2017 MLB All-Star Game Pick (Over/Under) – July 11th

Note that this is our MLB All-Star Game pick on the total. If you want our selection on the side, please refer back to the main blog page. And just another disclaimer before I begin, this is an All-Star Game so bet accordingly. I tend to look at this as a recreational wager, rather than something to take too seriously. In any event, the MLB All-Star Game one of the most important All-Star matchups in all of sports.

Or should I say, it IS the most important All-Star Game in all of sports. The winner here gets home field advantage in the World Series. Is it necessarily fair to base home field advantage in a championship series off an All-Star competition? Not at all. Does it add some intrigue and perhaps more viewership on television? Yes, and it’s a formula that has worked for MLB since instituting this new format several years ago.

This is the slowest sporting week of the year, with the All-Star Game, the ESPY’s, and WNBA games on if you’re into that. There are some angles in the WNBA, so hey, I’m not knocking any WNBA handicappers out there. Nevertheless, this week is what I like to refer as degenerate’s week. If I can make a dollar off an All-Star Game, preseason game, or whatever goofy gimmick game, I will be on it.

If you are new to betting MLB All-Star Games, be aware that pitchers get an inning or two of work and then they sit down. Managers usually like to get everyone involved, and that includes emptying out the bullpens which have some heavy arms in them.

Getting the honor of starting this game will be Chris Sale and Max Scherzer. Gone is the idea that Scherzer was going to take the money from the Nationals and feel content. He’s stayed the course since breaking out in Detroit and has continued to be a force in Washington. Scherzer will only last an inning or two, along with Sale so don’t make a pick based off them, that’s for sure. Find our MLB All-Star Game pick on the Over Under below.

American League vs. National League Pick

The story of All-Star festivities thus far has been Aaron Judge of the Yankees. Okay, the story of the first-half of the season has been on Judge. He’s on a torrid pace and has already broken Joe DiMaggio’s rookie home run record. Judge did it all in 350 less at-bats. And then last night, Judge put on a display in the Home Run Derby, becoming the first rookie to win the Derby outright. In other words, if you have a Judge rookie card, I’d keep it in a safe place.

The rest of the American League starting lineup will feature plenty of Astros. They aren’t household names, but these guys can play ball. Jose Altuve, George Springer, and Carlos Correa will all be starters. Springer should be a household name, but is being overshadowed by that guy over in the Bronx. Keuchel is recovering from an injury so he won’t be readily available, but is listed as an All-Star in 2017. Who is taking his spot? Fellow Astro Chris Devenski. The only thing holding the Astros back from reaching the World Series may be the health of their ace, Keuchel. Another notable starter will be Mookie Betts of the Red Sox.

On the National League side, they are led by Bryce Harper. So, what we have is Judge on one side, and Harper on the other side. There are some names to behold on both sides offensively, but the All-Star Game has typically been ruled by pitching. It’s easy to believe, as All-Star pitchers only have to be on point for 3 or 6 outs give or take.

There hasn’t been a game with more than 9 runs in more than ten years. The last coming in 2005. Scoring has been up this season, though, and it’s why we’re seeing a total of 9. Balls have been flying deep in 2017. Nonetheless, we’ve had some stacked lineups in the past, and the fresh arms out of the bullpen always seem to win out. Since 2007, there’s been an average of 6.7 runs scored in the All-Star Game. It’s hard to bet against an option in a game where you have Max Scherzer and Chris Sale on your side. Scherzer will be only the fifth pitcher in All-Star Game history to start for both the AL and NL in their career. Notably scratches will be Keuchel, Fulmer, Darvish, and Kluber for the AL. On the NL side, Kershaw will be replaced by Alex Wood. Chris Archer will take Kluber’s spot, so it isn’t exactly like we’re downgrading a whole lot. Additionally, Roberto Osuna who is filling in for Darvish has been untouchable out of the pen for the Blue Jays. I sort of like Osuna over Darvish in this sense for the simple fact that he’s going to care more about playing in this game.

Also, Andrew Miller of the Indians is still performing at a torrid pace, after helping the Indians to the World Series in October. He brings a 1.49 ERA in 36 outings, and I wouldn’t be surprising if he walks through his inning of work. As always, tread lightly in All-Star Games. The trend should continue tonight, though, as the UNDER cashes at the 2017 MLB All-Star Game.

PICK: UNDER 9 (-120)

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