and Speaker Van will likely get into a bit of a duel on the outside. Word to the Wise has shown in all of his races. He finished 1st in his debut on November 29, 2019 and then 3rd and 2nd within the last two months. In his most recent effort, Word to the Wise just couldn’t last in the stretch at 6 furlongs. The shorter distance should help here. He was 1st at the ½ pole and faded late in the stretch for a 1 ¾ length loss.

Speaker Van doesn’t have that kind of success, but is getting bumped down a class significantly. After finishing 1st in his debut, Speaker Van hasn’t been close lately. In his previous three performances, Speaker Van has gone 7th, 6th, 9th. This is the lowest class he’s been in his career and it should show on Tuesday. I’m going to give him the benefit of the doubt and back him to bounce back with a nice performance.

The Bet

Race 9

(1) Hoyam
+600 (6/1)
(2) Figure
+500 (5/1)
(3) Mocha Kiss
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Nocturnal Mission
+200 (2/1)
(5) Mo Gayle
+400 (4/1)
(6) Musical Millie
+800 (8/1)
(7) Miss Lein
+2000 (20/1)
(8) Mi Bella
+1200 (12/1)
(9) Kentara
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 5:15 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile

Nine horses will run a mile for a $20,900 purse at Will Rogers Downs. It’s the second-highest purse of the day after Race 3. Miss Lein is likely going to be the longest shot at post time. She’s had one good run in 8 career races, finishing 1st on August 27, 2019. However, other than that performance, Miss Lein has finished outside of the top-4 in 5 of 7 career races. And in the win she did have, it was a photo finish by a nose over Cocoa Parfait. That could have easily gone the other way by a bob at the wire.

Mocha Kiss is the better upset selection if you want a longshot on your ticket. She’s been better recently, having finished 1st and 3rd in her previous two outings. In the win on April 10, Mocha Kiss beat a big 11-horse field for the win over Dixie Wayne by ¾ lengths. In the follow up to that effort, Mocha Kiss had a pretty solid run again to show on April 23. She has been able to demonstrate great strides since a couple of bumpy starts in the first two starts of her career. Mocha Kiss finished 6th and 8th to get her career underway in February.

Mi Bella is coming off a sharp performance on April 19 and could pop again. That’s 2 of 3 pretty nice performances by Mi Bella recently. She placed on March 13 to lose the win by 3 ½ lengths. Mi Bella got the win in her latest race, though, with a victory by a half length over Scared Union. After a tough stretch to open her career, Mi Bella has been able to settle in after dropping a class. She doesn’t have longer odds than Mocha Kiss, but might be worth a look as well.

Their biggest threat in this race has to be Nocturnal Mission. That’s a horse who has won for me in the past and could easily win again. She is coming off an absolute clinic on April 20 with a win by 11 ¼ lengths. Nocturnal Mission was flying out of the starting gate and was 5 lengths ahead of her challengers by the ¾ pole. That developed into a 11 ¼ length win for an easy wire-to-wire victory a few weeks ago. Along with that win, Nocturnal Mission finished 2nd in back-to-back outings leading up to that win. She’s been in terrific form since March. Unless something came up in recent workouts that we don’t know about, Nocturnal Mission should be the horse to beat today.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.