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Angels at Tigers – Free Pick July 16th

Los Angeles Angles +107 at Detroit Tigers -117 (Total: 10)

Ervin Santana vs. Rick Porcello

The Detroit Tigers have been one of the biggest (if not THE biggest) dissapointments in all of major league baseball so far this season.  They were expected to rip through the league and be a World Series frontrunner with the addition of Prince Fielder to an already dynamic lineup.  However, despite their struggles, they are only three and half games back of the White Sox in the AL Central and have already passed up the Cleveland Indians.  There is still a ton of time left in this season, and I imagine when it is all said and done the Tigers will have found their way into the Postseason.

Most experts and even Vegas agree.  It’s why they are still the odds-on-favorite to win their division.  For good reason too.  They are fourth in the AL in runs scored and third in team batting average.  Their team ERA is a little higher than expected, so the question will come down to what it seems to every season; can someone other than Verlander step up to help anchor their pitching staff.

One of the candidates takes the hill tonight in Rick Porcello.  Porcello hasn’t been as good as hoped so far this season, with a 6-5 record and a 4.47 ERA.  However, he showed signs on getting right heading into the All-Star break, posting a 2-0 record with a 2.16 ERA in his last three starts.

Meanwhile, a team that shed their April disappointment label quickly comes to Detroit to begin their three game set tonight.  The Los Angeles Angels have been the hottest team in baseball, but are coming off a tough series against the Yankees in which they allowed a whopping 21 runs in three games.  That includes yesterday’s outing from Jared Weaver and Friday’s start by CJ Wilson.  Tonight, they send one of their struggling and most frustrating hurlers to the mound, Ervin Santana.

Santana is 4-9 with a 5.79 ERA on the season, and has actually been even worse in his last three appearances.  He is 0-2 with a 9.42 ERA in his last three starts and has to have the Angels questioning if he is going to remain an option as a viable every fifth day starter.

The Tigers are a pretty good value at -120, especially with their lineup facing a struggling starter at home.  I am making Detroit to win my official pick, and am also doubling up tonight on a nice value on the -15 runline at +160.  It’s a great price for a game that is likely to feature a TON of runs.

Free Pick:  Detroit Tigers to WIN -117